28 documents showing 1–28
Vitesco Technologies VTSC
Vitesco trades at €2.6B EV — less than its ICE business alone is worth (€2.9-4.3B at peer multiples); buy the stock and get the high-growth EV-powertrain unit for free.
N5
V3
C2
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Ferguson plc FERG
Ferguson is a US specialty distributor trapped in a UK listing; demerging Wolseley and relisting in the US closes a 10.4x-vs-17.2x EBITDA peer gap.
N4
V3
C3
⌂
AECOM ACM
AECOM is a collection of under-integrated franchises; a Jacobs-style operational overhaul plus outright sales of MS and CS can close a 5.3x multiple discount to peers.
N4
V3
C3
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General Electric GE
GE has quietly pivoted to a focused industrial post-GE Capital exit; executing 16% margins, prudent leverage and ~$100bn of buybacks gets the stock to $40-$45 by end-2017.
N4
V3
C2
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AerCap Holdings AER
AerCap, the largest independent aircraft lessor, trades at 8.5x earnings; the equity should rerate as the credit markets already have post-ILFC deal, supported by low-teens ROE and ~10% EPS CAGR.
N4
V3
C3
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Date
Fund
Target
Thesis
Scores
Jul 22, 2025
Spruce Point Capital
Limbach Holdings, Inc.
LMB
Limbach's ODR recurring-revenue story masks decelerating organic growth, aggressive accounting, and fraud-linked directors; at 18x FY26E EBITDA we see 20-50% downside to $62-99/share.
N4
V3
Apr 01, 2025
Citron Research
Vishay Precision Group
VPG
VPG is the unnoticed picks-and-shovels supplier of precision sensors to Tesla's Optimus humanoid program; at $300M market cap and 0.9x book, Wall Street has completely missed the asymmetric upside.
N3
V2
Jan 23, 2025
Spruce Point Capital
Construction Partners, Inc.
ROAD
ROAD is a levered Sunbelt asphalt roll-up whose Florida DOT engine is quietly stalling — FOIA shows -22% award decline — and its $1bn Lone Star deal masks the gap; we see 35-50% downside.
N4
V3
Jan 17, 2025
Engine Capital
Smiths Group plc
SMIN
Smiths' four-segment conglomerate structure masks a ~50-60% SOTP discount; the Board should launch a strategic review to sell the company or spin John Crane into a U.S. listing.
N4
V2
Jan 15, 2025
Muddy Waters
FTAI Aviation Ltd.
FTAI
FTAI is a dressed-up engine-leasing business posing as a high-margin MRO — whole-engine sales counted as three modules and intra-segment depreciation transfers fabricate the aerospace-aftermarket story.
N5
V3
Jun 10, 2024
Elliott Management
Southwest Airlines
LUV
Southwest's market cap has halved as a 36-year-insider CEO refuses to evolve; replacing the Board and CEO and modernizing the commercial model targets $49 — 77% upside.
N5
V4
Jun 10, 2024
Elliott Management
Southwest Airlines
LUV
Southwest's 47-year profit streak has collapsed into worst-in-class margins under entrenched leadership; refreshing the board and hiring an external CEO unlocks 77% upside to $49.
N5
V4
Oct 17, 2023
Palliser Capital
Keisei Electric Railway
9009 JT
Keisei's 22% stake in Oriental Land hides $4.5bn of value; right-sizing it below 15% and adopting a capital allocation framework unlocks 76% upside for shareholders.
N4
V4
Oct 17, 2023
Ancora
Forward Air Corporation
FWRD
Forward Air's $3.2B Omni Logistics deal destroys shareholder value; block the deal, replace CEO Tom Schmitt and the Board, and shares rerate to $140-$145.
N4
V3
Oct 04, 2023
Spruce Point Capital
Rollins Inc.
ROL
Rollins is the 'Cockroach' of activism: SEC settlement, auditor swap, family insider sales, and a 27x EBITDA multiple set up 30-40% downside as Rentokil/Terminix and PE roll-ups erode the moat.
N4
V3
May 09, 2023
Greenlight Capital
Vitesco Technologies
VTSC
Vitesco trades at €2.6B EV — less than its ICE business alone is worth (€2.9-4.3B at peer multiples); buy the stock and get the high-growth EV-powertrain unit for free.
