353 documents showing 241–300
Date
Fund
Target
Thesis
Scores
Jun 01, 2019
Citron Research
FleetCor Technologies
FLT
FleetCor's Clean Advantage carbon-offset program is a $100M+ green fraud — 97% of fees stay with FLT, demanding CEO Clarke's resignation and implying ~57% downside.
N4
V3
May 30, 2019
Grizzly Research
Intelligent Systems Corp
INS
Grizzly argues INS's sudden 2018 revenue surge is a round-trip scheme via undisclosed related-party shells in India run by employees; fair value is ~$5, 85% below $34.
N4
V2
May 24, 2019
Muddy Waters
Casino Guichard-Perrachon
CO
Rallye, Finatis, Euris and Foncière Euris entering procédure de sauvegarde vindicates MW's 2015 warnings
N3
V1
May 24, 2019
Muddy Waters
Casino Guichard-Perrachon
CO
Rallye's safeguard filing vindicates Muddy Waters' 2015 warning that Casino was being hollowed out to sustain Jean-Charles Naouri's parasitic, debt-laden holding structure.
N3
V1
May 23, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Verint Systems, Inc.
VRNT
Verint's reported 8% growth is a mirage of M&A, FX and ASC 606 tailwinds masking negative organic growth; rerate to BPO peer multiples for 60-70% downside to $17-25.
N4
V3
May 16, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
A.O. Smith Corporation
AOS
A.O. Smith's China growth is cracking while revenue-recognition red flags, unsustainable 40%+ margins and vanishing insider ownership point to 45-65% downside to $17.75-$27.30.
N4
V3
May 07, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Kornit Digital Ltd.
KRNT
Kornit's 2018 boom was an Amazon warrant-and-rebate illusion — 105% of cash flow came from one customer, a scandal-tainted CFO is covering it, leaving 75-85% downside to $4.50-$9.30.
N5
V3
Apr 30, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
PetIQ, Inc.
PETQ
PetIQ's grey-market vet-drug margins and rebate-dependent earnings are unsustainable as Merial goes direct-to-retail, while a $200M wellness-center cash burn and the CEO's Petters/Fleming ties imply 75-90% downside.
N5
V3
Apr 24, 2019
Bonitas Research
Best World International
CGN
research note
N1
V1
Apr 09, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc.
AJRD
AJRD's rocket franchise is eroding as Blue Origin and SpaceX displace it; aggressive accounting and ~$900M ignored liabilities mask 5x leverage and 40-60% downside to $13-$20.
N4
V3
Mar 21, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Dexcom, Inc.
DXCM
Dexcom's blow-out growth is a sugar high — driven by hidden price hikes and sensor stockpiling — and Abbott's cheap Libre 2 will commoditize CGMs, taking DXCM down 45-60% to $65-$85.
N4
V3
Mar 01, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Carvana Co.
CVNA
Carvana is a CCC+-rated subprime used-car dealer masquerading as a tech disruptor; Spruce Point sees 56-83% downside to $7.50-$19.60, with a credible path to zero.
N4
V3
Feb 25, 2019
Muddy Waters
Inogen
INGN
INGN's growth narrative rests on an inflated $3-4B TAM that Medicare data contradicts; under a realistic 1.3M-user market, peak unit sales arrive this year or next.
N4
V1
Feb 15, 2019
Citron Research
Inogen
INGN
Inogen's growth is built on a reseller network that lies to elderly customers about Medicare coverage to force cash sales — competition and oversight will collapse margins to a $46 stock.
N4
V2
Feb 08, 2019
Muddy Waters
Inogen, Inc.
INGN
Inogen's growth story rests on a fabricated TAM sourced from a plagiarism-riddled WinterGreen report; real market is shrinking, peak sales arrive 2019-2020, target $46 (-67%).
