Contrarian Corpus

356 documents showing 121–180

Kerrisdale Capital 2022-09-01

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. ASTS

AST SpaceMobile is a $1.8bn 2021-SPAC promoting a physically implausible direct-to-handset satellite broadband dream; the technology won't work as hyped, timelines keep slipping, and SpaceX/Apple competition eliminates any lead.

N4 V2 C2
Palliser Capital 2022-08-09

Capricorn Energy PLC CNE

Capricorn's board must withdraw its Tullow merger recommendation — a nil-premium takeover that hands Capricorn's cash to junk-rated creditors while standalone value of 330p offers 67% upside.

N4 V3 C3
Carl Icahn 2022-05-01

McDonald's Corporation MCD

McDonald's board broke a 10-year promise to end gestation crates; replace Penrose and Lenny with two ESG experts to fix systemic governance and sustainability failures.

N4 V3 C3
Sachem Head 2022-04-26

US Foods Holding Corp. USFD

Sachem Head owns 8.7% of US Foods and is running a proxy fight to install five directors who can close the Sysco margin gap and deliver ~100% upside.

N4 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2022-04-20

Netflix NFLX

Ad-tier pivot makes subscriber growth, margins, and capital intensity unpredictable

N4 V2 C2
Kerrisdale Capital 2022-04-01

Digital World Acquisition Corp DWAC

DWAC's $8bn pro-forma SPAC merger with Trump's TMTG will never close because the SEC is actively investigating it and can kill the deal via a stop order — fair value is the $10 trust cash (-80%).

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2022-03-08

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman failed all 2016 and 2018 Investor Day EBITDA and share-price promises

N4 V4 C3
Starboard Value 2022-03-03

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman underperformed the S&P 500 by 337% from IPO to Starboard's involvement

N5 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2022-03-02

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman has broken every major Investor Day commitment since 2014 — fooled shareholders three times

N5 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2022-02-28

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman returned just 80% since its 2005 IPO vs. 642-822% for peers, a ~562% deficit under CEO Peter Huntsman

N5 V4 C4
Muddy Waters 2021-12-16

KE Holdings BEKE

BEKE is systemic fraud: platform scraping and field work show new-home GTV inflated ~126%, revenues inflated 77-96%, with ghost stores, clone stores, and a sham acquisition masking the deception.

N5 V2 C2
Kerrisdale Capital 2021-12-01

Astra Space, Inc. ASTR

Astra is a SPAC-bubble rocket company with no revenue, an undersized non-reusable vehicle, and fantastical 300-launch-a-year forecasts; shares should tumble back to the ground.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2021-09-15

Danimer Scientific DNMR

DNMR is a post-SPAC bioplastics story whose 'sold-out' demand, $200M take-or-pay contracts, and $1 trillion TAM are misrepresentations — actual utilization is ~28% and Novomer is a Hail Mary.

N4 V2 C1
TCI Fund 2021-08-31

Canadian National Railway CNI

CN, once the best-run Class I railroad, is now the worst under CEO Ruest; abandon the KCS deal and install Jim Vena to restore operational excellence.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2021-08-16

Box, Inc. BOX

Box has chronically lagged peers and entrenched itself via an unnecessary $500M KKR preferred financing; electing Starboard's minority slate restores stockholder accountability and unlocks long-term value.

N4 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2021-08-06

Box, Inc. BOX

Box is a best-of-breed cloud content platform that has missed every revenue target since IPO; a reconstituted board can fix go-to-market execution and close a massive valuation gap to peers.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2021-05-24

Solutions 30 S30

EY's refusal to sign Solutions 30's 2020 audit — after S30 blocked access to information on suspect transactions — confirms Muddy Waters' two-year-old fraud and money-laundering thesis.

N4 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2021-05-13

Lemonade, Inc. LMND

Muddy Waters is short Lemonade after discovering a critical session-fixation flaw that exposed customer PII to Google's index — a negligence that shatters Lemonade's 'trustworthy' digital-native brand.

N4 V1 C1
Land & Buildings 2021-05-01

Hilton Grand Vacations HGV

HGV is overpaying 10x EBITDA for Diamond and handing Apollo effective control with no premium; standalone HGV is worth $55 — shareholders should vote AGAINST.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2021-03-03

XL Fleet Corp XL

XL Fleet is SPAC trash: salespeople were paid to fabricate pipeline, most touted customers are inactive, ROI is actually negative, and the stock is worth a fraction of its billion-dollar SPAC valuation.

