Contrarian Corpus

48 documents showing 1–48

Muddy Waters 2026-03-30

SoFi Technologies SOFI

SOFI booked a $312M JPMorgan borrowing as a loan sale, inflating ~$1B of EBITDA and enriching management while shareholders absorb ~15% annual dilution.

N4 V3 C2
Muddy Waters 2026-03-22

SoFi Technologies SOFI

SOFI's silence on 11 specific accounting questions confirms Muddy Waters' view that 2025 Adjusted EBITDA is inflated ~90% via mislabeled financings, hidden debt, and misstated risk retention.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2026-03-17

SoFi Technologies, Inc. SOFI

SoFi's $1,054M reported 2025 EBITDA is ~90% inflated via manipulated charge-off rates, off-balance-sheet VIEs and subsidized seller-financed sales that feed CEO Noto's comp — real EBITDA is ~$103M.

N5 V3 C3
Citron Research 2026-03-01

Credit Acceptance Corporation CACC

Citron reverses course on CACC: with CFPB/NYAG overhang resolved Feb 13 2026, 61% of float retired, and an Amazon-bred CEO, fair value is $714 (16x 2026E EPS of $44.62).

N4 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2025-01-16

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac FNMA / FMCC

Treasury's warrants and residual stake could generate ~$300bn for taxpayers over time

N5 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2025-01-16

Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac (GSEs) FNMA / FMCC

Releasing GSEs from conservatorship could generate ~$300bn for taxpayers via Treasury warrants

N5 V4 C3
Pershing Square 2025-01-16

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac FNMA/FMCC

N1 V2 C1
Pershing Square 2025-01-15

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac FNMA/FMCC

N1 V2 C1
Bluebell Capital 2024-04-30

BlackRock BLK

BlackRock preaches stewardship to others while combining Chair and CEO under Larry Fink; shareholders should vote FOR Bluebell's Item 6 to require an independent Chair from 2025.

N4 V2 C1
Bluebell Capital 2024-04-09

BlackRock, Inc. BLK

BlackRock's governance trails the S&P 500 on every metric, its stewardship team is overwhelmed, and TSR has merely tracked the market since 2009 — separate Chair and CEO to restore independent oversight.

N4 V3 C3
Bluebell Capital 2024-04-09

BlackRock BLK

BlackRock's combined Chair/CEO and below-peer governance have delivered only market-matching TSR since 2009 and fuel greenwashing risk; shareholders should vote FOR an Independent Chair at the 2024 AGM.

N4 V3 C3
Bluebell Capital 2024-04-09

BlackRock BLK

BlackRock's combined CEO/Chair role and entrenched Lead Independent Director leave the board without true oversight; bylaws should mandate an Independent Chair from AGM 2025.

N4 V2 C3
Bluebell Capital 2024-04-05

BlackRock, Inc. BLK

Bluebell demands BlackRock separate the combined Chair/CEO role via a binding bylaw amendment at the 2024 AGM, offering to withdraw only if the Board irrevocably commits to an independent Chair from 2025.

N2 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2024-02-15

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. FFH

Muddy Waters poses five forensic questions to Fairfax management that, if answered honestly, would expose return-of-capital dividends, off-balance-sheet debt via NCIs, and fair-value gain engineering.

N3 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2024-02-08

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. FFH

Muddy Waters is short Fairfax Financial, arguing it is 'the GE of Canada' — a serial accounting manipulator whose book value is overstated by ~$4.5bn (~18%) through value-destructive transactions.

N4 V3 C2
Citron Research 2023-04-19

Freedom Holding Corp FRHC

FRHC funnels 85% of revenue through a CEO-owned Belize affiliate (FFIN) sourcing Russian flows — an FTX/Alameda structure that should trigger restatement, sanctions violations, and Nasdaq delisting.

N4 V2 C1
Oasis Management 2022-12-21

Digital Garage Inc. 4819 JT

Digital Garage is missing Japan's cashless-payments wave; spinning off DG Financial Technology, divesting Kakaku, and refocusing management would nearly double the stock and lift profit before tax from JPY4.5bn to JPY11.4bn.

N4 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2022-11-16

DLocal Ltd. DLO

Muddy Waters is short DLO: contradictory TPV disclosures, implausibly high FX-driven take rates, governance failures and ~$1bn of insider selling point to likely fraud at the Uruguay-based payments processor.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2022-08-25

Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital HASI

HASI is 'dumb money' in renewables JVs — sponsors cash out while HASI books non-cash HLBV income on investments unlikely to ever pay out, inflating reported earnings over real economics.

N4 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2022-07-12

Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital HASI

HASI is a short: its GAAP and non-GAAP 'Distributable Earnings' are inflated by three non-cash accounting tricks and roundtripped SunStrong loans, masking a cash-losing, capital-raise-dependent business.

N4 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2021-05-13

Lemonade, Inc. LMND

Muddy Waters is short Lemonade after discovering a critical session-fixation flaw that exposed customer PII to Google's index — a negligence that shatters Lemonade's 'trustworthy' digital-native brand.

