Contrarian Corpus
short seller research note initial thesis
2017-06-01 · 10 pages

BlackBerry BBRY

N 4 Narrative
V 2 Visual
C 2 Craft
Original source ↗

The three reasons

  1. 1

    QNX is entrenched in 60M cars across 40+ automakers — a leading autonomous-driving OS

  2. 2

    Mobileye precedent: Intel paid $15bn for 16M install base; QNX dwarfs that at 60M

  3. 3

    RADAR IoT, 40,000+ patents, and Qualcomm settlement give multiple optionality on top of QNX

Primary demands

  • Wall Street should re-rate BBRY based on QNX/IoT software future, not legacy handset business
  • Rebrand back to Research in Motion (rhetorical/half-serious)

KPIs cited

QNX vehicle install base
60 million cars, 240+ vehicle models, ~40 automakers
Mobileye install base (precedent)
16M units; acquired by Intel for $15bn
NVIDIA enterprise value (analogue)
Grew from $5bn to $85bn over 2 years while revenue only doubled
Patent portfolio
40,000+ patents
Qualcomm settlement
~$1bn cash injection; CEO plans to deploy $1.5bn
Downside valuation
2.5x EV/Sales implies ~$8.30 floor
Software complexity in cars
60-100 microprocessors / ECUs; 100M+ lines of software

Pattern membership

Where this document fits across the library's 12 rhetorical / structural patterns.

Notable slides (6)

Notes

Atypical Citron document: this is a LONG thesis (bullish), not a short report — Citron arguing BBRY could be the next NVIDIA on the strength of QNX in autonomous vehicles. Document type is closer to a research note / open letter than a slide deck. Heavy use of analogies (NVIDIA re-rating, Mobileye/Intel precedent), red callout boxes for third-party quotes (Rob Enderle, NVIDIA, Qualcomm, NXP execs), and a memorable rhetorical refrain (please change name back to 'Research in Motion'). Includes a CEO quote — but used to support the thesis ('Likely' answer from John Chen on Ford-magnitude wins), not to expose contradiction. Visual production is basic Word-doc styling with embedded images and red highlight boxes; not slide-grade. Strong narrative scaffolding: SCQA opener (NVIDIA frame), bear case acknowledgment + rebuttal, downside-protected upside case.