Contrarian Corpus

356 documents showing 181–240

Starboard Value 2019-02-22

Magellan Health, Inc. MGLN

Magellan destroyed $700M of value through failed acquisitions and three 2018 guidance cuts; Starboard's six-director slate will overhaul the board and run a parallel sale process at peer multiples.

N4 V2 C2
Citron Research 2019-02-15

Inogen INGN

Inogen's growth is built on a reseller network that lies to elderly customers about Medicare coverage to force cash sales — competition and oversight will collapse margins to a $46 stock.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2019-02-08

Inogen, Inc. INGN

Inogen's growth story rests on a fabricated TAM sourced from a plagiarism-riddled WinterGreen report; real market is shrinking, peak sales arrive 2019-2020, target $46 (-67%).

N5 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2019-01-07

Dollar Tree, Inc. DLTR

Dollar Tree is deeply undervalued because Family Dollar is a failed acquisition and the $1 price ceiling is a self-imposed cap; selling Family Dollar and testing multi-price points unlocks $150/share.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2018-11-20

Mitek Systems, Inc. MITK

Mitek's board is entrenching against ASG's $10 cash bid (51% premium) despite a declining core business, departed leadership, and a chairman dumping his own stock below the offer price.

N4 V1 C1
Carl Icahn 2018-11-15

Dell Technologies (Class V / DVMT tracking stock) DVMT

Dell's $109 buyout of the DVMT tracker is really $90 — a 42% discount engineered to transfer $11bn from public holders to Michael Dell and Silver Lake. Vote no.

N4 V3 C3
Trian Partners 2018-10-11

PPG Industries, Inc. PPG

PPG has underperformed peers by 3,500 bps under CEO McGarry; Trian wants Chuck Bunch reinstalled, the balance sheet levered, and the portfolio split into Architectural and Industrial to unlock ~40% upside.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2018-10-04

Manulife Financial Corporation MFC

Muddy Waters is short Manulife because a Saskatchewan verdict due by year-end could force MFC to accept unlimited deposits at a guaranteed 4%+ rate — an unhedgeable bleed its own expert admits could cause insolvency.

N4 V2 C2
Third Point 2018-10-01

Campbell Soup Company CPB

Campbell's incumbent board delivered 19% TSR vs 306% S&P over 20 years; replace the entire board with Third Point's Independent Slate to unlock $52-58/share via turnaround, breakup, or sale.

N5 V4 C4
Citron Research 2018-08-21

NVIDIA Corporation NVDA

NVDA, up 600% since 2016, faces in-house silicon from every mega-customer, collapsing crypto and autonomous narratives, and a benchmark-less Turing launch — shares revert to $200.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2018-07-25

TAL Education Group TAL

TAL Education's core Peiyou business is shrinking, not 'healthy' as CFO Rong Luo claims; under every reasonable model TAL's FY2018 Q3-Q4 disclosures fail to reconcile.

N4 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2018-07-02

TAL Education Group TAL

TAL inflated Firstleap's acquired deferred revenue by 90-175%, pumping $21-29M of fake profit through FY2017 via an above-the-line accounting lever obscured by an overlooked small acquisition.

N4 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2018-06-13

TAL Education Group TAL

TAL is a real business with fake financials: two asset-parking transactions inflated FY2016-FY2018 pre-tax profits by $153M (28.4%) while Deloitte China was starved of audit hours.

N5 V2 C2
Carl Icahn 2018-05-24

SandRidge Energy SD

SandRidge trades at a ~45% discount to its own PV-10 because the post-bankruptcy 'bankruptcy board' destroys value via dilutive deals; replace it with Icahn's slate to run a real sale process.

N4 V3 C3
Land & Buildings 2018-05-10

Taubman Centers, Inc. TCO

Taubman's persistent peer underperformance stems from a family-entrenched board and dual-class structure; electing Litt and collapsing Series B shares unlocks value common shareholders have been denied.

N4 V3 C3
Greenlight Capital 2018-04-23

Assured Guaranty AGO

Assured Guaranty is a melting-ice-cube bond insurer aggressively returning capital it hasn't earned; Puerto Rico losses alone (2-4x reserves) will force a capital raise or strip the AA rating it needs to write new business.

N5 V2 C2
Carl Icahn 2018-04-17

Xerox Corporation XRX

Xerox's CEO is handing 50.1% control to Fuji 'without spending a penny' for ~$28/share; vote down the deal and replace the board to unlock $54-$64 standalone.

N5 V3 C3
Land & Buildings 2018-04-16

QTS Realty Trust QTS

QTS's CEO Chad Williams runs a culture of self-enrichment with no accountability; shareholders should withhold votes from him and the comp chair at the May 3 annual meeting.

