14 documents showing 1–14

Oct 18, 2024

Spruce Point Capital

Erie Indemnity Company ERIE

ERIE's 25% management fee on its sole client — the loss-making Erie Insurance Exchange — looks unsustainable; a 2003-style cut plus peer-level multiple would drive 35-55% downside to $211-$317.

N4 V3

Mar 05, 2024

Spruce Point Capital

Zillow Group, Inc. Z

Zillow's Premier Agent core is saturated, NAR lawsuits will compress commissions, Flex/Super App cannot replace it, and aggressive revenue recognition masks decline — shares worth $23-$35 vs $57.

N4 V3

Mar 08, 2022

Starboard Value

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman has misled shareholders for 15 years — missed EBITDA targets, destroyed Textile Effects, fire-sold Venator — while a legacy board shielded management; elect Starboard's nominees.

N4 V3

Feb 28, 2022

Starboard Value

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman, led by the founding family for its entire history, has missed three consecutive investor-day targets and lags peer EBITDA margins by ~900bps; Starboard's four nominees can unlock ~600bps of margin expansion.

N5 V4

Feb 10, 2022

Starboard Value

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman has chronically underperformed chemicals peers and missed three straight Investor Day targets; Starboard (8.6%) seeks four new directors to restore accountability and unlock value.

N4 V3

Feb 10, 2022

Starboard Value

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman has underperformed peers by 575% since IPO and missed three straight Investor Day targets; elect four Starboard nominees on the BLUE card to restore board accountability.

N3 V2

Jan 12, 2022

Starboard Value

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman has missed every Investor Day target since 2014 and underperformed chemical peers by 330% since IPO; Starboard nominates four directors to force execution.

N4 V2

Apr 26, 2016

Pershing Square

Multiple (portfolio-level LP update: MDLZ, APD, ZTS, QSR, CP, HHC, VRX, PAH, NOMD, HLF short)

Mondelez 13% EBIT margin vs 17-26% peers implies +600-700 bps optimized EBIT upside under 3G playbook

N3 V3

May 16, 2012

Pershing Square

J.C. Penney Company, Inc. JCP

JCP has been chronically mismanaged for 20 years; new CEO Ron Johnson (ex-Target, ex-Apple Retail) with a dream team and a mall-within-a-mall remake can take the stock from $26 to $77-$125 by 2014.

N5 V4

Nov 21, 2011

Muddy Waters

Focus Media Holding Ltd. FMCN

Focus Media is the Olympus of China: it inflates its LCD screen count by 50%, systematically overpays for acquisitions it writes off, and enriches insiders at shareholders' expense.

N5 V2

Oct 19, 2009

Greenlight Capital

US/Japan Sovereign Debt & Fiat Currencies (Macro)

Bernanke and Geithner's short-termism has institutionalized too-big-to-fail and will debase fiat currencies — hedge with gold and long-dated options on higher US and Japanese rates.

N5 V1

Oct 06, 2009

Pershing Square

Realty Income Corporation O

Realty Income trades at a 7.3% cap rate — a ~40% premium to 10-11% private-market rates for the same junk-credit retail properties; downside to ~$14 (-46%).

N5 V3

Jan 18, 2006

Pershing Square

McDonald's Corporation MCD

McDonald's is fundamentally a franchise and real-estate royalty company hidden inside an underperforming restaurant operator; a 20% McOpCo IPO and segment financials force a sum-of-parts rerating to $46-$50/share.

N5 V3

Nov 15, 2005

Pershing Square

McDonald's Corporation MCD

McDonald's is a hidden real-estate and franchise business trading as a restaurant operator; IPO'ing 65% of McOpCo and re-levering PropCo unlocks $45-50 per share, a 37-52% premium.

N5 V3