Contrarian Corpus

175 documents showing 61–120

Muddy Waters 2021-03-10

XL Fleet XL

XL Fleet's March 8 rebuttal fails to deny Muddy Waters' core claims — exaggerated pipeline, ~10% reorder rate, overstated fuel savings — confirming XL is SPAC trash.

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Muddy Waters 2021-03-03

XL Fleet Corp XL

XL Fleet is SPAC trash: salespeople were paid to fabricate pipeline, most touted customers are inactive, ROI is actually negative, and the stock is worth a fraction of its billion-dollar SPAC valuation.

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Muddy Waters 2020-11-18

Joyy Inc. YY

JOYY is a multibillion-dollar fraud: ~90% of YY Live and ~80% of Bigo revenue is fabricated via bots and gift roundtripping, and Baidu's pending $3.6bn acquisition is buying air.

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Citron Research 2020-11-13

NIO Inc. NIO

NIO trades at 17-18x NTM EV/Sales — double Tesla's multiple — as a Made-in-China Model Y near $41K threatens the ES6/EC6; Citron closes its 2018 long at a $25 price target.

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Muddy Waters 2020-11-11

MultiPlan Corp MPLN

MultiPlan is a financially-engineered SPAC corpse losing its biggest customer UHC to UHC's own competitor Naviguard; expect 35% revenue loss and 8x+ leverage by 2022.

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Muddy Waters 2020-09-22

Nano-X Imaging Ltd. NNOX

Nanox's $1.3B medical-imaging story is a stock promotion: the ARC device appears to be a prop, distribution partnerships are shams, and a convicted felon engineered the IPO.

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Kerrisdale Capital 2020-09-01

AtriCure, Inc. ATRC

AtriCure's 7.5x revenue valuation assumes stand-alone Convergent succeeds, but electrophysiologists won't refer, and PFA plus real-time mapping will obsolete surgical ablation.

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Muddy Waters 2020-06-02

eHealth, Inc. EHTH

EHTH books Medicare Advantage revenue today that takes nine to twenty years to collect, masking a cash-incinerating, high-churn business reminiscent of Enron-style accounting.

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Muddy Waters 2020-05-28

GSX Techedu GSX

GSX's rebuttals to our fraud report are evasive techno-drivel; meanwhile GSX openly recruits engineers to run cell-phone bot farms, confirming it is a nearly empty box.

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Muddy Waters 2020-05-18

GSX Techedu Inc. GSX

GSX Techedu is a near-total fraud: at least 73% — likely 80%+ — of paid K-12 users are bots, and Chairman Chen's $319M pledged stock heightens crash risk.

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Muddy Waters 2020-05-12

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's 2019 financials rely on reclassifications and definition changes to mask an -11.8% drop in cash receipts, -35.5% drop in deployments, and $20.6m of unexplained fair-value gains.

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Hindenburg Research 2020-04-20

New Pacific Metals NUAG

Bolivia-focused silver developer New Pacific trades 17x peers on concessions likely acquired illegally under a now-ousted regime; Hindenburg targets C$0.37, 90%+ downside.

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Citron Research 2020-04-14

GSX Techedu GSX

Citron argues GSX Techedu is a near-total fraud — the vast majority of claimed K-12 students are bots, revenues are fabricated, and the stock is a zero.

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Muddy Waters 2020-04-08

eHealth Inc. EHTH

eHealth books three years of Medicare Advantage commissions upfront while true churn has spiked to 47%; corrected, every MA enrollee loses $135-$402 — a cash-incinerating stock promotion.

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Muddy Waters 2020-02-10

NMC Health plc NMC

Newly disclosed NMC share pledges corroborate Muddy Waters' hidden-debt thesis: likely Enron-style off-balance-sheet financing or subsidies from undisclosed Shetty-family related parties inflating margins.

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Muddy Waters 2020-02-10

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's dismal H2 2019 — 85% YoY collapse in realized gains, Petersen sold to its own fund, vanishing cash, and a lost Perry Ellis ruling — validates Muddy Waters' short thesis on aggressive marks and a flawed model.

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Muddy Waters 2019-12-17

NMC Health plc NMC.LN

NMC Health's UAE hospital empire is built on inflated capex, overstated cash, hidden reverse factoring and related-party self-dealing — Muddy Waters is short and sees deep, possibly fraudulent rot.

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Citron Research 2019-12-10

Peloton Interactive PTON

Peloton trades at 2,286% above peers on EV per subscriber; once a cannibalizing app, undifferentiated hardware, and a March lockup wave hit, the stock collapses to $5.

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Muddy Waters 2019-11-07

PeptiDream, Inc. 4587 JP

PeptiDream's 19 pharma 'partnerships' are largely dormant and 13 years of R&D have produced zero Phase 2 drugs — analyst 2027 revenue forecasts will miss by over 60%.

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Muddy Waters 2019-09-24

Burford Capital BUR

Burford cherry-picks which investments count as 'concluded' to avoid truing up marks; the 110% vs 19% gap between unconcluded and concluded returns exposes systematic fair-value manipulation.

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Muddy Waters 2019-08-27

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's rebuttal on Napo is a dodge: a 2013 Glenmark arbitration MW surfaces proves Napo was a failed investment BUR disguised as a winner.

