Contrarian Corpus

364 documents showing 181–240

Hindenburg Research 2020-04-20

New Pacific Metals NUAG

Bolivia-focused silver developer New Pacific trades 17x peers on concessions likely acquired illegally under a now-ousted regime; Hindenburg targets C$0.37, 90%+ downside.

N5 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2020-02-05

Pershing Square Holdings (fund) — portfolio includes Agilent, Berkshire Hathaway, Chipotle, Hilton, Restaurant Brands, Lowe's, Howard Hughes, Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac PSH

PSH delivered 58.1% NAV return in 2019, beating S&P by 2,660bps — return to roots is working

N3 V4 C3
Starboard Value 2020-02-04

eBay Inc. EBAY

eBay is deeply undervalued; separating Classifieds at peer-level ~22x EBITDA multiples and enforcing a more aggressive Marketplace cost and revenue plan would unlock substantial upside versus today's 8.1x multiple.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2019-12-17

NMC Health plc NMC.LN

NMC Health's UAE hospital empire is built on inflated capex, overstated cash, hidden reverse factoring and related-party self-dealing — Muddy Waters is short and sees deep, possibly fraudulent rot.

N5 V1 C1
Citron Research 2019-12-10

Peloton Interactive PTON

Peloton trades at 2,286% above peers on EV per subscriber; once a cannibalizing app, undifferentiated hardware, and a March lockup wave hit, the stock collapses to $5.

N4 V2 C2
Trian Partners 2019-11-14

Ferguson plc FERG

Ferguson is a US specialty distributor trapped in a UK listing; demerging Wolseley and relisting in the US closes a 10.4x-vs-17.2x EBITDA peer gap.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2019-11-07

PeptiDream, Inc. 4587 JP

PeptiDream's 19 pharma 'partnerships' are largely dormant and 13 years of R&D have produced zero Phase 2 drugs — analyst 2027 revenue forecasts will miss by over 60%.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2019-09-24

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

Separating Marathon into three independent businesses unlocks $22-$40bn of value (60%+ upside)

N5 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2019-06-20

AECOM ACM

AECOM is a collection of under-integrated franchises; a Jacobs-style operational overhaul plus outright sales of MS and CS can close a 5.3x multiple discount to peers.

N4 V3 C3
Third Point 2019-06-13

Sony Corporation 6758.T

Sony trades at a ~50% conglomerate discount; spinning Semiconductors into 'Sony Technologies', divesting listed stakes, and refocusing on entertainment unlocks ~2x SOTP upside.

N5 V4 C4
Citron Research 2019-06-01

FleetCor Technologies FLT

FleetCor's Clean Advantage carbon-offset program is a $100M+ green fraud — 97% of fees stay with FLT, demanding CEO Clarke's resignation and implying ~57% downside.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2019-03-18

Bristol-Myers Squibb BMY

BMY is overpaying ~$30B for Celgene's risky pipeline, betting on 10 blockbusters in 8 years vs 3 in 15; shareholders should vote against and unlock 900bps of standalone margin upside.

N5 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2019-03-01

Bristol-Myers Squibb BMY

BMY's $91B Celgene deal bets the company on a REVLIMID patent cliff and pipeline requiring 10 blockbusters in 8 years — shareholders should vote no and pursue a standalone Amgen-style transformation.

N5 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2019-03-01

Telecom Italia TIT.MI

Vivendi's control of TIM destroyed 54% of shareholder value

N5 V5 C5
Starboard Value 2019-02-28

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company BMY

Bristol-Myers' $91bn Celgene acquisition buys pharma's largest patent cliff; Starboard urges shareholders to vote it down and replace directors to pursue a standalone plan or sale.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2019-02-28

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company BMY

Starboard urges BMY shareholders to reject the $91B Celgene acquisition — it imports a massive REVLIMID patent cliff and was rushed through without exploring standalone turnaround or a sale of Bristol-Myers.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2019-02-22

Magellan Health, Inc. MGLN

Magellan destroyed $700M of value through failed acquisitions and three 2018 guidance cuts; Starboard's six-director slate will overhaul the board and run a parallel sale process at peer multiples.

N4 V2 C2
Pershing Square 2019-02-13

Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. (annual portfolio update; covers CMG, ADP, QSR, LOW, SBUX, HLT, UTX, HHC, FNMA/FMCC) PSH

PSH trades at 27% discount to NAV despite 13.8% net CAGR since 2004 vs 8.4% for S&P 500

N3 V3 C2
Muddy Waters 2019-02-08

Inogen, Inc. INGN

Inogen's growth story rests on a fabricated TAM sourced from a plagiarism-riddled WinterGreen report; real market is shrinking, peak sales arrive 2019-2020, target $46 (-67%).