N5 V3 C3
Ancora 2021-02-16

Forward Air Corporation FWRD

Forward Air's acquisition-led growth strategy has decimated its core LTL margins; Ancora's nominees will restore operating discipline and unlock ~50% upside to $130-$135/share.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-11-18

Joyy Inc. YY

JOYY is a multibillion-dollar fraud: ~90% of YY Live and ~80% of Bigo revenue is fabricated via bots and gift roundtripping, and Baidu's pending $3.6bn acquisition is buying air.

N5 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-11-11

MultiPlan Corp MPLN

MultiPlan is a financially-engineered SPAC corpse losing its biggest customer UHC to UHC's own competitor Naviguard; expect 35% revenue loss and 8x+ leverage by 2022.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-09-22

Nano-X Imaging Ltd. NNOX

Nanox's $1.3B medical-imaging story is a stock promotion: the ARC device appears to be a prop, distribution partnerships are shams, and a convicted felon engineered the IPO.

N5 V2 C1
Elliott Management 2020-07-06

Crown Castle International CCI

Crown Castle's fiber capex earns just 3% ROI versus ~20% for its tower business

N5 V4 C4
Muddy Waters 2020-06-02

eHealth, Inc. EHTH

EHTH books Medicare Advantage revenue today that takes nine to twenty years to collect, masking a cash-incinerating, high-churn business reminiscent of Enron-style accounting.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-05-28

GSX Techedu GSX

GSX's rebuttals to our fraud report are evasive techno-drivel; meanwhile GSX openly recruits engineers to run cell-phone bot farms, confirming it is a nearly empty box.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-05-18

GSX Techedu Inc. GSX

GSX Techedu is a near-total fraud: at least 73% — likely 80%+ — of paid K-12 users are bots, and Chairman Chen's $319M pledged stock heightens crash risk.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-05-12

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's 2019 financials rely on reclassifications and definition changes to mask an -11.8% drop in cash receipts, -35.5% drop in deployments, and $20.6m of unexplained fair-value gains.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2020-05-12

Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ALXN

Alexion's stand-alone strategy has failed — serial M&A missteps and a deep valuation discount mean the Board must pursue a sale now to unlock 40-50% upside for shareholders.

N5 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2020-05-11

GCP Applied Technologies GCP

Starboard rebuts GCP: stock has lagged peers on every milestone since the 2016 spin-off, and Starboard's superior director slate can finally drive the turnaround management hasn't delivered.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2020-04-30

GCP Applied Technologies GCP

Four years post-spinoff, GCP has lagged peers on growth, margins, and stock price under an insular, interconnected Board; replace nine directors and unlock ~600 bps of EBIT margin expansion.

N4 V3 C3
Hindenburg Research 2020-04-20

New Pacific Metals NUAG

Bolivia-focused silver developer New Pacific trades 17x peers on concessions likely acquired illegally under a now-ousted regime; Hindenburg targets C$0.37, 90%+ downside.

N5 V4 C4
Citron Research 2020-04-14

GSX Techedu GSX

Citron argues GSX Techedu is a near-total fraud — the vast majority of claimed K-12 students are bots, revenues are fabricated, and the stock is a zero.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-04-08

eHealth Inc. EHTH

eHealth books three years of Medicare Advantage commissions upfront while true churn has spiked to 47%; corrected, every MA enrollee loses $135-$402 — a cash-incinerating stock promotion.

N5 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-02-10

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's dismal H2 2019 — 85% YoY collapse in realized gains, Petersen sold to its own fund, vanishing cash, and a lost Perry Ellis ruling — validates Muddy Waters' short thesis on aggressive marks and a flawed model.

N4 V1 C1
Starboard Value 2020-02-04

eBay Inc. EBAY

eBay is deeply undervalued; separating Classifieds at peer-level ~22x EBITDA multiples and enforcing a more aggressive Marketplace cost and revenue plan would unlock substantial upside versus today's 8.1x multiple.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2019-12-17

NMC Health plc NMC.LN

NMC Health's UAE hospital empire is built on inflated capex, overstated cash, hidden reverse factoring and related-party self-dealing — Muddy Waters is short and sees deep, possibly fraudulent rot.