N4 V1 C1
Elliott Management 2020-11-11

Sampo Oyj SAMPO

Sampo core insurance has de-rated ~8x P/E vs Nordic peers since 2018

N4 V4 C4
Trian Partners 2020-11-05

Invesco Ltd. IVZ

Trian is now Invesco's second-largest shareholder with ~9.9% of common stock

N2 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2020-05-12

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's 2019 financials rely on reclassifications and definition changes to mask an -11.8% drop in cash receipts, -35.5% drop in deployments, and $20.6m of unexplained fair-value gains.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-02-10

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's dismal H2 2019 — 85% YoY collapse in realized gains, Petersen sold to its own fund, vanishing cash, and a lost Perry Ellis ruling — validates Muddy Waters' short thesis on aggressive marks and a flawed model.

N4 V1 C1
TCI Fund 2019-11-30

S&P Global SPGI

TCI, a ~1% holder, urges S&P Global to lead on climate disclosure: report fully to CDP, adopt a Paris-aligned transition plan, and push mandatory GHG disclosure across the companies it rates.

N3 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-09-24

Burford Capital BUR

Burford cherry-picks which investments count as 'concluded' to avoid truing up marks; the 110% vs 19% gap between unconcluded and concluded returns exposes systematic fair-value manipulation.

N3 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-08-27

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's rebuttal on Napo is a dodge: a 2013 Glenmark arbitration MW surfaces proves Napo was a failed investment BUR disguised as a winner.

N3 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-08-16

Burford Capital Ltd. BUR

Muddy Waters hires ex-CIA behavioral analysts Qverity to show Burford management's rebuttal is riddled with evasion, aggression and persuasion — corroborating the original fraud thesis.

N4 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-08-13

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's rebuttal confirms it: aggressive mark-to-model fair-value gains, manipulated ROIC/IRR, and a CEO-CFO marriage make BUR an Enron-style stock promotion the FCA should investigate.

N4 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-08-07

Burford Capital Ltd. BUR LN

Burford is a poor litigation-finance business masquerading as a great one through Enron-like fair value accounting, four-case concentration, and a CEO-wife CFO — and is arguably insolvent.

N5 V2 C2
Citron Research 2019-06-01

FleetCor Technologies FLT

FleetCor's Clean Advantage carbon-offset program is a $100M+ green fraud — 97% of fees stay with FLT, demanding CEO Clarke's resignation and implying ~57% downside.

N4 V3 C3
Trian Partners 2019-05-20

Legg Mason LM

Trian owns ~4.5% and returns as a significant shareholder

N1 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2018-10-04

Manulife Financial Corporation MFC

Muddy Waters is short Manulife because a Saskatchewan verdict due by year-end could force MFC to accept unlimited deposits at a guaranteed 4%+ rate — an unhedgeable bleed its own expert admits could cause insolvency.

N4 V2 C2
Greenlight Capital 2018-04-23

Assured Guaranty AGO

Assured Guaranty is a melting-ice-cube bond insurer aggressively returning capital it hasn't earned; Puerto Rico losses alone (2-4x reserves) will force a capital raise or strip the AA rating it needs to write new business.

N5 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2017-12-20

China Internet Nationwide Financial Services Inc. CIFS

CIFS is an old-style China reverse-merger fraud dressed up as a Reg A+ IPO; SAIC filings show 5x revenue overstatement, every disclosed borrower is a sham, and the equity is worthless.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2016-02-04

Bank of East Asia, Limited 0023.HK

BEA delivered 2.7% annualised return since 1997 vs 12.8% for family-run HK bank peers

N4 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2015-11-16

American Capital Ltd. ACAS

ACAS trades at 71% of NAV vs 115% peer median — chronic discount since 2008

N4 V4 C4
Marcato 2015-03-01

The Bank of New York Mellon BK

BNY Mellon has squandered the 2007 Mellon merger under CEO Hassell; cutting ~10,000 excess FTEs and installing new leadership closes the State Street gap for 114% upside.

N4 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2014-05-05

Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac FNMA / FMCC

Reformed GSEs worth $23-$47/share vs $3.98 today — 6x to 12x upside

N4 V4 C3
Kerrisdale Capital 2014-04-07

BofI Holding BOFI

N3 V3 C3
Trian Partners 2012-06-18

Lazard Ltd LAZ

Lazard's premier advisory and asset-management franchise trades at a discount; executing the April 2012 plan to 25%+ margins, disciplined capital return, and stronger governance can nearly double the stock to ~$51.

N4 V3 C3
Trian Partners 2011-10-16

State Street Corporation STT

State Street subsidized growth at the expense of profitability; committing to 35% EBT margins, capital return, and a possible SSgA spin can lift shares from $34 to ~$99 by 2014.

N4 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2011-09-14

Hong Kong Monetary Authority / HKD-USD Peg

HKD peg forces Hong Kong to import ultra-loose U.S. monetary policy despite a vastly stronger economy

N5 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2010-05-26

NRSRO Rating Agencies (Moody's, S&P, Fitch)

Rating agencies caused trillions in losses by rubber-stamping structured finance and bond insurers

N4 V3 C2
Greenlight Capital 2008-05-21

Lehman Brothers LEH

Lehman is using fair-value accounting tricks to hide CDO losses and inflate Level 3 marks; the firm is over-levered, opaque, and needs to recapitalize before the Fed has to step in.

N5 V2 C1
Greenlight Capital 2008-05-21

Lehman Brothers LEH

Lehman quietly disclosed $6.5bn of previously hidden CDO exposure but took only a $200m write-down

N5 V2 C2
Greenlight Capital 2002-06-17

Allied Capital ALD

Allied appears to flout SEC fair value rules by using SBA-style accounting to overstate NAV

N5 V2 C1