Contrarian Corpus

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Starboard Value 2026-02-18

Riot Platforms, Inc. RIOT

Riot's 1.7GW of powered Texas sites could generate $1.6bn of AI/HPC EBITDA and drive shares to $23-$53 if management urgently signs more hyperscaler deals like the AMD proof-of-concept.

N3 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2026-01-27

Toyota Industries Corporation 6201.T

Toyota Real Estate's ¥18,800 TOB undervalues Toyota Industries by 39% versus NAV and 85% on core business; shareholders should refuse to tender and pursue a standalone plan instead.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2026-01-27

Toyota Industries Corporation 6201

Toyota Industries' ¥18,800 take-private undervalues the company by 39%; shareholders should reject the tender and pursue a Standalone Plan worth >¥40,000 per share.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2026-01-18

Toyota Industries Corporation 6201

Toyota Industries' ¥18,800 take-private undervalues NAV ¥26,134 by 40%; rejecting the TOB and executing Elliott's Standalone Plan unlocks >¥40,000 per share by 2028.

N4 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2026-01-18

Toyota Industries Corporation 6201

Toyota Fudosan's ¥18,800 squeeze-out of Toyota Industries undervalues NAV by ~40%; reject the TOB and back Elliott's Standalone Plan targeting >¥40,000 per share by 2028.

N5 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2025-10-17

Multiple (BILL Holdings, Tripadvisor, Fluor Corporation)

Three contrarian longs at undemanding multiples: BILL needs Rule of 40 discipline, Tripadvisor should break up TheFork and fix Viator, and Fluor must separate its $4bn NuScale stake.

N4 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2025-10-01

Tripadvisor, Inc. TRIP

Tripadvisor trades at 6.5x EBITDA, half its peers, because investors still view it as a controlled legacy Tripadvisor.com — sell TheFork, fix Viator margins, revitalize the brand, or take the $18-19/share bid.

N4 V4 C4
Engine Capital 2025-08-11

Avantor, Inc. AVTR

Avantor's board has presided over five years of self-inflicted operational and capital-allocation failures; a refreshed board, cost discipline, buybacks and portfolio optimization can deliver 97-134% upside by 2027.

N4 V3 C3
Carl Icahn 2025-05-12

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's refining-plus-midstream conglomerate trades at a 6.1x discount to an 8.1x SOTP; breaking it up and replacing complacent directors unlocks ~75% upside to $183.

N5 V4 C4
Carl Icahn 2025-05-06

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 has underperformed Marathon by 511% under a complacent board; electing Elliott's four nominees and spinning Midstream/CPChem/JET unlocks ~75% upside ($103 → $183).

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-05-06

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 is a conglomerate trading at a refiner multiple; replace four directors, spin Midstream/CPChem/JET, and buy back 80% of shares for ~75% upside to $183.

N5 V4 C4
Carl Icahn 2025-04-28

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's conglomerate structure and failed governance have cost shareholders 97% vs. peers; spinning Midstream and reconstituting the board targets $183/share — +75% upside.

N5 V5 C5
Elliott Management 2025-04-28

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's conglomerate discount and lagging refining execution have cost shareholders 450% vs peers; spinning midstream, divesting CPChem, and refreshing the board unlock ~75% upside to $183.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-04-28

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's conglomerate structure has trapped value and lagged peers by 97% over 5 years; spinning midstream, fixing refining and refreshing the board unlocks ~75% upside to $183/share.

N5 V4 C4
Palliser Capital 2025-04-23

Keisei Electric Railway 9009

Keisei trades at a 39% discount because its US$5bn OLC stake masks chronic underperformance; capping it below 15% plus a refreshed 11-member board unlocks US$3bn.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-04-03

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's inefficient conglomerate structure hides $40B+ midstream value; spinning it off, refocusing on refining, and refreshing the Board could lift shares from ~$120 to $200+.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-03-27

Phillips 66 PSX

PSX has underperformed peers for a decade and the CEO is talking down the stock

N4 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-03-18

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's conglomerate structure masks world-class midstream and chemicals assets; separating them, fixing refining, and refreshing the board closes a decade-long 188% TSR gap versus peers.

N3 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-02-11

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's conglomerate hides world-class midstream worth $40bn+; spinning midstream, closing the $3.75/bbl refining gap to Valero, and refreshing the board can lift PSX from $120 to $200+.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-02-11

Phillips 66 PSX

Conglomerate structure hides a Midstream worth >$40bn standalone; market gives refining ~$1bn of credit

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-02-11

Phillips 66 PSX

Inefficient conglomerate structure trades like a refiner despite ~40% of EBITDA from midstream

N5 V4 C4
Kerrisdale Capital 2025-01-29

ACM Research, Inc. ACMR

ACMR trades at 1.1x revenue while its 82%-owned Shanghai subsidiary ACMS trades at 6x — a sum-of-parts gap that implies a 10-bagger as China's WFE self-sufficiency drive accelerates.