N5
V2
Jan 23, 2019
Spruce Point Capital
Amdocs Limited
DOX
Spruce Point sees 25-50% downside in Amdocs (DOX): a Guernsey-domiciled telecom-IT vendor whose steady margins, opaque insider selling via Pines Quest, and dot-com-era accounting tricks signal $30-$45 per share.
N4
V3
Dec 13, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
XPO Logistics, Inc.
XPO
XPO is a United-Rentals-style roll-up masking financial strain with aggressive accounting and a felon-linked board; normalized EPS is 47% overstated, implying 40–60% downside.
N5
V3
Oct 31, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Dollarama Inc.
DOL
Dollarama trades 50% above peers as a 'dollar store' now selling $4 goods; reversing FX hedges, Dollar Tree's arrival and governance red flags imply ~40% downside to C$24.60.
N4
V3
Oct 23, 2018
Citron Research
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA
After five years short, Citron reverses on Tesla: Model 3 is dominating luxury and EV segments, Munro confirms 30% margins, and worst-case math yields $599/share.
N4
V2
Oct 17, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Mercury Systems Inc.
MRCY
Mercury Systems faces 50-60% downside as Supermicro-hack exposure, missing cyber leadership, hidden A/R factoring, and the sector's richest multiple collide with rising DFARS compliance costs.
N4
V3
Oct 04, 2018
Muddy Waters
Manulife Financial Corporation
MFC
Muddy Waters is short Manulife because a Saskatchewan verdict due by year-end could force MFC to accept unlimited deposits at a guaranteed 4%+ rate — an unhedgeable bleed its own expert admits could cause insolvency.
N4
V2
Sep 26, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Henry Schein, Inc.
HSIC
HSIC's soon-to-spin Vets First Corp is growing far faster than the Street thinks — proprietary data shows 75% install-base growth, driving a $106-126 SOTP target vs. $84 today.
N4
V3
Sep 05, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Weis Markets, Inc.
WMK
Weis Markets is the most expensive U.S. supermarket masking -1-2% organic decline with aggressive accounting and shrinking disclosures; Spruce Point sees 45-65% downside.
N4
V3
Aug 28, 2018
Citron Research
Wayfair
W
Wayfair's unit economics are deteriorating — loss per new customer nearly doubled to $19 — while the stock defies gravity; Citron is re-shorting with a first stop at $100.
N3
V2
Aug 21, 2018
Citron Research
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA
NVDA, up 600% since 2016, faces in-house silicon from every mega-customer, collapsing crypto and autonomous narratives, and a benchmark-less Turing launch — shares revert to $200.
N4
V2
Aug 07, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Maxar Technologies
MAXR
Maxar's MDA-DigitalGlobe merger masks a collapsing satellite cycle and the most aggressive accounting Spruce Point has ever seen, leaving 5.8x-levered MAXR with 100% downside risk.
N5
V3
Jul 25, 2018
Muddy Waters
TAL Education Group
TAL
TAL Education's core Peiyou business is shrinking, not 'healthy' as CFO Rong Luo claims; under every reasonable model TAL's FY2018 Q3-Q4 disclosures fail to reconcile.
N4
V1
Jul 23, 2018
Muddy Waters
TAL Education Group
TAL
TAL's own Peiyou Q3 disclosures, common-sized, mathematically imply offline enrollment declined YoY — contradicting the growth narrative and signaling fabricated results.
N4
V2
Jul 19, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
2U, Inc.
TWOU
2U's one-size-fits-all OPM model is being disrupted by lower-take-rate fee-for-service rivals; FOIA-documented program failures imply 30-50% downside to $47-$65/share.
N4
V3
Jul 02, 2018
Muddy Waters
TAL Education Group
TAL
TAL inflated Firstleap's acquired deferred revenue by 90-175%, pumping $21-29M of fake profit through FY2017 via an above-the-line accounting lever obscured by an overlooked small acquisition.
N4
V2
Jun 27, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Momo, Inc.
MOMO
Momo's 'blowout' live-video numbers hide a SAIC fraud charge, 123 undisclosed VIE subs, an illegal gambling site, and a fading KOL base — 30-50% downside to $23-$32.
