Contrarian Corpus
Elliott Management vs. Phillips 66

Phillips 66 · PSX

43 decks published between 2023-11-29 and 2025-05-20 — 1286 pages, 1,132 analysed slides total. Outcome: ongoing.

initial thesis follow up proxy fight

Timeline

Each deck in chronological order — click to open. This is the story of the campaign as it unfolded.

  1. 2023-11-29 initial thesis

    Elliotts Letter to the Board of Phillips 66

    6pp · letter

    Phillips 66 has lost investor trust by taking its eye off refining; adding two refining-experienced directors — and Marathon's 2019 playbook if targets slip — unlocks ~75% upside to $205+.

    N 4 V 2 C 2
  2. 2025-02-11 follow up

    2025 02 ex991todfan10168003_030425

    105pp · full_deck

    Phillips 66's conglomerate hides world-class midstream worth $40bn+; spinning midstream, closing the $3.75/bbl refining gap to Valero, and refreshing the board can lift PSX from $120 to $200+.

    N 5 V 4 C 4
  3. 2025-02-11 follow up

    2025 02 Elliott Management Phillips 66 Natural Resources Elliott Phillips Presentation 11 Feb 2025

    53pp · full_deck

    Phillips 66's conglomerate structure buries a world-class refiner and >$40bn midstream inside a low-multiple wrapper; spinning midstream, fixing refining and Marathon-style buybacks unlock $200-$300+ per share.

    N 5 V 4 C 5
  4. 2025-02-11 follow up

    2025 02 Streamline66_

    53pp · full_deck

    Phillips 66's conglomerate structure traps value; spinning Midstream, selling the CPChem JV, and fixing refining lifts the stock from $120 to ~$200, with Marathon-style execution reaching $300+.

    N 5 V 4 C 4
  5. 2025-03-04 proxy fight

    2025 03 Elliott Announces Director Candidates for the Board of Phillips 66 March 4 2025

    6pp · press_release

    Elliott escalates its Phillips 66 campaign by nominating seven independent directors and proposing annual board elections to force portfolio simplification, an operating review, and stronger oversight.

    N 2 V 1 C 1
  6. 2025-03-06 proxy fight

    2025 03 ex991todfan10168303_030625

    19pp · conference_presentation

    Phillips 66's refining kit rivals Valero's, but weak commercial execution and bloated corporate leave a multi-dollar EBITDA-per-barrel gap that Streamline66 — portfolio fixes and a refreshed board — closes.

    N 4 V 4 C 4
  7. 2025-03-18 proxy fight

    2025 03 ex991todfan10168303_031825

    13pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66's conglomerate structure masks world-class midstream and chemicals assets; separating them, fixing refining, and refreshing the board closes a decade-long 188% TSR gap versus peers.

    N 3 V 4 C 4
  8. 2025-03-24 proxy fight

    2025 03 ex991dfan14a10168303_032425

    18pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66 is worth $200 — 65% above today's $120 — if shareholders elect Elliott's slate and force the Streamline 66 simplification plan.

    N 4 V 4 C 4
  9. 2025-03-25 proxy fight

    2025 03 ex991dfan14a10168303_032525

    12pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66 is deeply undervalued; Elliott's Streamline 66 plan and four new directors can deliver 65%+ upside by repeating the Marathon Petroleum playbook.

    N 3 V 4 C 4
  10. 2025-03-27 proxy fight

    2025 03 ex991to10168303_032725

    11pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66's CEO is talking down his own stock after a decade of underperformance; Elliott's Streamline66 slate targets a $200+ share price via a sum-of-parts breakup.

    N 4 V 4 C 4
  11. 2025-04-02 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991todfan10168303_040225

    11pp · regulatory_filing

    Elliott's $2.5B Phillips 66 stake argues that unlocking midstream value, returning capital and upgrading the board can drive PSX from $120 to $200+, a 65% upside.

    N 3 V 4 C 4
  12. 2025-04-03 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991dfan14a10168303_040325

    21pp · letter

    Phillips 66's inefficient conglomerate structure hides $40B+ midstream value; spinning it off, refocusing on refining, and refreshing the Board could lift shares from ~$120 to $200+.

    N 5 V 4 C 4
  13. 2025-04-04 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991todfan10168303_040425

    2pp · letter

    Phillips 66 has trailed Valero and Marathon by triple digits over a decade; an upgraded Board via Elliott's Gold Card slate is needed to end entrenchment and unlock value.