N4 V2 C2
Engine Capital 2025-01-17

Smiths Group plc SMIN

Smiths' four-segment conglomerate structure masks a ~50-60% SOTP discount; the Board should launch a strategic review to sell the company or spin John Crane into a U.S. listing.

N4 V2 C2
Palliser Capital 2024-12-01

Rio Tinto RIO

Rio Tinto's 29-year-old dual-listed structure has destroyed ~US$50bn of value; unifying into a single Ltd-led entity unlocks +27% near-term upside and restores scrip-M&A firepower.

N5 V4 C4
Kerrisdale Capital 2024-08-15

Lumen Technologies LUMN

Lumen's 400% AI-fueled rally is an optical illusion: $5bn in PCF deals is construction-contractor funding worth ~$1/share, masking an insolvent, secularly declining telco with $19bn debt.

N4 V3 C2
Muddy Waters 2024-06-03

CPI Property Group S.A. CPIPGR

CPI PG's controlling shareholder Vitek swapped €273m of personal debt for Dubai properties still under construction, sticking CPI PG with ~€220m of hidden progress payments while pocketing ~€118m.

N4 V2 C2
Oasis Management 2024-04-25

Kao Corporation 4452.JP

Kao has top-decile brands (Curel, Biore, Molton Brown) but bottom-decile management with a 'growth allergy' — fixing it Beiersdorf-style unlocks 76-97% upside.

N4 V4 C4
Bluebell Capital 2024-04-11

TIM S.p.A. (Telecom Italia) TIT

Vote Bluebell's slate to replace TIM's worst-in-class CEO Labriola with Google Cloud exec Laurence Lafont, halt strategic chaos, and unlock ~100% upside versus European telco peers.

N4 V3 C3
Palliser Capital 2023-12-06

Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 KS

Samsung C&T trades at a 63% discount to its $40.4bn NAV; fixing capital allocation, governance and the opaque group structure closes a $25bn value gap worth ~170% upside.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2023-11-29

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 has lost investor trust by taking its eye off refining; adding two refining-experienced directors — and Marathon's 2019 playbook if targets slip — unlocks ~75% upside to $205+.

N4 V2 C2
Palliser Capital 2023-10-17

Keisei Electric Railway 9009 JT

Keisei's 22% stake in Oriental Land hides $4.5bn of value; right-sizing it below 15% and adopting a capital allocation framework unlocks 76% upside for shareholders.

N4 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2023-10-17

GoDaddy GDDY

GoDaddy missed its 2022 Investor Day commitments as Tech & Development costs ballooned; cutting costs to hit 33%+ EBITDA margins re-rates FCF/share to $10+ and closes the peer-multiple gap.

N3 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2023-10-17

GoDaddy, News Corp, Fortrea

Starboard pitches three ideas: News Corp should separate Digital Real Estate to unlock ~50% upside, GoDaddy should expand margins to 33%+, and Fortrea can hit 18% peer margins under Tom Pike.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2023-10-13

Multiple (GoDaddy, News Corp, Fortrea) GDDY, NWSA, FTRE

Starboard pitches three activist ideas at the 2023 13D Monitor Summit — GoDaddy margin expansion, News Corp digital-real-estate separation, and Fortrea CRO profitability fix — each with 50%+ upside.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2023-10-01

News Corporation NWSA

News Corp's REA stake alone is worth $8B of its $12B EV — separating Digital Real Estate would expose Dow Jones and surface ~50% upside to ~$33/share.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2023-07-06

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. AQN

Starboard, now AQN's largest holder at 7.5%, says selling the unregulated renewables fixes leverage and the payout ratio, leaving a greener regulated utility worth a peer-premium re-rating.

N4 V1 C1
Elliott Management 2023-05-11

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company GT

Retail stores alone could be worth nearly Goodyear's entire market capitalization

N5 V4 C4
Greenlight Capital 2023-05-09

Vitesco Technologies VTSC

Vitesco trades at €2.6B EV — less than its ICE business alone is worth (€2.9-4.3B at peer multiples); buy the stock and get the high-growth EV-powertrain unit for free.

N5 V3 C2
Bluebell Capital 2023-04-12

Glencore Plc GLEN

Glencore's unsolicited Teck bid is structurally flawed; Glencore should first demerge thermal coal, Oil Marketing and Viterra, then merge with Teck to unlock a world-class transition-metals leader.

N4 V1 C1
Engine Capital 2023-03-22

Parkland Corporation PKI

Parkland's conglomerate mix of retail, refinery and distribution trades at a 3-turn discount to Couche-Tard; spin the non-core assets and refresh the stale board to unlock ~$45/share, roughly 55% upside.

