Contrarian Corpus
short seller letter initial thesis
2011-06-28 · 7 pages

Spreadtrum Communications SPRD

Spreadtrum's 229.6% 2010 revenue jump cannot be reconciled with MediaTek's flat year, zero cash taxes were paid on $75M of profit, and CFO/auditor turnover points to material misstatement — Muddy Waters is short.

N 4 Narrative
V 1 Visual
C 1 Craft
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Thesis

Muddy Waters, writing as a disclosed short, publicly confronts SPRD Chairman Li with evidence that SPRD's reported 229.6% 2010 revenue jump cannot be reconciled with competitor MediaTek's 1.4% decline or Qualcomm's 5.5% growth, implying either an implausibly large China handset-chip market expansion or overstated numbers. The letter flags five red flags: near-simultaneous 2009 turnover of founder-CEO Ping Wu, two CFOs, an audit-committee member, and auditor Deloitte; $0 cash income taxes on $75.3M of pre-tax profit despite PRC provisional-tax rules; explosive growth in paper-documented balance-sheet accounts including advances from customers (to 108.6 days sales) and deferred cost (44.8% of inventory); and a $32.58M purchase of a 48.44% stake in distressed MobilePeak echoing the botched Quorum Systems deal that was impaired 71% within a year. Block closes with fifteen numbered questions he invites management to answer publicly.

SCQA

Situation

Spreadtrum Communications (NASDAQ: SPRD) is a US-listed Chinese fabless mobile-handset chip maker competing mainly against Taiwan's MediaTek, and reported a 229.6% revenue surge in 2010 after three essentially flat years.

Complication

The surge is irreconcilable with MediaTek's 1.4% decline, coincides with simultaneous 2009 turnover of CEO, two CFOs, audit-committee member, and auditor Deloitte, $0 cash tax on $75M pre-tax profit, and ballooning paper-documented accounts like deferred cost (44.8% of inventory).

Resolution

Muddy Waters has taken a short position and demands Chairman Li publicly answer fifteen enumerated questions covering revenue composition by product, the tax non-payment, management and auditor departures, balance-sheet opacity, and the distressed MobilePeak acquisition.

The three reasons

  1. 1

    SPRD's 229.6% 2010 revenue surge is irreconcilable with MediaTek (-1.4%) and Qualcomm (+5.5%)

  2. 2

    Zero cash income tax paid on $75.3M pre-tax profit violates PRC provisional tax rules

  3. 3

    Near-simultaneous 2009 turnover of CEO, two CFOs, audit-committee member, and auditor Deloitte

Primary demands

  • Publicly answer 15 enumerated questions on revenue composition, tax payments, management/auditor turnover, balance-sheet growth, and the MobilePeak acquisition
  • Explain the 229.6% 2010 revenue jump given MediaTek's flat year
  • Explain zero cash income tax paid on $75.3M 2010 pre-tax profit
  • Explain simultaneous 2009 turnover of CEO, two CFOs, an audit-committee member, and auditor Deloitte
  • Justify the $32.58M purchase of 48.44% of distressed MobilePeak

KPIs cited

2010 revenue growth
SPRD +229.6% vs. MediaTek -1.4% and Qualcomm +5.5%
Q3 2009 QoQ revenue growth
+136.6% immediately after CEO Ping Wu's resignation
Cash income taxes paid (2010)
$0 on $75.3M pre-tax income, inconsistent with PRC provisional-tax law
Advances from customers
Grew from $14,667K (2009) to $103,068K (2010); days sales 51.0 to 108.6
Deferred cost
Grew from $4,144K (2009) to $59,579K (2010); 44.8% of 2010 year-end inventory
Inventory turns
Fell from 2.62x (2009) to 1.46x (2010)
MobilePeak financials (SAIC)
2009 revenue only $0.3M, net income -$3.3M, negative operating cash flow — SPRD paid $32.58M for 48.44%
Quorum Systems precedent
$49.8M impairment (71.1% of $70M purchase price) within year of acquisition

Pattern membership

Where this document fits across the library's 12 rhetorical / structural patterns.

Precedents cited

  • Rino International Corp. fraud (paper-account red flag)
  • Quorum Systems acquisition (71.1% impairment within a year)

Notable slides (3)

Notes

Classic Muddy Waters interrogative short-letter format: Carson Block poses 15 questions rather than stating direct conclusions, preserving plausible deniability while publicly pressuring management. No valuation or target price given — the implied ask is that the stock re-rates down as answers fail to materialize. Word-document style with only the Muddy Waters logo as branding (page 1) and small data tables on pages 2, 4, 5. References the Rino International fraud as a pattern-matching precedent for paper-account red flags. Short position disclosed but size not quantified.