N5
V3
Feb 08, 2023
Ancora
Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers
RBA
Back the amended RBA-IAA merger: $350-900M of synergies, a Starboard/Ancora-refreshed board, and Luxor's anti-deal case is flawed — RBA should re-rate from $62 to ~$130.
N4
V3
Jun 22, 2022
Spruce Point Capital
Generac Holdings, Inc.
GNRC
Generac is a COVID-era generator beneficiary masking collapsing core demand and a string of shady clean-energy acquisitions; Spruce Point sees 40-50% downside to $110-$132/share.
N4
V3
Nov 14, 2019
Trian Partners
Ferguson plc
FERG
Ferguson is a US specialty distributor trapped in a UK listing; demerging Wolseley and relisting in the US closes a 10.4x-vs-17.2x EBITDA peer gap.
N4
V3
Nov 13, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Cintas Corp.
CTAS
Cintas's fastest-growing fire inspection business is committing fraud while G&K integration masks financial strain — a sum-of-parts at peer M&A multiples implies 60-75% downside to $69-$107/sh.
N5
V4
Jul 24, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Mettler-Toledo International, Inc.
MTD
Mettler-Toledo's flawless EPS record masks aggressive capitalization, an empty Shanghai office, and PwC auditor conflicts — implying 30-50% downside to $410-$574 per share.
N5
V3
Jun 20, 2019
Starboard Value
AECOM
ACM
AECOM is a collection of under-integrated franchises; a Jacobs-style operational overhaul plus outright sales of MS and CS can close a 5.3x multiple discount to peers.
N4
V3
May 07, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Kornit Digital Ltd.
KRNT
Kornit's 2018 boom was an Amazon warrant-and-rebate illusion — 105% of cash flow came from one customer, a scandal-tainted CFO is covering it, leaving 75-85% downside to $4.50-$9.30.
N5
V3
Oct 17, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Mercury Systems Inc.
MRCY
Mercury Systems faces 50-60% downside as Supermicro-hack exposure, missing cyber leadership, hidden A/R factoring, and the sector's richest multiple collide with rising DFARS compliance costs.
N4
V3
Mar 16, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
KTOS
Kratos is an overhyped drone play run by executives tied to the Titan FCPA scandal; with the weakest margins in defense and a recent Director fraud indictment, we see 40%-70% downside.
N4
V3
Jan 25, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Ballard Power Systems
BLDP
Ballard's 167% 2017 rally rests on a fragile China fuel-cell story with weak partners and zero insider skin; expect a repeat of the Azure failure and 35-70% downside to $1.15-$2.50.
N4
V3
Dec 13, 2016
Muddy Waters
Nidec Corp.
6594 JP
Nidec is a gigantic stock promotion: zero organic growth and aggressive accounting hide behind a Facebook-like multiple — fair value JPY 4,764, ~52% downside.
N5
V2
Oct 05, 2015
Trian Partners
General Electric
GE
GE has quietly pivoted to a focused industrial post-GE Capital exit; executing 16% margins, prudent leverage and ~$100bn of buybacks gets the stock to $40-$45 by end-2017.
N4
V3
Apr 07, 2015
Greenlight Capital
AerCap Holdings
AER
AerCap, the largest independent aircraft lessor, trades at 8.5x earnings; the equity should rerate as the credit markets already have post-ILFC deal, supported by low-teens ROE and ~10% EPS CAGR.
N4
V3
Jan 15, 2014
Sandell
FirstGroup plc
FGP
FirstGroup's post-Laidlaw complexity and high-cost debt have crushed returns; spinning FirstGroup US to yield-hungry US investors, selling Greyhound, and right-sizing the balance sheet unlocks up to 191p.
N4
V3
Mar 01, 2013
Relational Investors
The Timken Company
TKR
Timken's bearings-plus-steel conglomerate masks value; separating the two pure-plays unlocks 29% upside to $68 and ends Timken-family board capture entrenching the status quo.
N4
V3
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White Diamond Research
GreenPower Motor Company
GP
GreenPower imports Chinese Eurise minibuses, re-decals them as 'EV Stars,' and survives only on California subsidies — fair value ~$1.54/share vs. declining revenues and 92% customer concentration.
N3
V1
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Starboard Value
Fluor Corporation
FLR
Fluor's $4bn NuScale stake masks a transformed EPCM core trading at just 2.8x EBITDA; separating NuScale unlocks a re-rating to peer 6-13x multiples.
N4
V4