93 documents showing 61–93
Ferguson plc FERG
Ferguson is a US specialty distributor trapped in a UK listing; demerging Wolseley and relisting in the US closes a 10.4x-vs-17.2x EBITDA peer gap.
N4
V3
C3
⌂
AECOM ACM
AECOM is a collection of under-integrated franchises; a Jacobs-style operational overhaul plus outright sales of MS and CS can close a 5.3x multiple discount to peers.
N4
V3
C3
⌂
◫
”
Arconic Inc. ARNC
Arconic CEO Kleinfeld's veiled-extortion letter to Paul Singer forces his ouster; Elliott demands independent investigation, removal of complicit directors, and protection from whatever scheme Kleinfeld set in motion.
N4
V1
C1
”
⚑
General Electric GE
GE has quietly pivoted to a focused industrial post-GE Capital exit; executing 16% margins, prudent leverage and ~$100bn of buybacks gets the stock to $40-$45 by end-2017.
N4
V3
C2
⌂
◫
”
⇌
AerCap Holdings AER
AerCap, the largest independent aircraft lessor, trades at 8.5x earnings; the equity should rerate as the credit markets already have post-ILFC deal, supported by low-teens ROE and ~10% EPS CAGR.
N4
V3
C3
⌂
◫
”
⇌
⚑
Date
Fund
Target
Thesis
Scores
Aug 18, 2020
Spruce Point Capital
GFL Environmental Inc.
GFL
Spruce Point argues GFL Environmental is a 'terminal zero': a Canadian waste roll-up mimicking the Philip Services fraud playbook, with understated debt, CEO ties to organized crime, and 100% downside.
N5
V3
Dec 19, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Plug Power Inc.
PLUG
Plug Power's $1.5B valuation rests on a fake 'inflection to profitability' manufactured by ASC 842 lease accounting; strip the add-backs, face 80% dilution, and the stock trends to $0.
N5
V3
Nov 30, 2019
TCI Fund
Ferrovial
FER
TCI, a ~1% shareholder, commends Ferrovial's CDP 'A' grade but presses for stronger SBTI-aligned targets, RE100 membership, and leadership in de-carbonising aviation and road transport.
N2
V2
Nov 30, 2019
TCI Fund
Canadian Pacific Railway
CP
TCI, owner of ~8% of Canadian Pacific, demands the railroad close its CDP climate-disclosure gap versus peers CN and UNP and adopt a credible science-based transition plan.
N3
V2
Nov 30, 2019
TCI Fund
Airbus
AIR
TCI, a 1.5% Airbus shareholder since 2012, demands stronger climate disclosure, an A-grade CDP score, and Airbus leadership in mandating low-carbon synthetic aviation fuels — or TCI will vote against directors.
N2
V1
Nov 14, 2019
Trian Partners
Ferguson plc
FERG
Ferguson is a US specialty distributor trapped in a UK listing; demerging Wolseley and relisting in the US closes a 10.4x-vs-17.2x EBITDA peer gap.
N4
V3
Nov 13, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Cintas Corp.
CTAS
Cintas's fastest-growing fire inspection business is committing fraud while G&K integration masks financial strain — a sum-of-parts at peer M&A multiples implies 60-75% downside to $69-$107/sh.
N5
V4
Jul 24, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Mettler-Toledo International, Inc.
MTD
Mettler-Toledo's flawless EPS record masks aggressive capitalization, an empty Shanghai office, and PwC auditor conflicts — implying 30-50% downside to $410-$574 per share.
N5
V3
Jun 20, 2019
Starboard Value
AECOM
ACM
AECOM is a collection of under-integrated franchises; a Jacobs-style operational overhaul plus outright sales of MS and CS can close a 5.3x multiple discount to peers.
N4
V3
Jun 19, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Axon Enterprise (formerly TASER)
AAXN
Axon is a mature Taser maker masquerading as a SaaS cloud story; aggressive accounting, China-tariff margin pressure, and TAM inflation justify a $27.50-$40 target — 40-60% downside.
N4
V3
May 16, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
A.O. Smith Corporation
AOS
A.O. Smith's China growth is cracking while revenue-recognition red flags, unsustainable 40%+ margins and vanishing insider ownership point to 45-65% downside to $17.75-$27.30.
N4
V3
May 07, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Kornit Digital Ltd.
KRNT
Kornit's 2018 boom was an Amazon warrant-and-rebate illusion — 105% of cash flow came from one customer, a scandal-tainted CFO is covering it, leaving 75-85% downside to $4.50-$9.30.
N5
V3
Apr 09, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc.
AJRD
AJRD's rocket franchise is eroding as Blue Origin and SpaceX displace it; aggressive accounting and ~$900M ignored liabilities mask 5x leverage and 40-60% downside to $13-$20.
N4
V3
Dec 13, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
XPO Logistics, Inc.
XPO
XPO is a United-Rentals-style roll-up masking financial strain with aggressive accounting and a felon-linked board; normalized EPS is 47% overstated, implying 40–60% downside.
N5
V3
Oct 17, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Mercury Systems Inc.