N5 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2019-01-07

Dollar Tree, Inc. DLTR

Dollar Tree is deeply undervalued because Family Dollar is a failed acquisition and the $1 price ceiling is a self-imposed cap; selling Family Dollar and testing multi-price points unlocks $150/share.

N4 V2 C2
Carl Icahn 2018-11-15

Dell Technologies (Class V / DVMT tracking stock) DVMT

Dell's $109 buyout of the DVMT tracker is really $90 — a 42% discount engineered to transfer $11bn from public holders to Michael Dell and Silver Lake. Vote no.

N4 V3 C3
Citron Research 2018-10-23

Tesla, Inc. TSLA

After five years short, Citron reverses on Tesla: Model 3 is dominating luxury and EV segments, Munro confirms 30% margins, and worst-case math yields $599/share.

N4 V2 C2
Trian Partners 2018-10-11

PPG Industries, Inc. PPG

PPG has underperformed peers by 3,500 bps under CEO McGarry; Trian wants Chuck Bunch reinstalled, the balance sheet levered, and the portfolio split into Architectural and Industrial to unlock ~40% upside.

N4 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2018-10-09

Starbucks SBUX

Dominant global coffee brand trading at 22x forward P/E vs. 26x historical average

N4 V3 C3
Third Point 2018-10-01

Campbell Soup Company CPB

Campbell's incumbent board delivered 19% TSR vs 306% S&P over 20 years; replace the entire board with Third Point's Independent Slate to unlock $52-58/share via turnaround, breakup, or sale.

N5 V4 C4
Citron Research 2018-08-28

Wayfair W

Wayfair's unit economics are deteriorating — loss per new customer nearly doubled to $19 — while the stock defies gravity; Citron is re-shorting with a first stop at $100.

N3 V2 C2
Third Point 2018-07-01

Nestlé S.A. NESN

Nestlé has been too slow to adapt to a changing consumer industry; adopting a #NestléNOW mindset — sharper strategy, bolder portfolio divestitures including the L'Oréal stake, and a three-division split — can double EPS by 2022.

N5 V4 C4
Citron Research 2018-05-31

Snap Inc. SNAP

SNAP trades at largest-ever discount to FB/TWTR despite fastest revenue growth

N4 V3 C2
Carl Icahn 2018-05-24

SandRidge Energy SD

SandRidge trades at a ~45% discount to its own PV-10 because the post-bankruptcy 'bankruptcy board' destroys value via dilutive deals; replace it with Icahn's slate to run a real sale process.

N4 V3 C3
Land & Buildings 2018-05-10

Taubman Centers, Inc. TCO

Taubman's persistent peer underperformance stems from a family-entrenched board and dual-class structure; electing Litt and collapsing Series B shares unlocks value common shareholders have been denied.

N4 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2018-05-07

athenahealth, Inc. ATHN

Elliott offers $160/share cash for athenahealth — a 27% premium valuing the company at ~$6.9bn — arguing chronic execution failures make going private the only path to realizing its HCIT potential.

N4 V2 C1
Greenlight Capital 2018-04-23

Assured Guaranty AGO

Assured Guaranty is a melting-ice-cube bond insurer aggressively returning capital it hasn't earned; Puerto Rico losses alone (2-4x reserves) will force a capital raise or strip the AA rating it needs to write new business.

N5 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2018-04-23

Hyundai Motor Group (Hyundai Mobis, Hyundai Motor Company, Kia Motors) 012330.KS / 005380.KS / 000270.KS

Mobis, HMC and Kia trade at 57%, 26% and 73% EV/EBITDA discounts to global peers — peers re-rate if structure is fixed

N5 V4 C4
Carl Icahn 2018-04-17

Xerox Corporation XRX

Xerox's CEO is handing 50.1% control to Fuji 'without spending a penny' for ~$28/share; vote down the deal and replace the board to unlock $54-$64 standalone.

N5 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2018-04-11

Newell Brands Inc. NWL

Newell's board destroyed $10bn and handed control to Icahn; elect Starboard's four independent nominees to execute a credible divestiture plan and restore accountability.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2018-04-05

Telecom Italia SpA (TIM) TIT.MI

Vivendi controls TIM with just 24% voting stake, running it as a subsidiary while minorities suffer

N5 V4 C4
Carl Icahn 2018-04-02

Commvault Systems, Inc. CVLT

Commvault is a product-great but company-broken data management software leader; Elliott (10.3%) demands an operational review, four new directors, and a capital-return program to close a deep valuation discount.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2018-04-02

Commvault Systems, Inc. CVLT

Commvault, a product-respected software leader, trades at half the peer multiple because of 1,200bps of margin collapse and 20-year stale governance; a board refresh, operational review and capital return will close the gap.

