Contrarian Corpus
activist research note follow up
2002-06-17 · 27 pages

Allied Capital ALD

N 5 Narrative
V 2 Visual
C 1 Craft
Original source ↗

The three reasons

  1. 1

    Allied appears to flout SEC fair value rules by using SBA-style accounting to overstate NAV

  2. 2

    Business Loan Express is an Enron Raptor-like off-balance-sheet vehicle inflating reported earnings

  3. 3

    Dividend is funded by non-cash PIK income and premium equity sales, not operating cash flow

Primary demands

  • Full disclosure of financial statements for Business Loan Express and all other controlled companies
  • Public disclosure of Allied's contemporaneous valuation analyses for criticized investments (Velocita, Startec, Loewen, NetTel)
  • Mark the entire portfolio to reflect deterioration in middle-market loan values
  • Classify permanent impairments as charge-offs rather than 'unrealized depreciation'
  • Reconcile accounting policy to SEC's fair value guidance under the 1940 Act rather than SBA principles

KPIs cited

Portfolio carried above fair value
~35% of Allied's specialty finance portfolio per Greenlight's estimate
Deferred charge-offs
Over $65 million of charge-offs deferred via 'unrealized depreciation' treatment
Non-cash (PIK) income
$65 million of non-cash income paid out as dividend last year
Controlled-company fees
$29 million of fees charged to controlled investments in 2001, with interest rates up to 25%
BLX delinquencies
Rose from 3.5% in June 1999 to 14.5% in December 2001
Startec bond mark
Allied carried at 100% of cost while bonds quoted at 2-4.25% in 2001
BLX acquisition multiple
Purchased at 3.6x book value, a 60-80% premium to predecessor's trading value
Low-quality earnings
Controlled-co. fees + interest (~$56M) ≈ one-third of the $180M dividend paid in 2001
Dividend growth pledge
10% per year, requiring continuous premium-to-NAV equity issuance

Pattern membership

Where this document fits across the library's 12 rhetorical / structural patterns.

Notable slides (8)

Notes

Landmark Einhorn/Greenlight short thesis on Allied Capital, written follow-up to his May 15, 2002 Ira W. Sohn Conference presentation. Format is a 27-page written research memo/white paper (Word-doc styling, Times Roman, numbered footnotes), not a slide deck — hence low visual quality scores despite extraordinary narrative value. Classified as 'research_note' rather than 'letter' because it is structured as an analytical memorandum with executive summary, numbered thesis points, and extensive accounting/regulatory citations (ASR 113, ASR 118, ICI letter from SEC's Douglas Scheidt). Campaign_phase is 'follow_up' because the initial_thesis was the live Sohn presentation on May 15, 2002; this document explicitly exists to defend/elaborate against Allied's May 16 and May 29 rebuttal conference calls (including the Lanny Davis PR counter-offensive). Extensive use of CEO-quote-contradiction: Walton, Sweeney, Sparrow and Roll are quoted verbatim from conference calls and then their claims dismantled (e.g. Walton's 'quick buck' smear, Sweeney's audit-guide explanation, Merrill Lynch's 'we were mistaken' retraction). Page 15 contains the Startec bond-quote-vs-Allied-mark table, the most chart-like artifact in the document. Campaign outcome famously: Greenlight right — Allied settled SEC charges in 2007, taken private 2010, and Einhorn wrote the book 'Fooling Some of the People All of the Time' (2008) about this saga.