MRCY
Mercury Systems faces 50-60% downside as Supermicro-hack exposure, missing cyber leadership, hidden A/R factoring, and the sector's richest multiple collide with rising DFARS compliance costs.
N4
V3
Aug 07, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Maxar Technologies
MAXR
Maxar's MDA-DigitalGlobe merger masks a collapsing satellite cycle and the most aggressive accounting Spruce Point has ever seen, leaving 5.8x-levered MAXR with 100% downside risk.
N5
V3
Mar 16, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
KTOS
Kratos is an overhyped drone play run by executives tied to the Titan FCPA scandal; with the weakest margins in defense and a recent Director fraud indictment, we see 40%-70% downside.
N4
V3
Jan 31, 2018
Muddy Waters
OSI Systems
OSIS
OSIS's rebuttal fails: S2 Albania's financials prove ICMS contributed no capital, making its 49% concession stake an unjustified conduit for corruption and confirming management's lost credibility.
N4
V1
Jan 25, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Ballard Power Systems
BLDP
Ballard's 167% 2017 rally rests on a fragile China fuel-cell story with weak partners and zero insider skin; expect a repeat of the Azure failure and 35-70% downside to $1.15-$2.50.
N4
V3
Dec 06, 2017
Muddy Waters
OSI Systems, Inc.
OSIS
OSIS is rotten to the core: the Albania concession was obtained via an apparent bribe, the Mexico turnkey is egregiously priced and up for renewal, and FCPA liability could erase a large chunk of the $1.6bn market cap.
N5
V2
Apr 20, 2017
Carl Icahn
Arconic Inc.
ARNC
Arconic CEO Kleinfeld's veiled-extortion letter to Paul Singer forces his ouster; Elliott demands independent investigation, removal of complicit directors, and protection from whatever scheme Kleinfeld set in motion.
N4
V1
Apr 11, 2017
Elliott Management
Arconic Inc.
ARNC
Arconic's CEO Kleinfeld is the worst-performing continuously tenured S&P 500 CEO; removing him and the board closes the PCC margin gap and re-rates the stock.
N5
V4
Dec 13, 2016
Muddy Waters
Nidec Corp.
6594 JP
Nidec is a gigantic stock promotion: zero organic growth and aggressive accounting hide behind a Facebook-like multiple — fair value JPY 4,764, ~52% downside.
N5
V2
Oct 05, 2015
Trian Partners
General Electric
GE
GE has quietly pivoted to a focused industrial post-GE Capital exit; executing 16% margins, prudent leverage and ~$100bn of buybacks gets the stock to $40-$45 by end-2017.
N4
V3
Apr 07, 2015
Greenlight Capital
AerCap Holdings
AER
AerCap, the largest independent aircraft lessor, trades at 8.5x earnings; the equity should rerate as the credit markets already have post-ILFC deal, supported by low-teens ROE and ~10% EPS CAGR.
N4
V3
Jan 15, 2014
Sandell
FirstGroup plc
FGP
FirstGroup's post-Laidlaw complexity and high-cost debt have crushed returns; spinning FirstGroup US to yield-hungry US investors, selling Greyhound, and right-sizing the balance sheet unlocks up to 191p.
N4
V3
Mar 01, 2013
Relational Investors
The Timken Company
TKR
Timken's bearings-plus-steel conglomerate masks value; separating the two pure-plays unlocks 29% upside to $68 and ends Timken-family board capture entrenching the status quo.
N4
V3
Feb 06, 2012
Pershing Square
Canadian Pacific Railway
CP
CP is the worst-performing Class I railroad under Fred Green; replacing him with Hunter Harrison — who transformed CN via Precision Scheduled Railroading — closes the peer gap and unlocks ~$140/share.
N5
V4
Apr 04, 2011
Muddy Waters
Duoyuan Global Water Inc.
DGW
DGW is a massive fraud overstating revenue by 100x; forged PRC audits, empty factory, and related-party tunneling to Chairman Guo imply the stock is worth under $1.
N5
V2
Nov 10, 2010
Muddy Waters
RINO International Corp.
RINO
RINO is a near-zero: 94% of its reported revenue is fabricated, customers deny buying its FGD systems, and founders are draining cash via the VIE; fair value $2.45 vs. $15.52.
N5
V2
—
White Diamond Research
GreenPower Motor Company
GP
GreenPower imports Chinese Eurise minibuses, re-decals them as 'EV Stars,' and survives only on California subsidies — fair value ~$1.54/share vs. declining revenues and 92% customer concentration.
N3
V1
—
White Diamond Research
ADOMANI
ADOM
ADOMANI is an electric-drivetrain reseller founded by convicted felons with zero 2017 revenues against a $69M forecast, yet trading at a $500M cap — White Diamond sees 90%+ downside.
N4
V1
—
Starboard Value
Fluor Corporation
FLR
Fluor's $4bn NuScale stake masks a transformed EPCM core trading at just 2.8x EBITDA; separating NuScale unlocks a re-rating to peer 6-13x multiples.
N4
V4