N4 V2 C3
Kerrisdale Capital 2018-04-01

The St. Joe Company JOE

St. Joe's Florida Panhandle land bank is worth a fraction of what bulls claim; absent the promised population boom, the stock is materially overvalued and a short.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2018-02-12

Newell Brands Inc. NWL

Starboard, backed by Jarden's founders, seeks to replace Newell's board after CEO Michael Polk destroyed $11bn of value following the 2016 Jarden merger.

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2018-02-05

Mellanox Technologies, Ltd. MLNX

Mellanox insiders have sold $130M of stock across 373 trades vs. one purchase since IPO — evidence the Board lacks confidence in its own plan and must be reconstituted.

N4 V3 C3
Spruce Point Capital 2018-01-25

Ballard Power Systems BLDP

Ballard's 167% 2017 rally rests on a fragile China fuel-cell story with weak partners and zero insider skin; expect a repeat of the Azure failure and 35-70% downside to $1.15-$2.50.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2018-01-08

Mellanox Technologies, Ltd. MLNX

Mellanox has industry-leading 70%+ gross margins but dead-last operating margins among fabless semis; disciplined cost cuts can close a multi-year peer gap and rerate the stock.

N4 V3 C3
Land & Buildings 2017-11-13

Taubman Centers TCO

Taubman's dominant Class A malls are still bustling and growing, yet TCO is down 25% YTD — management, not 'dead malls,' is the problem, with 50%+ upside if the board acts.

N4 V3 C3
Marcato 2017-11-01

Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK

Deckers' board missed every margin target and wasted $600m on retail bloat and Sanuk; replacing them enables UGG focus, non-core divestitures and a doubling to $135-158.

N4 V3 C3
Trian Partners 2017-09-21

The Procter & Gamble Company PG

P&G's rebuttal deck is riddled with 50+ data errors designed to discredit Peltz; the real issue is ongoing market-share losses and bottom-quartile TSR that only a board seat can fix.

N4 V3 C2
Trian Partners 2017-09-06

The Procter & Gamble Company PG

P&G's insular board and suffocating matrix have driven a decade of share loss; adding Nelson Peltz as one of 11 directors — Heinz/Mondelez/Wendy's tested — would revitalize the $65bn giant.

N4 V3 C3
Trian Partners 2017-09-06

The Procter & Gamble Company PG

P&G's long-tenured Board has rewarded a decade of market-share loss and bottom-quartile EPS growth; electing Nelson Peltz adds the shareholder voice needed to fix innovation, productivity, M&A and governance.

N5 V4 C4
Trian Partners 2017-09-01

Automatic Data Processing (ADP) ADP

ADP has delivered 203% TSR under CEO Rodriguez; Pershing Square owns just 2% of common stock and its nominees lack the HCM and technology experience to improve on this trajectory.

N4 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2017-08-17

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP

Employer Services margins are 1,500-2,000 bps below potential vs. Paychex and peers

N5 V4 C4
Third Point 2017-06-25

Nestlé NESN

Nestlé's world-class brand portfolio masks decade-long underperformance; new CEO Schneider must adopt margin and leverage targets, reshape the portfolio, and monetize L'Oréal to drive EPS to CHF 5-6 by 2020.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2017-06-16

Man Wah Holdings 1999.HK

Man Wah's response fails to address Muddy Waters' core fraud allegations: suspicious Macau profit-shifting, export revenue gaps vs. Panjiva data, tax inconsistencies, and undisclosed debt all remain unexplained.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2017-05-16

BHP Billiton BHP

US$46bn value unlock: demerger (+$15bn) + capital return (+$20bn) + franking credits (+$11bn)

N5 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2017-05-11

Herbalife HLF

Country-level 'pop-and-drop' patterns are the signature of a pyramid scheme reaching saturation

N4 V4 C4
Greenlight Capital 2017-05-08

Core Laboratories CLB

Core Lab trades at 35x 2018e P/E — double its oilfield-service peers — on a false secular-growth narrative; mid-cycle earnings imply $62 fair value and ~45% downside.

N5 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2017-05-08

Howard Hughes Corporation HHC

HHC owns the best public-market analogue to Donald Bren's $15B Irvine Ranch MPC empire

N5 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2017-04-24

Pershing Square Portfolio (multiple positions)

Core longs (QSR, MDLZ, CMG, APD, HHC) are high-quality businesses in mid-transformation with untapped margin upside

N2 V3 C2
Marcato 2017-04-20

Buffalo Wild Wings BWLD

Sally Smith-led BWLD has underperformed peers, mismanaged margins, and wasted capital buying back franchise stores; replacing the board and refranchising to 90% unlocks a higher multiple.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2017-04-11

Arconic Inc. ARNC

Arconic shareholders lost ~70% of their value; CEO Kleinfeld is one of the worst-performing tenured CEOs in the U.S.

N5 V5 C5
Elliott Management 2017-04-10

BHP Billiton BHP

DLC structure traps US$9.7bn of franking credits and a 12.7% Plc/Ltd discount

N4 V3 C3