N5 V1 C1
Citron Research 2019-12-10

Peloton Interactive PTON

Peloton trades at 2,286% above peers on EV per subscriber; once a cannibalizing app, undifferentiated hardware, and a March lockup wave hit, the stock collapses to $5.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2019-11-07

PeptiDream, Inc. 4587 JP

PeptiDream's 19 pharma 'partnerships' are largely dormant and 13 years of R&D have produced zero Phase 2 drugs — analyst 2027 revenue forecasts will miss by over 60%.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2019-10-09

Unizo Holdings Company 3258.T

Unizo's employee-buyout 'mechanism' was invented after the fact to favor a friendly bidder

N3 V2 C1
Elliott Management 2019-09-24

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

Separating Marathon into three independent businesses unlocks $22-$40bn of value (60%+ upside)

N5 V4 C4
Muddy Waters 2019-08-27

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's rebuttal on Napo is a dodge: a 2013 Glenmark arbitration MW surfaces proves Napo was a failed investment BUR disguised as a winner.

N3 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-08-16

Burford Capital Ltd. BUR

Muddy Waters hires ex-CIA behavioral analysts Qverity to show Burford management's rebuttal is riddled with evasion, aggression and persuasion — corroborating the original fraud thesis.

N4 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-08-13

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's rebuttal confirms it: aggressive mark-to-model fair-value gains, manipulated ROIC/IRR, and a CEO-CFO marriage make BUR an Enron-style stock promotion the FCA should investigate.

N4 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-08-07

Burford Capital Ltd. BUR LN

Burford is a poor litigation-finance business masquerading as a great one through Enron-like fair value accounting, four-case concentration, and a CEO-wife CFO — and is arguably insolvent.

N5 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2019-07-22

ANTA Sports Products 2020.HK

ANTA's largest 'third-party' supplier and its 'self-operated' online stores are secretly controlled by an ANTA employee, so reported margins and Fila's numbers cannot be trusted.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2019-07-15

ANTA Sports Products 2020.HK

Muddy Waters Part 4 rebuts ANTA's responses — management has lied about owning all Fila stores, the Shanghai Fengxian disposal, and distributor independence, confirming the underlying fraud.

N4 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-07-10

ANTA Sports Products 2020.HK

ANTA's 'self-operated' Fila franchise is a fiction: 46 Beijing Fila stores are owned by an insider proxy, exposing fabricated Fila financials and rendering all ANTA numbers unreliable.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2019-07-09

ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020.HK

ANTA used IPO proceeds to grow Shanghai Fengxian, then stripped it to insider proxies via a straw buyer in 2008 — proof of fraudulent intent toward minority shareholders.

N4 V2 C3
Muddy Waters 2019-07-08

ANTA Sports Products Ltd. 2020.HK

ANTA secretly controls at least 27 — and likely over 40 — of its 46 Tier 1 distributors via proxy owners, fraudulently inflating the margins behind its peer-leading financials.

N4 V2 C2
Kerrisdale Capital 2019-07-01

CareDx, Inc. CDNA

CareDx is a $1.7bn story built on AllSure, a cfDNA kidney-rejection test that misses 40% of rejections and faces 70% annual patient attrition, competition and Medicare reset — ~70% downside.

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2019-06-20

AECOM ACM

AECOM is a collection of under-integrated franchises; a Jacobs-style operational overhaul plus outright sales of MS and CS can close a 5.3x multiple discount to peers.

N4 V3 C3
Citron Research 2019-06-01

FleetCor Technologies FLT

FleetCor's Clean Advantage carbon-offset program is a $100M+ green fraud — 97% of fees stay with FLT, demanding CEO Clarke's resignation and implying ~57% downside.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2019-03-18

Bristol-Myers Squibb BMY

BMY is overpaying ~$30B for Celgene's risky pipeline, betting on 10 blockbusters in 8 years vs 3 in 15; shareholders should vote against and unlock 900bps of standalone margin upside.

N5 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2019-03-01

Bristol-Myers Squibb BMY

BMY's $91B Celgene deal bets the company on a REVLIMID patent cliff and pipeline requiring 10 blockbusters in 8 years — shareholders should vote no and pursue a standalone Amgen-style transformation.

N5 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2019-03-01

Telecom Italia TIT.MI

Vivendi's control of TIM destroyed 54% of shareholder value

N5 V5 C5
Starboard Value 2019-02-28

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company BMY

Bristol-Myers' $91bn Celgene acquisition buys pharma's largest patent cliff; Starboard urges shareholders to vote it down and replace directors to pursue a standalone plan or sale.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2019-02-28

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company BMY

Starboard urges BMY shareholders to reject the $91B Celgene acquisition — it imports a massive REVLIMID patent cliff and was rushed through without exploring standalone turnaround or a sale of Bristol-Myers.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2019-02-25

Inogen INGN

INGN's growth narrative rests on an inflated $3-4B TAM that Medicare data contradicts; under a realistic 1.3M-user market, peak unit sales arrive this year or next.

N4 V1 C1