    N 3 V 3 C 3
  14. 2025-04-08 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991dfan14a10168303_040825

    41pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66's world-class refining assets are underperforming Valero and Marathon because leadership has lost operating focus; Elliott's GOLD-card nominees can restore peer-leading excellence.

    N 3 V 3 C 3
  15. 2025-04-10 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991dfan14a10168303b_041025

    5pp · regulatory_filing

    Elliott's Streamline 66 proxy fight argues Phillips 66 refining is underperforming its potential and that replacing directors with operators like Brian Coffman will unlock value.

    N 2 V 3 C 3
  16. 2025-04-11 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991dfan14a10168303_041125

    18pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66's quality refining and midstream assets are being wasted by entrenched leadership; vote the GOLD card to install four industry veterans and de-stagger the Board.

    N 2 V 3 C 3
  17. 2025-04-14 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991todfan10168303_041425

    15pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66's quality refining and midstream assets underperform under weak leadership; Elliott's four nominees plus annual board elections restore accountability and unlock value.

    N 2 V 3 C 3
  18. 2025-04-15 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991dfan14a10168303_041525

    20pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66's three-business conglomerate is the root cause of peer underperformance; electing Elliott's four nominees and fully separating midstream from refining unlocks substantial value.

    N 4 V 3 C 3
  19. 2025-04-16 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991todfan10168303_041625

    18pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66 is an underperforming energy conglomerate whose midstream and non-core assets should be sold or spun, with four Elliott nominees added to the board to drive the Streamline 66 plan.

    N 4 V 4 C 4
  20. 2025-04-17 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991todfan10168303_041725

    19pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66's conglomerate structure masks refining underperformance; spinning midstream, monetizing the chemicals JV, refreshing the board and destaggering elections will unlock Marathon-style peer-gap upside.

    N 4 V 2 C 2
  21. 2025-04-18 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991todfan10168303_041825

    19pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66's conglomerate structure suppresses refining performance; spinning midstream and electing Elliott's four nominees replicates Marathon's ~150% outperformance playbook and restores PSX to industry leadership.

    N 3 V 4 C 4
  22. 2025-04-21 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991dfan14a10168303_042125

    3pp · regulatory_filing

    Elliott-commissioned investor survey ranks Phillips 66 last among refining peers on execution and capital allocation, reinforcing the Streamline 66 case for boardroom change.

    N 2 V 2 C 3
  23. 2025-04-22 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991todfan10168303_042225

    24pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66 is a chronically underperforming energy conglomerate; Elliott seeks four board seats and annual director elections to drive a breakup, refining turnaround and midstream separation.

    N 3 V 3 C 3
  24. 2025-04-24 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991dfan14a10168303_042425

    4pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66 lags refining peers under an ineffective CEO and legacy integrated structure; Elliott's GOLD card nominees and annual-election proposal are the vehicle to unlock trapped value.

    N 2 V 3 C 3
  25. 2025-04-28 proxy fight

    2025 04 Streamline 66 Elliotts Perspectives on Value Creation

    138pp · full_deck

    Phillips 66's conglomerate structure has trapped value and lagged peers by 97% over 5 years; spinning midstream, fixing refining and refreshing the board unlocks ~75% upside to $183/share.

    N 5 V 4 C 4
  26. 2025-04-28 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991dfan14a10168303_042825

    154pp · full_deck

    Phillips 66's conglomerate discount and lagging refining execution have cost shareholders 450% vs peers; spinning midstream, divesting CPChem, and refreshing the board unlock ~75% upside to $183.

    N 5 V 4 C 4
  27. 2025-04-28 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991dfan14a10168303_042825

    154pp · full_deck

    Phillips 66's refining/midstream conglomerate has trailed peers 450% since spin; spinning midstream, refocusing refining, and seating four new directors targets 75% upside to $183.

    N 5 V 4 C 4
  28. 2025-04-29 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991todfan10168303_042925

    12pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66 is an underperforming energy conglomerate; adding Elliott's four operator-nominees to the board and simplifying the portfolio will reverse years of peer-lagging returns.

    N 2 V 2 C 3
  29. 2025-04-30 proxy fight

    2025 04 ex991todfan10168303_043025

    20pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66's conglomerate structure traps midstream value and operational performance; replace four directors and separate midstream to close the gap with MPC and VLO peers.