N4
V3
Jun 13, 2018
Muddy Waters
TAL Education Group
TAL
TAL is a real business with fake financials: two asset-parking transactions inflated FY2016-FY2018 pre-tax profits by $153M (28.4%) while Deloitte China was starved of audit hours.
N5
V2
Jun 07, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Healthcare Trust of America, Inc.
HTA
HTA's suspiciously flat Same-Property NOI growth mirrors Brixmor's pre-restatement pattern; Spruce Point sees 20-40% downside to $15-$20 once the accounting unravels.
N5
V3
May 31, 2018
Citron Research
Snap Inc.
SNAP
SNAP is the cheapest social stock at 3x sales with 21% short interest, dominant teen mindshare and Tencent backing — upside to $17 as shorts cover.
N4
V2
May 17, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
U.S. Concrete Inc
USCR
USCR's 21% gross margins and Adj EBITDA growth are engineered via capital leases and overcapitalized truck costs; CEO Sandbrook should resign and shares face 60-90% downside to $6-$25.
N4
V3
Apr 04, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Globant SA
GLOB
Globant is a poorly organized digital-IT roll-up using accounting games and Luxembourg disclosure loopholes to mask decelerating organic growth; shares warrant 40-50% downside to $24.50-$29.50.
N4
V3
Apr 01, 2018
Kerrisdale Capital
The St. Joe Company
JOE
St. Joe's Florida Panhandle land bank is worth a fraction of what bulls claim; absent the promised population boom, the stock is materially overvalued and a short.
N4
V3
Mar 16, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
KTOS
Kratos is an overhyped drone play run by executives tied to the Titan FCPA scandal; with the weakest margins in defense and a recent Director fraud indictment, we see 40%-70% downside.
N4
V3
Feb 08, 2018
Muddy Waters
IQE plc
IQE
Muddy Waters is short IQE: the compound-semi maker inflated 2015/2016 net income by 58.5%/25.4% via transactions with its Cardiff University JV — an alter ego, not an arm's-length partner.
N4
V2
Feb 07, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Realty Income Corp
O
Realty Income's 'magic dividend' flywheel is broken — true same-store rents are -0.8% (not +1.2%), and as rates rise and tenants disintermediate the stock re-rates 30-45% lower to $28-$35.
N4
V3
Jan 31, 2018
Muddy Waters
OSI Systems
OSIS
OSIS's rebuttal fails: S2 Albania's financials prove ICMS contributed no capital, making its 49% concession stake an unjustified conduit for corruption and confirming management's lost credibility.
N4
V1
Jan 25, 2018
Spruce Point Capital
Ballard Power Systems
BLDP
Ballard's 167% 2017 rally rests on a fragile China fuel-cell story with weak partners and zero insider skin; expect a repeat of the Azure failure and 35-70% downside to $1.15-$2.50.
N4
V3
Dec 20, 2017
Muddy Waters
China Internet Nationwide Financial Services Inc.
CIFS
CIFS is an old-style China reverse-merger fraud dressed up as a Reg A+ IPO; SAIC filings show 5x revenue overstatement, every disclosed borrower is a sham, and the equity is worthless.
N4
V2
Dec 06, 2017
Muddy Waters
OSI Systems, Inc.
OSIS
OSIS is rotten to the core: the Albania concession was obtained via an apparent bribe, the Mexico turnkey is egregiously priced and up for renewal, and FCPA liability could erase a large chunk of the $1.6bn market cap.
N5
V2
Nov 01, 2017
Kerrisdale Capital
Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
ADMS
Kerrisdale is long ADMS: Gocovri, the only FDA-approved drug for levodopa-induced dyskinesia, plus an MS and Vimpat XR pipeline, is worth over $100/share versus ~$25 today.
