Contrarian Corpus

177 documents showing 1–60

Citron Research 2026-03-01

Credit Acceptance Corporation CACC

Citron reverses course on CACC: with CFPB/NYAG overhang resolved Feb 13 2026, 61% of float retired, and an Amazon-bred CEO, fair value is $714 (16x 2026E EPS of $44.62).

N4 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2026-02-11

Pershing Square Holdings PSH.L

PSH NAV grew 20.9% and TSR 33.9% in 2025, beating S&P, FTSE 100 and HFRX Activist indices

N3 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2026-01-27

Toyota Industries Corporation 6201.T

Toyota Real Estate's ¥18,800 TOB undervalues Toyota Industries by 39% versus NAV and 85% on core business; shareholders should refuse to tender and pursue a standalone plan instead.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2026-01-27

Toyota Industries Corporation 6201

Toyota Industries' ¥18,800 take-private undervalues the company by 39%; shareholders should reject the tender and pursue a Standalone Plan worth >¥40,000 per share.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2026-01-18

Toyota Industries Corporation 6201

Toyota Industries' ¥18,800 take-private undervalues NAV ¥26,134 by 40%; rejecting the TOB and executing Elliott's Standalone Plan unlocks >¥40,000 per share by 2028.

N4 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2026-01-18

Toyota Industries Corporation 6201

Toyota Fudosan's ¥18,800 squeeze-out of Toyota Industries undervalues NAV by ~40%; reject the TOB and back Elliott's Standalone Plan targeting >¥40,000 per share by 2028.

N5 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2025-10-17

Multiple (BILL Holdings, Tripadvisor, Fluor Corporation)

Three contrarian longs at undemanding multiples: BILL needs Rule of 40 discipline, Tripadvisor should break up TheFork and fix Viator, and Fluor must separate its $4bn NuScale stake.

N4 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2025-10-01

Tripadvisor, Inc. TRIP

Tripadvisor trades at 6.5x EBITDA, half its peers, because investors still view it as a controlled legacy Tripadvisor.com — sell TheFork, fix Viator margins, revitalize the brand, or take the $18-19/share bid.

N4 V4 C4
Engine Capital 2025-08-11

Avantor, Inc. AVTR

Avantor's board has presided over five years of self-inflicted operational and capital-allocation failures; a refreshed board, cost discipline, buybacks and portfolio optimization can deliver 97-134% upside by 2027.

N4 V3 C3
Kerrisdale Capital 2025-08-01

Aurora Innovation, Inc. AUR

Aurora's autonomous trucking vision is a dead end: tech can only enable hub-and-spoke freight, drayage kills the economics, and the real TAM is smaller than the company's $13bn market cap.

N4 V3 C2
Elliott Management 2025-06-08

Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. 8830

Sumitomo Realty trades at half its post-tax real-estate NAV due to excessive cross-shareholdings, weak payouts, and worst-in-class TOPIX 100 governance; fixing these unlocks 43% upside to ~¥8,000.

N4 V3 C3
Citron Research 2025-04-01

Vishay Precision Group VPG

VPG is the unnoticed picks-and-shovels supplier of precision sensors to Tesla's Optimus humanoid program; at $300M market cap and 0.9x book, Wall Street has completely missed the asymmetric upside.

N3 V2 C1
Elliott Management 2025-03-27

Phillips 66 PSX

PSX has underperformed peers for a decade and the CEO is talking down the stock

N4 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-03-25

Phillips 66 PSX

Streamline 66 plan could boost Phillips 66 stock 65%+ (from $120 to $200)

N3 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-03-24

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 trades at $120 vs. Elliott's $200 Streamline 66 target — 65% upside

N4 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-03-21

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's refining + midstream conglomerate has underperformed pure-play peers by up to 188% over a decade; separating the businesses would eliminate the structural discount.

N3 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2025-02-18

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. HHH

HHH stuck at ~40% NAV discount with no take-private bidder after 284 investors approached

N4 V3 C2
Pershing Square 2025-02-11

Pershing Square Holdings (self) PSH.NA / PSHD.LN

PSH trades at a 30% discount to NAV despite 22.9% 7-year compound NAV returns

N2 V4 C3
Pershing Square 2025-02-01

Uber Technologies UBER

29x P/E understates a 30%+ EPS grower; share price likely to more than double in 3-4 years

N3 V4 C3
Kerrisdale Capital 2025-01-29

ACM Research, Inc. ACMR

ACMR trades at 1.1x revenue while its 82%-owned Shanghai subsidiary ACMS trades at 6x — a sum-of-parts gap that implies a 10-bagger as China's WFE self-sufficiency drive accelerates.

N4 V2 C2
Engine Capital 2025-01-17

Smiths Group plc SMIN

Smiths' four-segment conglomerate structure masks a ~50-60% SOTP discount; the Board should launch a strategic review to sell the company or spin John Crane into a U.S. listing.

