Contrarian Corpus
short seller research note initial thesis
2020-04-09 · 78 pages

Innovative Industrial Properties IIPR

Property-by-property forensic appendix shows IIPR overpaid for cannabis-grow real estate while tenants sit on empty or unbuilt sites, implying inflated rents and looming defaults.

N 3 Narrative
V 2 Visual
C 2 Craft
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Thesis

This Appendix II to Grizzly Research's April 2020 short report on Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) walks property-by-property through ~35 cannabis cultivation sites the REIT acquired and leased back to operators. For each site Grizzly compares IIPR's purchase price to county assessor valuations and prior deed sales, often finding 5x-40x markups within days or weeks of IIPR's closing, and documents on-the-ground visits showing empty warehouses, unbuilt facilities, or stalled construction. Tenants such as PharmaCann are flagged as financially distressed, making the implied 15%+ yields uncollectible. For each property Grizzly applies a 'Discount Treatment' that haircuts assumed 2020 rent by 26%-100%, building the quantitative case that IIPR's reported revenue and asset values are materially overstated and the equity is mispriced.

SCQA

Situation

IIPR is a cannabis-focused REIT that buys industrial and greenhouse properties from licensed operators and leases them back at headline yields above 15%, fueling fast revenue and stock-price growth.

Complication

On-site visits and county records show many properties were bought far above prior sale prices and assessor values, with buildings empty or unbuilt and tenants in dire financial shape — meaning the contractual rents are unlikely to be paid.

Resolution

Investors should haircut IIPR's reported rent stream property-by-property using the 'Discount Treatment' (26%-100% per site) reflecting overpayment and default risk, and reprice the equity accordingly.

Reward

Re-running IIPR's revenue with these per-property discounts collapses the yield narrative and supports a sharply lower fair value than the market is awarding the stock.

The three reasons

  1. 1

    IIPR systematically overpaid for cannabis grow properties vs. county assessor values and prior sales

  2. 2

    On-site visits show many properties empty, unfinished, or far from operational

  3. 3

    Tenants like PharmaCann face dire financials, making rent collection at quoted yields implausible

KPIs cited

Headline lease yield (Scott Township PA)
Annualized yield of 63% on initial $4.0M capital layout — implausibly high
Lansing MI property markup
Deed records show price jumped from $930k to $4.8M in roughly one week before IIPR purchase
Sacramento CA premium vs. county assessment
IIPR paid $6.7M vs. $2.57M county assessor roll value (and $2.6M prior 2017 sale)
Phoenix AZ The Pharm price spike
Property went from $1.2M to $2.0M in three days — 67% gain, ~8,151% annualized
Litchfield IL Grassroots premium
IIPR's $10.5M purchase exceeds 2019 county valuation of $501,630 by ~40x
Las Vegas NV MJardin markup
Property price doubled (+100%) within one year before IIPR's $3.8M purchase
Per-property rent discount applied
Discount Treatments range from 20% to 100% of assumed 2020 rent depending on overpayment and default risk

Pattern membership

Where this document fits across the library's 12 rhetorical / structural patterns. Orange cells are present in this deck; neutral cells are not.

Composition what's on the 75 slides

Visual + textual elements counted across every slide in this deck. Hover a box for what that element is; click to see every slide in the corpus that uses it.

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Notes

This is Appendix II to Grizzly Research's main short report on IIPR (cannabis REIT), not the main thesis deck — it is a property-by-property due-diligence catalog supporting the overpayment / inflated-rent claims. Format is Word-style report with consistent template per property: Core Issue / Transaction details / Address / Initial Terms / Independent due diligence / Discount Treatment, illustrated with site photos, satellite views, deed records, and county assessor screenshots. The 'Discount Treatment' mechanic — applying explicit 20%-100% haircuts to 2020 rent per site — is the distinctive analytical pattern. Branding is light (a small bear logo top-right of every page); no named human author on the appendix. Tenant PharmaCann's spokesman Jeremy Unruh is quoted as claiming a property would be operational in Q2 2020, then contradicted by Grizzly's site visit — a CEO/spokesman-quote-contradiction pattern. Sum-of-parts framing is implicit through aggregation of per-property valuations. Set thesis_one_liner / summary / SCQA from inferred main-report context since this appendix supports rather than restates the equity thesis.