N4
V3
Sep 20, 2017
Viceroy Research
MiMedx Group
MDXG
research note
N1
V1
Jun 29, 2017
Muddy Waters
Prothena Corp PLC
PRTA
Short PRTA: publicly-available NEOD001 data does not show efficacy — organ responses are likely driven by prior PCD chemo, not the drug, and $1.5B peak sales are unrealistic.
N4
V2
Jun 16, 2017
Muddy Waters
Man Wah Holdings
1999.HK
Man Wah's response fails to address Muddy Waters' core fraud allegations: suspicious Macau profit-shifting, export revenue gaps vs. Panjiva data, tax inconsistencies, and undisclosed debt all remain unexplained.
N4
V2
Jun 15, 2017
Viceroy Research
Caesarstone Ltd.
CSTE
CSTE's bull case has disappeared: the touted Lowe's Transform deal is absent from shelves, sales agents are phantoms, and financials look overstated versus Cosentino.
N4
V2
Jun 05, 2017
Muddy Waters
Asanko Gold Inc.
AKG
Asanko's reassurances on Nkran are 'puppies and rainbows': fresh drone images show wall failures, reserve accounting is non-compliant, and insider share counts don't reconcile with management's 'never sold' claim.
N4
V3
Jun 01, 2017
Citron Research
BlackBerry
BBRY
Like NVDA's re-rating from graphics chips to AI, BlackBerry's QNX-led pivot to autonomous driving and IoT supports a $20 target — or a Mobileye-style buyout at a premium.
N4
V2
May 31, 2017
Muddy Waters
Asanko Gold Inc.
AKG
Muddy Waters is short AKG: flawed geology, a collapsing Nkran pit, and a 2018 liquidity crunch make the Ghana gold miner highly likely to end up a zero.
N4
V2
Jan 12, 2017
Spruce Point Capital
MGP Ingredients, Inc.
MGPI
MGPI's whiskey-premiumization rerating is an illusion: Diageo is going in-house, inventory is stranded, and insiders are selling — shares should collapse 60-70% to $16-$21.
N4
V3
Dec 19, 2016
Muddy Waters
China Huishan Dairy Holdings
6863.HK
Huishan's revenue is fabricated: tax-bureau data, cow-farm photos, and e-commerce scrapes all show the reported top line is dramatically overstated — the stock is a zero.
N4
V2
Dec 16, 2016
Muddy Waters
China Huishan Dairy Holdings
6863 HK
Huishan is a fraud worth close to zero — fabricated alfalfa self-sufficiency inflates margins, RMB 1.6bn of CapEx is fictitious, and Chairman Yang has siphoned farms to a related party.
N5
V2
Dec 13, 2016
Muddy Waters
Nidec Corp.
6594 JP
Nidec is a gigantic stock promotion: zero organic growth and aggressive accounting hide behind a Facebook-like multiple — fair value JPY 4,764, ~52% downside.
N5
V2
Aug 29, 2016
Muddy Waters
St. Jude Medical
STJ
STJ's rebuttal to Muddy Waters' cybersecurity short report is 80% fluff and 20% substance, with admissions and deception cues that confirm its cardiac devices remain unsafe and need recall.
N4
V1
Aug 25, 2016
Muddy Waters
St. Jude Medical, Inc.
STJ
St. Jude's $23B cardiac-device franchise rests on a Merlin ecosystem so insecure that hackers can crash pacemakers from 50 feet — a recall and two-year remediation imply 50%+ downside and likely covenant breach.
N5
V2
Aug 10, 2016
Muddy Waters
Ströer SE & Co. KGaA
SAX
Muddy Waters publishes the translated transcript of Ströer's June 2016 AGM, where CEO Udo Müller defends the company against MW's short attack amid sharp shareholder questions.
N3
V1
Apr 28, 2016
Muddy Waters
Stroer SE & Co. KGaA
SAX
Stroer's defense fails to rebut Muddy Waters' core allegations of overstated organic growth, misleading cash-flow netting and freeXmedia self-dealing, with a CIA polygrapher flagging Muller's response as deceptive.
N4
V1