NQ Mobile Inc. · NQ
8 decks published between 2013-10-24 and 2014-07-06 — 138 pages, 138 analysed slides total.
Timeline
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2013-10-24 initial thesis
2013 10 MW_NQ_10242013
81pp · research_noteNQ Mobile is a 'China Fraud 2.0': 72%+ of China revenue is fictitious, real market share is 1.4% not 55%, and the $127.9M cash balance is likely forged — target price under $1.
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2013-10-29 follow up
2013 10 MW_NQ_10292013
11pp · research_noteNQ Mobile's Oct 25 rebuttal of Muddy Waters' fraud report contained ten provable lies — Yidatong is NQ, revenue and market share are fabricated; reiterating price target under $1.
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2013-11-06 follow up
2013 11 MW_NQ_11062013
16pp · research_noteNQ Mobile's largest purported revenue source, Yidatong, is a controlled shell whose offices, tax filings, and carrier records all contradict NQ's story — we maintain a <$1 target.
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2013-11-12 follow up
2013 11 MW_NQ_11122013
6pp · research_noteNQ Mobile's credible-looking US management is a veneer hiding a $1.1bn fraud — Mathison conceals JCAP ties, Co-CEO Khan knows nothing, and pre-IPO partners include a convicted racketeer.
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2013-12-19 follow up
2013 12 MW_OfferToNQIC_12192013
9pp · letterNQ Mobile's independent-committee fraud probe is structurally compromised; Muddy Waters offers to fund Plante & Moran to audit the auditors and protect investors from another China-fraud whitewash.
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2014-04-13 follow up
2014 04 MW_NQ_04132014
7pp · research_noteNQ Mobile's surprise Q4 loss and negative cash flow under PwC's tougher audit confirm Muddy Waters' fraud thesis: revenue, acquisitions, and cash balances are all fabricated.
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2014-06-04 follow up
2014 06 MW_NQ_06042014
3pp · research_noteNQ's own investigation committee confirmed widespread data tampering — the same pattern that preceded Sino-Forest's collapse — so Muddy Waters maintains its fraud rating.
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2014-07-06 follow up
2014 07 MW_NQ_07062014
5pp · research_noteNQ's July 3 disclosures vindicate the fraud thesis: the audit chair resigned, PwC will never sign off, and insiders front-ran the news by dumping stock.