Contrarian Corpus

86 documents showing 61–86

Elliott Management 2023-11-29

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 has lost investor trust by taking its eye off refining; adding two refining-experienced directors — and Marathon's 2019 playbook if targets slip — unlocks ~75% upside to $205+.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2023-11-01

Sunrun RUN

Sunrun's Subscriber metric is fabricated — inflated ~20% above EIA filings — letting it overclaim ~$205M in IRS tax credits and prop up a fictitious valuation; Muddy Waters remains short.

N4 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2023-10-25

Sunrun Inc. RUN

Sunrun's non-GAAP Subscriber count exceeds mandatory EIA filings by ~20%, implying phantom customers, ~$1.5B of overstated Net Earning Assets (62.5% of market cap), and possible ITC tax fraud.

N4 V2 C2
Bluebell Capital 2023-10-04

BP plc BP

BP trades at a 44% discount to US majors because Looney's pivot away from oil & gas destroys value; reverse the strategy, return capital, and unlock 50%+ upside.

N4 V2 C1
Engine Capital 2023-04-20

Parkland Corporation PKI

Parkland's board re-nominated its 24-year chairman and set sub-cost-of-capital ROIC targets; Engine urges shareholders to WITHHOLD on all incumbents to force governance, pay, and portfolio reform.

N3 V1 C1
Palliser Capital 2022-12-19

Capricorn Energy PLC CNE

Capricorn's board is destroying value by forcing a low-ball NewMed sale; replacing seven directors unlocks up to 400p per share via Palliser's Value Optimisation Plan.

N4 V2 C1
Palliser Capital 2022-10-27

Capricorn Energy CNE

NewMed's all-share bid for Capricorn hands shareholders a 42% discount and a self-serving board deal; a cash-return plus Egypt-focused optimisation path unlocks 400p/share instead.

N5 V4 C4
Palliser Capital 2022-08-09

Capricorn Energy PLC CNE

Capricorn's board must withdraw its Tullow merger recommendation — a nil-premium takeover that hands Capricorn's cash to junk-rated creditors while standalone value of 330p offers 67% upside.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2022-08-03

Sunrun RUN

Muddy Waters rebuts Sunrun's response: the 90% PPA-renewal assumption on 20-year-old panels is fantasy, the $668M panel-removal liability is real, and RUN hides its tax basis.

N3 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2022-07-28

Sunrun Inc. RUN

Sunrun's equity story rests on three shaky pillars — inflated subscriber values, abusive IRS tax-basis gaming, and fragile ABS — that together imply an 85% haircut to Net Earning Assets.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2019-09-24

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

Separating Marathon into three independent businesses unlocks $22-$40bn of value (60%+ upside)

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2019-01-07

QEP Resources, Inc. QEP

QEP's core-of-the-core Permian assets are stranded in a broken public-company wrapper; Elliott offers $8.75/share cash — a 44% premium — to deliver certain value through sale.

N3 V1 C1
Carl Icahn 2018-05-24

SandRidge Energy SD

SandRidge trades at a ~45% discount to its own PV-10 because the post-bankruptcy 'bankruptcy board' destroys value via dilutive deals; replace it with Icahn's slate to run a real sale process.

N4 V3 C3
Greenlight Capital 2017-05-08

Core Laboratories CLB

Core Lab trades at 35x 2018e P/E — double its oilfield-service peers — on a false secular-growth narrative; mid-cycle earnings imply $62 fair value and ~45% downside.

N5 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2016-11-21

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

Marathon's integrated structure hides $14–19bn of value; dropping all MLP-qualifying assets to MPLX and spinning Speedway, refining, and midstream into three standalone companies would lift shares 60–80%+.

N4 V1 C1
Elliott Management 2016-11-01

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

Marathon is priced like a merchant refiner despite a 69% stable-earnings mix; dropping assets to MPLX and spinning Speedway, RefiningCo, and MidstreamCo unlocks $14-19bn (~60-80%+ upside).

N4 V4 C4
Greenlight Capital 2015-11-16

CONSOL Energy CNX

Market prices CONSOL as a dying coal miner, but its Marcellus/Utica shale gas acreage plus disciplined management make it worth $35.81/share versus $7.40 today.

N5 V3 C3
Greenlight Capital 2015-05-04

Pioneer Natural Resources PXD

Pioneer and the shale 'frackers' burn cash and destroy value on every BOE developed; their $27B market cap rests on proved reserves worth $3-8B — buy oil, not PXD.

N5 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2015-04-09

Noble Group NOBL

Muddy Waters is short Noble Group: a cash-burning commodities trader that manufactures EBITDA via sham affiliate transactions like the PT ALH $46M negative-goodwill scheme to keep credit flowing.

N4 V1 C1
Sandell 2014-11-01

TransCanada Corp TRP

TransCanada is an undervalued conglomerate; spinning off Energy and doing an all-in dropdown into TCP — Spectra-style — re-rates the parts to roughly $75/share.

N4 V4 C4
Sandell 2013-06-01

Spectra Energy Corp SE

Spectra Energy's conglomerate structure masks a premier energy infrastructure franchise; a three-step breakup — drop-down to SEP, WE IPO, DCP separation — unlocks $41-$48/share (32-55% upside).

N4 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2013-03-01

Hess Corporation HES

Hess intrinsic value is $96-$128/share vs. discounted current price - ~$50bn TEV trapped in opaque conglomerate

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2013-01-29

Hess Corporation HES

Hess intrinsic value is over $126/share — 94-153% upside to the current price

N5 V4 C4
TPG-Axon 2013-01-18

SandRidge Energy SD

CEO Tom Ward's family entities systematically flipped Mississippian Lime mineral rights to SandRidge and competed for adjacent acreage—evidence of self-dealing that warrants a board investigation and potential termination.

N4 V3 C4
Engine Capital

Parkland Corporation PKI

Parkland's board is running a sham strategic review to entrench itself; Engine demands a shareholder-driven board reconstitution before the 2025 Annual Meeting to unlock real value.

N3 V1 C1
Elliott Management

Hess Corporation HES

Hess has underperformed every relevant peer over every time frame of John Hess's 17-year CEO tenure

N5 V4 C4