N4 V2 C1
Oasis Management 2022-12-21

Digital Garage, Inc. 4819 JT

Digital Garage's fintech payments arm is starved by a distracted conglomerate; spinning off FinTech and dumping the Kakaku.com stake unlocks ~100% upside amid Japan's cashless boom.

N3 V2 C1
Oasis Management 2022-12-21

Digital Garage Inc. 4819 JT

Digital Garage is missing Japan's cashless-payments wave; spinning off DG Financial Technology, divesting Kakaku, and refocusing management would nearly double the stock and lift profit before tax from JPY4.5bn to JPY11.4bn.

N4 V2 C1
Palliser Capital 2022-12-19

Capricorn Energy PLC CNE

Capricorn's board is destroying value by forcing a low-ball NewMed sale; replacing seven directors unlocks up to 400p per share via Palliser's Value Optimisation Plan.

N4 V2 C1
Land & Buildings 2022-12-01

Six Flags Entertainment Corp. SIX

Six Flags' owned real estate is worth more than its entire equity value; spinning it to a REIT buyer like VICI plus fixing the botched 2022 repositioning can double the stock.

N4 V4 C4
Palliser Capital 2022-10-27

Capricorn Energy CNE

NewMed's all-share bid for Capricorn hands shareholders a 42% discount and a self-serving board deal; a cash-return plus Egypt-focused optimisation path unlocks 400p/share instead.

N5 V4 C4
Palliser Capital 2022-08-09

Capricorn Energy PLC CNE

Capricorn's board must withdraw its Tullow merger recommendation — a nil-premium takeover that hands Capricorn's cash to junk-rated creditors while standalone value of 330p offers 67% upside.

N4 V3 C3
Greenlight Capital 2021-05-12

Teck Resources TECK

Teck is the overlooked pick-axes play on the EV/green-electrification copper boom — QB2 doubles its copper mix and at forward-curve copper the stock is worth ~C$59, nearly double.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-11-11

MultiPlan Corp MPLN

MultiPlan is a financially-engineered SPAC corpse losing its biggest customer UHC to UHC's own competitor Naviguard; expect 35% revenue loss and 8x+ leverage by 2022.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2020-11-11

Sampo Oyj SAMPO

Sampo core insurance has de-rated ~8x P/E vs Nordic peers since 2018

N4 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2020-07-06

Crown Castle International CCI

Crown Castle's fiber capex earns just 3% ROI versus ~20% for its tower business

N5 V4 C4
Hindenburg Research 2020-04-20

New Pacific Metals NUAG

Bolivia-focused silver developer New Pacific trades 17x peers on concessions likely acquired illegally under a now-ousted regime; Hindenburg targets C$0.37, 90%+ downside.

N5 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2020-02-04

eBay Inc. EBAY

eBay is deeply undervalued; separating Classifieds at peer-level ~22x EBITDA multiples and enforcing a more aggressive Marketplace cost and revenue plan would unlock substantial upside versus today's 8.1x multiple.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2019-09-24

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

Separating Marathon into three independent businesses unlocks $22-$40bn of value (60%+ upside)

N5 V4 C4
Kerrisdale Capital 2019-07-01

CareDx, Inc. CDNA

CareDx is a $1.7bn story built on AllSure, a cfDNA kidney-rejection test that misses 40% of rejections and faces 70% annual patient attrition, competition and Medicare reset — ~70% downside.

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2019-06-20

AECOM ACM

AECOM is a collection of under-integrated franchises; a Jacobs-style operational overhaul plus outright sales of MS and CS can close a 5.3x multiple discount to peers.

N4 V3 C3
Third Point 2019-06-13

Sony Corporation 6758.T

Sony trades at a ~50% conglomerate discount; spinning Semiconductors into 'Sony Technologies', divesting listed stakes, and refocusing on entertainment unlocks ~2x SOTP upside.

N5 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2019-03-18

Bristol-Myers Squibb BMY

BMY is overpaying ~$30B for Celgene's risky pipeline, betting on 10 blockbusters in 8 years vs 3 in 15; shareholders should vote against and unlock 900bps of standalone margin upside.

N5 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2019-03-01

Bristol-Myers Squibb BMY

BMY's $91B Celgene deal bets the company on a REVLIMID patent cliff and pipeline requiring 10 blockbusters in 8 years — shareholders should vote no and pursue a standalone Amgen-style transformation.

N5 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2019-02-13

Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. (annual portfolio update; covers CMG, ADP, QSR, LOW, SBUX, HLT, UTX, HHC, FNMA/FMCC) PSH

PSH trades at 27% discount to NAV despite 13.8% net CAGR since 2004 vs 8.4% for S&P 500

N3 V3 C2
Starboard Value 2019-01-07

Dollar Tree, Inc. DLTR

Dollar Tree is deeply undervalued because Family Dollar is a failed acquisition and the $1 price ceiling is a self-imposed cap; selling Family Dollar and testing multi-price points unlocks $150/share.

N4 V2 C2