N4 V2 C2
Pershing Square 2025-01-16

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac FNMA / FMCC

Treasury's warrants and residual stake could generate ~$300bn for taxpayers over time

N5 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2025-01-16

Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac (GSEs) FNMA / FMCC

Releasing GSEs from conservatorship could generate ~$300bn for taxpayers via Treasury warrants

N5 V4 C3
Pershing Square 2025-01-16

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac FNMA/FMCC

N1 V2 C1
Ancora 2024-12-10

Amcor plc (pro forma Amcor-Berry Global combination) AMCR

The Amcor-Berry merger creates a $36B packaging leader; executing $650M of conservatively-estimated synergies and a re-rate from 8x to 11x EBITDA delivers ~$16/share, a 50-70% upside.

N3 V3 C3
Citron Research 2024-12-01

Nebius Group NBIS

Nebius — the de-Russified Yandex remnant now an AI cloud pure-play backed by Nvidia and Accel — is mis-priced ahead of analyst coverage; Citron sees $50+.

N3 V2 C1
Palliser Capital 2024-12-01

Rio Tinto RIO

Rio Tinto's 29-year-old dual-listed structure has destroyed ~US$50bn of value; unifying into a single Ltd-led entity unlocks +27% near-term upside and restores scrip-M&A firepower.

N5 V4 C4
Land & Buildings 2024-11-01

Public REIT sector (vs. private real estate)

Public REITs have crushed private real estate over 30 years (9.9% vs 7.0%); with institutions at GFC-low underweights and supply rolling over, listed REITs are a generational buy.

N3 V4 C4
Greenlight Capital 2024-10-23

Peloton Interactive PTON

Peloton's overlooked subscription business — 68% gross margins, 1.5% churn — can deliver $400-500M EBITDA once costs are right-sized, implying a $7.50-$31.50 share price versus $5.48 today.

N5 V4 C5
Starboard Value 2024-10-01

Salesforce, Inc. CRM

Salesforce has executed Starboard's 2022 thesis — margins up 1,000bps, stock +99% — but committing to Rule of 50 by FY2028 still unlocks $20+ FCF/share at ~14x.

N4 V3 C3
Citron Research 2024-09-24

Multiple (portfolio update)

AGL short worked: $5 PT set when stock was $25, fell to target on unprofitable model

N2 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2024-09-09

News Corporation NWSA

News Corp's dual-class structure entrenches a fractious Murdoch family with 14% economics but 41% of the vote; collapsing it would remove a governance discount already rejected by 90% of unaffiliated holders.

N3 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2024-09-09

News Corporation NWSA

Starboard urges News Corp shareholders to vote to collapse the dual-class structure that gives the Murdoch family 41% voting power on only 14% economic ownership.

N3 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2024-07-15

Match Group, Inc. MTCH

Match owns Tinder and Hinge but trades at 8.5x FCF; fixing Tinder, lifting margins above 40%, and aggressive buybacks — or going private — closes a ~45% peer discount.

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2024-07-15

Match Group, Inc. MTCH

Match owns Tinder and Hinge yet trades at <8.5x FCF; fixing Tinder, lifting margins above 40%, and aggressive buybacks — or a sale — can unlock substantial upside.

N4 V2 C3
Palliser Capital 2024-04-24

Keisei Electric Railway Co., Ltd. 9009.T

Palliser, a 1.6% holder, asks Keisei shareholders to vote on an advisory resolution forcing the board to publish a capital allocation plan and cut its OLC cross-holding below 15% by March 2026.

N4 V2 C1
Land & Buildings 2024-04-18

National Health Investors, Inc. NHI

NHI is an undervalued senior-housing REIT whose conflicted, interlocked board threatens to give away the upcoming NHC lease renewal — vote AGAINST Webb and Swafford to force change.

N4 V2 C2
Citron Research 2024-04-11

Edgio, Inc. EGIO

Edgio trades at 0.13x sales despite serving Microsoft, Amazon, and Verizon; a takeout or rerating to peer CDN multiples implies $65-$200 per share — 6-10x upside.

N3 V2 C2
Greenlight Capital 2024-04-03

Solvay SA SOLB BB

Post-spin Solvay — a #1 essential-chemicals business — trades at ~7x trough 2024 EPS with ~10% dividend yield; normalized 2028 earnings support roughly doubling the stock.

N4 V3 C2
Kerrisdale Capital 2024-02-26

Carvana Co. CVNA

Carvana at $70 is priced as a tech disruptor, but it's 'just a dealership' with CarMax-like unit economics and a levered balance sheet — fair value is $16, -77%.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2024-02-13

Kenvue Inc. KVUE

Kenvue is an iconic consumer-health portfolio underperforming its potential — fixing margins and Skin Health & Beauty execution can close a wide valuation gap to Haleon and staples peers.

