Contrarian Corpus
activist letter initial thesis
2020-09-22 · 5 pages

Apartment Investment and Management Company AIV

AIV's proposed taxable reverse spin-off won't close its 18% NAV discount and lets Considine duck 25 years of underperformance; demand a shareholder vote or explore a sale at $58 — 75% upside.

N 3 Narrative
V 2 Visual
C 1 Craft
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Thesis

Land & Buildings, a large AIV shareholder, opposes the proposed reverse spin-off separating Apartment Investment and Management Company into Apartment Income REIT (AIR) and Aimco, arguing the taxable transaction will fail to close AIV's ~18% five-year discount to its $58/share NAV and is a thinly veiled attempt by Chairman and CEO Terry Considine and the Board to escape a decades-long track record of underperformance (1,032% vs. 1,946% peer total shareholder return since the 1994 IPO, a 914% gap). The letter contends RemainCo will trade at a further discount as a small, complex, low-cash-flow land and development vehicle, while the deliberately taxable structure unnecessarily crystallizes shareholder tax liability. L&B demands the Board put the spin-off to a shareholder vote and genuinely explore a sale near the $58 NAV — 75% upside — or face a special-meeting proxy solicitation filed September 28, 2020.

SCQA

Situation

AIV is a publicly traded apartment REIT chaired and led since its 1994 IPO by Terry Considine, owning high-quality assets yet persistently trading at a substantial discount to its own $58/share NAV estimate.

Complication

On September 14, 2020 AIV announced a taxable reverse spin-off into AIR and Aimco that won't close the NAV gap, crystallizes an undisclosed tax liability, and is structured to dodge any shareholder vote before the 2021 annual meeting.

Resolution

Put the spin-off to a binding shareholder vote and explore a sale; otherwise Land & Buildings will file preliminary proxy materials on September 28, 2020 to call a special meeting for an advisory vote.

Reward

Selling the Company near the $58/share NAV — corroborated by the recent $2.4 billion California portfolio sale at a ~4% cap rate — implies roughly 75% upside from the September 21, 2020 close.

The three reasons

  1. 1

    AIV has underperformed apartment peers by 914% in total shareholder return since 1994 IPO

  2. 2

    Taxable spin-off crystallizes tax bill and leaves RemainCo as small, complex, low-cash-flow vehicle

  3. 3

    $58/share NAV implies 75% upside; $2.4bn California sale at ~4% cap rate corroborates it

Primary demands

  • Put the proposed reverse spin-off to a binding shareholder vote
  • Fully disclose whether the Board explored all strategic alternatives, including a sale of the Company
  • Abandon or restructure the taxable spin-off that crystallizes unnecessary tax liability
  • Hold Chairman/CEO Terry Considine and the Board accountable for decades of underperformance

KPIs cited

Total shareholder return since IPO (AIV)
1,032% from July 1994 through September 18, 2020
Total shareholder return since IPO (Proxy Apartment Peer Average)
1,946% over the same period
AIV underperformance vs. peer average
-914% TSR gap since 1994 IPO
Discount to NAV
~18% average over trailing five years; AIV never traded at or above NAV
Stated NAV per share
$58 per share; implies 75% upside from September 21, 2020 close
California apartment portfolio sale
$2.4 billion sale at ~4.0% cap rate validating $58 NAV
Share of enterprise value in taxable spin-off
~90% of AIV's enterprise value to be spun as AIR

Pattern membership

Where this document fits across the library's 12 rhetorical / structural patterns.

Notable slides (3)

Notes

Hybrid press release + letter format: PR boilerplate wraps a substantive letter signed by Jonathan Litt. Classified as 'letter' because the argumentative content dominates. Stake disclosed in share counts (L&B Capital 426,106; L&B Real Estate 484,581; L&B Opportunity 54,912; Managed Account 1,100,875 = ~2.07M shares) but no ownership percentage stated, so stake_disclosed_pct left null. Single peer-gap data point shown as a small table (TSR since IPO), not a chart, but functions as peer-gap framing. Third-party support cited via Citi analyst Michael Bilerman's 'Trading a Quarter for Two Dimes' downgrade note.