N3 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2018-04-11

Newell Brands Inc. NWL

Newell's board destroyed $10bn and handed control to Icahn; elect Starboard's four independent nominees to execute a credible divestiture plan and restore accountability.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2018-04-05

Telecom Italia SpA (TIM) TIT.MI

Vivendi controls TIM with just 24% voting stake, running it as a subsidiary while minorities suffer

N5 V4 C4
Carl Icahn 2018-04-02

Commvault Systems, Inc. CVLT

Commvault is a product-great but company-broken data management software leader; Elliott (10.3%) demands an operational review, four new directors, and a capital-return program to close a deep valuation discount.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2018-04-02

Commvault Systems, Inc. CVLT

Commvault, a product-respected software leader, trades at half the peer multiple because of 1,200bps of margin collapse and 20-year stale governance; a board refresh, operational review and capital return will close the gap.

N4 V2 C3
Kerrisdale Capital 2018-04-01

The St. Joe Company JOE

St. Joe's Florida Panhandle land bank is worth a fraction of what bulls claim; absent the promised population boom, the stock is materially overvalued and a short.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2018-02-13

Monotype Imaging Holdings Inc. TYPE

Monotype's three-year acquisition spree (Olapic, Swyft) destroyed $500M+ of value and halved EBITDA margins; Starboard demands four new directors to refocus on the core font franchise.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2018-02-12

Newell Brands Inc. NWL

Starboard, backed by Jarden's founders, seeks to replace Newell's board after CEO Michael Polk destroyed $11bn of value following the 2016 Jarden merger.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2018-02-08

IQE plc IQE

Muddy Waters is short IQE: the compound-semi maker inflated 2015/2016 net income by 58.5%/25.4% via transactions with its Cardiff University JV — an alter ego, not an arm's-length partner.

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2018-02-05

Mellanox Technologies, Ltd. MLNX

Mellanox insiders have sold $130M of stock across 373 trades vs. one purchase since IPO — evidence the Board lacks confidence in its own plan and must be reconstituted.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2018-01-31

OSI Systems OSIS

OSIS's rebuttal fails: S2 Albania's financials prove ICMS contributed no capital, making its 49% concession stake an unjustified conduit for corruption and confirming management's lost credibility.

N4 V1 C1
Spruce Point Capital 2018-01-25

Ballard Power Systems BLDP

Ballard's 167% 2017 rally rests on a fragile China fuel-cell story with weak partners and zero insider skin; expect a repeat of the Azure failure and 35-70% downside to $1.15-$2.50.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2017-12-06

OSI Systems, Inc. OSIS

OSIS is rotten to the core: the Albania concession was obtained via an apparent bribe, the Mexico turnkey is egregiously priced and up for renewal, and FCPA liability could erase a large chunk of the $1.6bn market cap.

N5 V2 C2
Land & Buildings 2017-11-13

Taubman Centers TCO

Taubman's dominant Class A malls are still bustling and growing, yet TCO is down 25% YTD — management, not 'dead malls,' is the problem, with 50%+ upside if the board acts.

N4 V3 C3
Marcato 2017-11-01

Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK

Deckers' board missed every margin target and wasted $600m on retail bloat and Sanuk; replacing them enables UGG focus, non-core divestitures and a doubling to $135-158.

N4 V3 C3
Trian Partners 2017-09-21

The Procter & Gamble Company PG

P&G's rebuttal deck is riddled with 50+ data errors designed to discredit Peltz; the real issue is ongoing market-share losses and bottom-quartile TSR that only a board seat can fix.

N4 V3 C2
Trian Partners 2017-09-06

The Procter & Gamble Company PG

P&G's insular board and suffocating matrix have driven a decade of share loss; adding Nelson Peltz as one of 11 directors — Heinz/Mondelez/Wendy's tested — would revitalize the $65bn giant.

N4 V3 C3
Trian Partners 2017-09-06

The Procter & Gamble Company PG

P&G's long-tenured Board has rewarded a decade of market-share loss and bottom-quartile EPS growth; electing Nelson Peltz adds the shareholder voice needed to fix innovation, productivity, M&A and governance.

N5 V4 C4
Trian Partners 2017-09-01

Automatic Data Processing (ADP) ADP

ADP has delivered 203% TSR under CEO Rodriguez; Pershing Square owns just 2% of common stock and its nominees lack the HCM and technology experience to improve on this trajectory.

N4 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2017-08-17

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP

Employer Services margins are 1,500-2,000 bps below potential vs. Paychex and peers

N5 V4 C4
Muddy Waters 2017-06-29

Prothena Corp PLC PRTA

Short PRTA: publicly-available NEOD001 data does not show efficacy — organ responses are likely driven by prior PCD chemo, not the drug, and $1.5B peak sales are unrealistic.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2017-06-16

Man Wah Holdings 1999.HK

Man Wah's response fails to address Muddy Waters' core fraud allegations: suspicious Macau profit-shifting, export revenue gaps vs. Panjiva data, tax inconsistencies, and undisclosed debt all remain unexplained.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2017-06-05