N4 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2024-02-08

Pershing Square Holdings (own closed-end fund review) PSH

PSH trades at a 27% discount to NAV despite 31.2% 5-yr compound NAV return

N2 V4 C3
Palliser Capital 2023-12-06

Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 KS

Samsung C&T trades at a 63% discount to its $40.4bn NAV; fixing capital allocation, governance and the opaque group structure closes a $25bn value gap worth ~170% upside.

N5 V4 C4
Palliser Capital 2023-10-17

Keisei Electric Railway 9009 JT

Keisei's 22% stake in Oriental Land hides $4.5bn of value; right-sizing it below 15% and adopting a capital allocation framework unlocks 76% upside for shareholders.

N4 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2023-10-17

GoDaddy GDDY

GoDaddy missed its 2022 Investor Day commitments as Tech & Development costs ballooned; cutting costs to hit 33%+ EBITDA margins re-rates FCF/share to $10+ and closes the peer-multiple gap.

N3 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2023-10-17

GoDaddy, News Corp, Fortrea

Starboard pitches three ideas: News Corp should separate Digital Real Estate to unlock ~50% upside, GoDaddy should expand margins to 33%+, and Fortrea can hit 18% peer margins under Tom Pike.

N4 V3 C3
Bluebell Capital 2023-10-04

BP plc BP

BP trades at a 44% discount to US majors because Looney's pivot away from oil & gas destroys value; reverse the strategy, return capital, and unlock 50%+ upside.

N4 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2023-10-01

News Corporation NWSA

News Corp's REA stake alone is worth $8B of its $12B EV — separating Digital Real Estate would expose Dow Jones and surface ~50% upside to ~$33/share.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2023-10-01

Bloomin' Brands BLMN

Bloomin' Brands trades at 5.0x EBITDA vs Darden's 9.5x because of operational execution failures at Outback; Starboard's Darden playbook can narrow the gap and unlock shareholder value.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2023-10-01

Fortrea Holdings Inc. FTRE

Fortrea, LabCorp's spun-out CRO, earns 9% EBITDA margins versus 18% peers; CEO Tom Pike's IQVIA playbook implies $47-$72 per share, 60-144% upside at normalized margins.

N4 V3 C3
Kerrisdale Capital 2023-06-15

Carvana Co. CVNA

Carvana is a poorly-run subprime used-car retailer buried under $6.5bn of debt; the recent 165% rally is a loan-sale mirage and the equity is worth zero.

N4 V3 C3
Greenlight Capital 2023-05-09

Vitesco Technologies VTSC

Vitesco trades at €2.6B EV — less than its ICE business alone is worth (€2.9-4.3B at peer multiples); buy the stock and get the high-growth EV-powertrain unit for free.

N5 V3 C2
Pershing Square 2023-02-09

Pershing Square Holdings (fund-level annual update) PSH

PSH outperformed S&P 500 by 930bps in 2022 thanks to interest-rate hedge

N2 V3 C2
Starboard Value 2023-02-06

Rogers Corporation ROG

Starboard's 6.5% stake in Rogers Corporation backs a board slate of specialty-materials veterans, arguing undervalued shares warrant fresh director expertise after the failed DuPont sale.

N2 V1 C1
Land & Buildings 2022-12-01

Six Flags Entertainment Corp. SIX

Six Flags' owned real estate is worth more than its entire equity value; spinning it to a REIT buyer like VICI plus fixing the botched 2022 repositioning can double the stock.

N4 V4 C4
Palliser Capital 2022-10-27

Capricorn Energy CNE

NewMed's all-share bid for Capricorn hands shareholders a 42% discount and a self-serving board deal; a cash-return plus Egypt-focused optimisation path unlocks 400p/share instead.

N5 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2022-10-19

Multiple (Wix, Salesforce, Splunk, Vertiv) WIX / CRM / SPLK / VRT

Four high-quality TMT names (Wix, Salesforce, Splunk, Vertiv) trade at multi-year-low valuations; closing the margin gap to peers as the market shifts from growth to profitability unlocks substantial FCF/share upside.

N4 V3 C3
Palliser Capital 2022-08-09

Capricorn Energy PLC CNE

Capricorn's board must withdraw its Tullow merger recommendation — a nil-premium takeover that hands Capricorn's cash to junk-rated creditors while standalone value of 330p offers 67% upside.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2022-07-28

Sunrun Inc. RUN

Sunrun's equity story rests on three shaky pillars — inflated subscriber values, abusive IRS tax-basis gaming, and fragile ABS — that together imply an 85% haircut to Net Earning Assets.

N4 V2 C2
Pershing Square 2022-04-20

Netflix NFLX

Ad-tier pivot makes subscriber growth, margins, and capital intensity unpredictable

N4 V2 C2