    N 2 V 3 C 3
  30. 2025-05-01 proxy fight

    2025 05 Elliotts Letter to Phillips 66 Shareholders

    13pp · letter

    Phillips 66's board has been captured by CEO-Chairman Mark Lashier; electing Elliott's four Gold Card nominees will restore independence and unlock value at this peer-lagging refiner.

    N 4 V 3 C 2
  31. 2025-05-01 follow up

    2025 05 Elliotts Perspectives on Value Creation Addendum

    10pp · full_deck

    Phillips 66's dilutive midstream pivot has destroyed TSR versus refining peers; a midstream spin and refreshed governance — as at Marathon and Suncor — can unlock the buried value.

    N 4 V 4 C 4
  32. 2025-05-01 proxy fight

    2025 05 ex991todfan10168303_050225

    51pp · full_deck

    Phillips 66 has squandered value through a failed midstream pivot and a captured board; electing Elliott's four nominees and separating midstream unlocks ~$40B+ of trapped value.

    N 5 V 4 C 4
  33. 2025-05-05 proxy fight

    2025 05 ex991todfan10168303_05052025

    15pp · regulatory_filing

    Elliott urges Phillips 66 holders to vote the GOLD card for four new directors and board declassification to unlock value via midstream spinoff and refining focus.

    N 2 V 4 C 4
  34. 2025-05-06 proxy fight

    2025 05 ex991todfan10168303_050625

    43pp · full_deck

    Phillips 66 has underperformed Marathon by 511% under a complacent board; electing Elliott's four nominees and spinning Midstream/CPChem/JET unlocks ~75% upside ($103 → $183).

    N 5 V 4 C 4
  35. 2025-05-07 proxy fight

    2025 05 ex991dfan14a10168303_050725

    4pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66 shares jumped 11% on Elliott's Streamline 66 plan and sank when the board defended its conglomerate; vote for change to unlock value.

    N 3 V 4 C 4
  36. 2025-05-08 proxy fight

    2025 05 ex991dfan14a10168303_050825

    22pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66 has underperformed Marathon and Valero for years while CEO Mark Lashier collected $79M; elect four Elliott nominees to break up the conglomerate and restore accountability.

    N 4 V 4 C 4
  37. 2025-05-09 proxy fight

    2025 05 ex991dfan14a10168303_050925

    9pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66 is deeply undervalued under a conflicted, overpaid leadership team; electing Elliott's four directors and adopting the Streamline 66 portfolio-simplification plan could unlock 75%+ upside.

    N 4 V 4 C 4
  38. 2025-05-12 proxy fight

    2025 05 ex991todfan10168303_051225

    35pp · full_deck

    Phillips 66's refining-plus-midstream conglomerate trades at a 6.1x discount to an 8.1x SOTP; breaking it up and replacing complacent directors unlocks ~75% upside to $183.

    N 5 V 4 C 4
  39. 2025-05-13 proxy fight

    2025 05 ex991todfan10168303_051325

    12pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66 is underperforming under a board that obfuscates results; elect Elliott's four nominees on the GOLD card to replicate the Marathon playbook and unlock value.

    N 2 V 3 C 3
  40. 2025-05-14 proxy fight

    2025 05 ex991dfan14a10168303_051425

    3pp · regulatory_filing

    Both top proxy advisors (ISS and Glass Lewis) back Elliott's Streamline 66 campaign, endorsing all four dissident nominees to fix Phillips 66's CEO-driven underperformance by the May 21 vote.

    N 2 V 3 C 3
  41. 2025-05-15 proxy fight

    2025 05 ex991dfan14a10168303_051525

    38pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66's conglomerate structure masks value; electing Elliott's four nominees to execute the Streamline 66 plan and fix governance lifts shares from $103 to $180+ (75% upside).

    N 4 V 4 C 4
  42. 2025-05-16 proxy fight

    2025 05 ex991todfan10168303_051625

    25pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66 has trailed Valero and Marathon by 138-188% over a decade while paying its CEOs $140M; Elliott's four nominees will simplify the conglomerate and unlock 75%+ upside.

    N 4 V 4 C 4
  43. 2025-05-20 proxy fight

    2025 05 ex991dfan14a10168303_052025

    12pp · regulatory_filing

    Phillips 66 is an underperforming energy conglomerate; vote Elliott's GOLD card for four independent directors to streamline operations and unlock long-term shareholder value.