500 documents showing 481–500
Date
Fund
Target
Thesis
Scores
May 25, 2011
Pershing Square
Family Dollar Stores
FDO
Family Dollar runs a 37% EBIT/sqft productivity gap to Dollar General post-KKR; closing it via ops, a leveraged buyback, or sale unlocks ~$90/share (70% upside).
N5
V3
Mar 09, 2011
Elliott Management
Iron Mountain Incorporated
IRM
Iron Mountain's 44%-margin NOAM storage cash cow is being squandered on low-ROIC Digital and Int'l bets; capital discipline plus a REIT conversion can lift the stock from $25 to $52-$77.
N4
V3
Feb 03, 2011
Muddy Waters
China MediaExpress Holdings
CCME
CCME is a pump-and-dump: reported revenue is overstated ~5x, its bus network is half the claimed size, and management is cashing out — fair value $5.28 vs $16.61.
N4
V2
Nov 10, 2010
Muddy Waters
RINO International Corp.
RINO
RINO is a near-zero: 94% of its reported revenue is fabricated, customers deny buying its FGD systems, and founders are draining cash via the VIE; fair value $2.45 vs. $15.52.
N5
V2
Jun 28, 2010
Muddy Waters
Orient Paper Inc.
ONP
Orient Paper is a fraud — revenues overstated 27x in 2008 and ~40x in 2009, assets inflated 10x, ~$30M of investor raises misappropriated; fair value under $1 vs. $8.43.
N5
V2
May 26, 2010
Pershing Square
General Growth Properties
GGP
At $14, GGP implicitly prices spinco GGO at negative $1; PF GGP alone merits ~$15 on Simon's 6.6% peer cap rate, pointing to ~$20 combined intrinsic and ~43% upside by year-end emergence.
N5
V3
Dec 07, 2009
Pershing Square
Mall REIT sector (long General Growth Properties)
GGP
Market-feared mall-REIT collapse never arrived: leverage fell, $18bn equity was raised, cap rates compressed, and tenants now generate cash — making mall REITs still cheap versus Treasuries.
N4
V3
Oct 20, 2009
Pershing Square
Corrections Corporation of America
CXW
CXW is a misunderstood real estate business — 90% of EBITDA is owned prisons leased to governments; rerating to healthcare-REIT cap rates unlocks $40-$54 vs. $24.50.
N4
V3
Oct 06, 2009
Pershing Square
Realty Income Corporation
O
Realty Income trades at a 7.3% cap rate — a ~40% premium to 10-11% private-market rates for the same junk-credit retail properties; downside to ~$14 (-46%).
N5
V3
May 27, 2009
Pershing Square
General Growth Properties
GGWPQ
GGP filed for liquidity, not insolvency; with assets materially exceeding liabilities, a seven-year debt extension would deliver 10x–25x upside on equity trading at $1.19.
N5
V3
May 11, 2009
Pershing Square
Target Corporation
TGT
Target's insular board lacks CEO-level retail, credit-card, and real-estate expertise — replace four incumbents with Pershing's slate to close the 62-point performance gap versus Wal-Mart.
N4
V3
Nov 19, 2008
Pershing Square
Target Corporation
TGT
Target's land is mispriced inside a 5.8x retail multiple; a <20% IPO of 'TIP REIT' followed by a tax-free spin re-rates the real estate at REIT multiples and lifts the stock from $37 to $67 now, $80 by 2010.
N5
V3
Oct 29, 2008
Pershing Square
Target Corporation
TGT
Target's owned real estate is a $39bn hidden asset; a tax-free land-only REIT spin (TIP REIT) with a 75-year master lease unlocks ~$30/share and 74% upside.
N5
V3
May 21, 2008
Pershing Square
Wendy's International
WEN
Wendy's is fundamentally a franchise + real estate business trading at a peer-gap discount; the Triarc merger and OpCo turnaround unlock 75-85% upside to $49-$52.
N5
V3
Nov 09, 2006
Pershing Square
Borders Group, Inc.
BGP
Borders' high-quality Superstores franchise is obscured by money-losing Mall and International segments; rationalizing those while remodeling stores and buying back stock unlocks $36 vs. $21 today.
N4
V3
Feb 01, 2006
Carl Icahn
Time Warner Inc.
TWX
Time Warner has underperformed its peer index by 51% under Parsons; splitting into four SpinCos (AOL, Content, Publishing, Cable) plus a $20bn buyback unlocks $30-45bn — a 35-54% premium.
N5
V4
Jan 18, 2006
Pershing Square
McDonald's Corporation
MCD
McDonald's is fundamentally a franchise and real-estate royalty company hidden inside an underperforming restaurant operator; a 20% McOpCo IPO and segment financials force a sum-of-parts rerating to $46-$50/share.
N5
V3
Nov 15, 2005
Pershing Square
McDonald's Corporation
MCD
McDonald's is a hidden real-estate and franchise business trading as a restaurant operator; IPO'ing 65% of McOpCo and re-levering PropCo unlocks $45-50 per share, a 37-52% premium.
N5
V3
—
Oasis Management
Kao Corporation
4452.JP
Kao, a 'sleeping giant' of premium FMCG brands hamstrung by a management allergic to growth, should refocus globally and rebuild the board, unlocking 76-97% upside.
N5
V4
—
Starboard Value
Fluor Corporation
FLR
Fluor's $4bn NuScale stake masks a transformed EPCM core trading at just 2.8x EBITDA; separating NuScale unlocks a re-rating to peer 6-13x multiples.
N4
V4