69 documents showing 61–69
Date
Fund
Target
Thesis
Scores
Apr 09, 2013
Pershing Square
Herbalife, Ltd.
HLF
Herbalife is an illegal pyramid scheme: ~92% of distributor income comes from recruiting rather than retail, and the top 1% extracts 88% of rewards.
N4
V2
Feb 08, 2013
Muddy Waters
Olam International Ltd.
OLAM
Olam's Q2 2013 results confirm Muddy Waters' Strong Sell thesis: debt is spiraling (9.5x EBITDA), cash is burning, and management's acquisitions and Gabon project reveal haphazard planning.
N3
V1
Dec 20, 2012
Pershing Square
Herbalife Ltd.
HLF
Herbalife is an illegal pyramid scheme masquerading as a nutrition company; its $4.8bn market cap rests on recruiting, not real retail demand, and the stock should go to zero.
N5
V3
Dec 20, 2012
Pershing Square
Herbalife Ltd.
HLF
Herbalife is an illegal pyramid scheme: distributors profit from recruiting not retail, the top 1% captures 88% of rewards, and the stock is ultimately worth zero.
N5
V4
Dec 04, 2012
Muddy Waters
Olam International
OLAM
Olam's surprise $750m Temasek-backed debt raise — at an effective cost over 10% — validates Muddy Waters' thesis that the company is days from collapse; Strong Sell maintained.
N3
V2
Nov 30, 2012
Muddy Waters
Olam International
OLAM
Olam's 45-page rebuttal ducks Muddy Waters' real points; we'll pay S&P to rate Olam's debt and prove the market underprices its accounting and acquisition risk.
N4
V2
Nov 27, 2012
Muddy Waters
Olam International Ltd.
SGX:O32
Olam is an Enron-style agri trader whose aggressive non-cash accounting, off-the-rails CapEx binge, and 9.3x leverage mask a failing trading business — equity likely worthless, bonds 14-33¢.
N5
V2
Jul 18, 2012
Muddy Waters
New Oriental Education & Technology Group
EDU
New Oriental is hiding an extensive franchising operation, filing fraudulent tax-exempt financials in Beijing and using a cosmetic VIE — expect a restatement and Deloitte to resign.
N5
V2
Oct 17, 2011
Greenlight Capital
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters
GMCR
GMCR's $9 EPS bull case ignores a smaller TAM, falling K-cup attachment rates, a September 2012 patent cliff, and accounting shenanigans at fulfillment agent MBlock — realistic EPS is ~$3.50.
N5
V2