Asanko Gold Inc. AKG

Asanko's reassurances on Nkran are 'puppies and rainbows': fresh drone images show wall failures, reserve accounting is non-compliant, and insider share counts don't reconcile with management's 'never sold' claim.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2017-05-31

Asanko Gold Inc. AKG

Muddy Waters is short AKG: flawed geology, a collapsing Nkran pit, and a 2018 liquidity crunch make the Ghana gold miner highly likely to end up a zero.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2017-05-16

BHP Billiton BHP

US$46bn value unlock: demerger (+$15bn) + capital return (+$20bn) + franking credits (+$11bn)

N5 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2017-05-11

Herbalife HLF

Country-level 'pop-and-drop' patterns are the signature of a pyramid scheme reaching saturation

N4 V4 C4
Greenlight Capital 2017-05-08

Core Laboratories CLB

Core Lab trades at 35x 2018e P/E — double its oilfield-service peers — on a false secular-growth narrative; mid-cycle earnings imply $62 fair value and ~45% downside.

N5 V3 C3
Carl Icahn 2017-04-20

Arconic Inc. ARNC

Arconic CEO Kleinfeld's veiled-extortion letter to Paul Singer forces his ouster; Elliott demands independent investigation, removal of complicit directors, and protection from whatever scheme Kleinfeld set in motion.

N4 V1 C1
Marcato 2017-04-20

Buffalo Wild Wings BWLD

Sally Smith-led BWLD has underperformed peers, mismanaged margins, and wasted capital buying back franchise stores; replacing the board and refranchising to 90% unlocks a higher multiple.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2017-04-11

Arconic Inc. ARNC

Arconic shareholders lost ~70% of their value; CEO Kleinfeld is one of the worst-performing tenured CEOs in the U.S.

N5 V5 C5
Muddy Waters 2016-12-19

China Huishan Dairy Holdings 6863.HK

Huishan's revenue is fabricated: tax-bureau data, cow-farm photos, and e-commerce scrapes all show the reported top line is dramatically overstated — the stock is a zero.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2016-12-16

China Huishan Dairy Holdings 6863 HK

Huishan is a fraud worth close to zero — fabricated alfalfa self-sufficiency inflates margins, RMB 1.6bn of CapEx is fictitious, and Chairman Yang has siphoned farms to a related party.

N5 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2016-12-13

Nidec Corp. 6594 JP

Nidec is a gigantic stock promotion: zero organic growth and aggressive accounting hide behind a Facebook-like multiple — fair value JPY 4,764, ~52% downside.

N5 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2016-11-28

Cognizant Technology Solutions CTSH

Cognizant has deliberately capped margins at 19-20% for 20 years while revenue grew 70x

N4 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2016-11-01

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

Marathon is priced like a merchant refiner despite a 69% stable-earnings mix; dropping assets to MPLX and spinning Speedway, RefiningCo, and MidstreamCo unlocks $14-19bn (~60-80%+ upside).

N4 V4 C4
Land & Buildings 2016-10-26

Taubman Centers, Inc. TCO

Taubman's sudden reversal on Board size is reactive and disingenuous; any new director must be vetted by shareholders and be truly independent of the Taubman family.

N2 V2 C1
Land & Buildings 2016-10-06

MGM Resorts International MGM

MGM's discredited CEO Murren was just handed a pay-for-showing-up contract; replacing him and unlocking real-estate value via MGM China, CityCenter and Bellagio sales delivers 35%+ upside.

N3 V1 C1
Starboard Value 2016-09-12

Perrigo Company plc PRGO

Perrigo lost half its value after rejecting Mylan's $205 bid; divesting Rx and Tysabri royalty, fixing BCH margins, and restoring credibility can re-rate the stock to consumer-staples peers.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2016-08-29

St. Jude Medical STJ

STJ's rebuttal to Muddy Waters' cybersecurity short report is 80% fluff and 20% substance, with admissions and deception cues that confirm its cardiac devices remain unsafe and need recall.

N4 V1 C1
Pershing Square 2016-07-20

Herbalife HLF

FTC complaint confirms Herbalife operates as a pyramid scheme

N4 V3 C3
Marcato 2016-06-13

Buffalo Wild Wings BWLD

Buffalo Wild Wings should reverse course on low-return franchisee buy-ins, refranchise to 90% by 2020, recapitalize, and fix incentives — unlocking ~180% upside to ~$402.

N4 V4 C4
Muddy Waters 2016-04-28

Stroer SE & Co. KGaA SAX

Stroer's defense fails to rebut Muddy Waters' core allegations of overstated organic growth, misleading cash-flow netting and freeXmedia self-dealing, with a CIA polygrapher flagging Muller's response as deceptive.

N4 V1 C1
Pershing Square 2016-04-26

Multiple (portfolio-level LP update: MDLZ, APD, ZTS, QSR, CP, HHC, VRX, PAH, FNMA/FMCC, NOMD, HLF)

Mondelez margin gap to peers (13% vs 17-26%) implies +600-700bps of optimized EBIT upside

N3 V3 C3