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Muddy Waters 2019-08-16

Burford Capital Ltd. BUR

Muddy Waters hires ex-CIA behavioral analysts Qverity to show Burford management's rebuttal is riddled with evasion, aggression and persuasion — corroborating the original fraud thesis.

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Muddy Waters 2019-08-13

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's rebuttal confirms it: aggressive mark-to-model fair-value gains, manipulated ROIC/IRR, and a CEO-CFO marriage make BUR an Enron-style stock promotion the FCA should investigate.

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Muddy Waters 2019-08-07

Burford Capital Ltd. BUR LN

Burford is a poor litigation-finance business masquerading as a great one through Enron-like fair value accounting, four-case concentration, and a CEO-wife CFO — and is arguably insolvent.

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Muddy Waters 2019-07-22

ANTA Sports Products 2020.HK

ANTA's largest 'third-party' supplier and its 'self-operated' online stores are secretly controlled by an ANTA employee, so reported margins and Fila's numbers cannot be trusted.

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Muddy Waters 2019-07-15

ANTA Sports Products 2020.HK

Muddy Waters Part 4 rebuts ANTA's responses — management has lied about owning all Fila stores, the Shanghai Fengxian disposal, and distributor independence, confirming the underlying fraud.

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Muddy Waters 2019-07-10

ANTA Sports Products 2020.HK

ANTA's 'self-operated' Fila franchise is a fiction: 46 Beijing Fila stores are owned by an insider proxy, exposing fabricated Fila financials and rendering all ANTA numbers unreliable.

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Muddy Waters 2019-07-09

ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020.HK

ANTA used IPO proceeds to grow Shanghai Fengxian, then stripped it to insider proxies via a straw buyer in 2008 — proof of fraudulent intent toward minority shareholders.

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Muddy Waters 2019-07-08

ANTA Sports Products Ltd. 2020.HK

ANTA secretly controls at least 27 — and likely over 40 — of its 46 Tier 1 distributors via proxy owners, fraudulently inflating the margins behind its peer-leading financials.

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Kerrisdale Capital 2019-07-01

CareDx, Inc. CDNA

CareDx is a $1.7bn story built on AllSure, a cfDNA kidney-rejection test that misses 40% of rejections and faces 70% annual patient attrition, competition and Medicare reset — ~70% downside.

N4 V2 C2
Citron Research 2019-06-01

FleetCor Technologies FLT

FleetCor's Clean Advantage carbon-offset program is a $100M+ green fraud — 97% of fees stay with FLT, demanding CEO Clarke's resignation and implying ~57% downside.

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Muddy Waters 2019-05-24

Casino Guichard-Perrachon CO

Rallye, Finatis, Euris and Foncière Euris entering procédure de sauvegarde vindicates MW's 2015 warnings

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Muddy Waters 2019-05-24

Casino Guichard-Perrachon CO

Rallye's safeguard filing vindicates Muddy Waters' 2015 warning that Casino was being hollowed out to sustain Jean-Charles Naouri's parasitic, debt-laden holding structure.

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Muddy Waters 2019-02-25

Inogen INGN

INGN's growth narrative rests on an inflated $3-4B TAM that Medicare data contradicts; under a realistic 1.3M-user market, peak unit sales arrive this year or next.

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Citron Research 2019-02-15

Inogen INGN

Inogen's growth is built on a reseller network that lies to elderly customers about Medicare coverage to force cash sales — competition and oversight will collapse margins to a $46 stock.

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Muddy Waters 2019-02-08

Inogen, Inc. INGN

Inogen's growth story rests on a fabricated TAM sourced from a plagiarism-riddled WinterGreen report; real market is shrinking, peak sales arrive 2019-2020, target $46 (-67%).

N5 V2 C2
Citron Research 2018-10-23

Tesla, Inc. TSLA

After five years short, Citron reverses on Tesla: Model 3 is dominating luxury and EV segments, Munro confirms 30% margins, and worst-case math yields $599/share.

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Muddy Waters 2018-10-04

Manulife Financial Corporation MFC

Muddy Waters is short Manulife because a Saskatchewan verdict due by year-end could force MFC to accept unlimited deposits at a guaranteed 4%+ rate — an unhedgeable bleed its own expert admits could cause insolvency.

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Citron Research 2018-08-28

Wayfair W

Wayfair's unit economics are deteriorating — loss per new customer nearly doubled to $19 — while the stock defies gravity; Citron is re-shorting with a first stop at $100.

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Citron Research 2018-08-21

NVIDIA Corporation NVDA

NVDA, up 600% since 2016, faces in-house silicon from every mega-customer, collapsing crypto and autonomous narratives, and a benchmark-less Turing launch — shares revert to $200.

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Muddy Waters 2018-07-25

TAL Education Group TAL

TAL Education's core Peiyou business is shrinking, not 'healthy' as CFO Rong Luo claims; under every reasonable model TAL's FY2018 Q3-Q4 disclosures fail to reconcile.

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Muddy Waters 2018-07-23

TAL Education Group TAL

TAL's own Peiyou Q3 disclosures, common-sized, mathematically imply offline enrollment declined YoY — contradicting the growth narrative and signaling fabricated results.

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Muddy Waters 2018-07-02

TAL Education Group TAL

TAL inflated Firstleap's acquired deferred revenue by 90-175%, pumping $21-29M of fake profit through FY2017 via an above-the-line accounting lever obscured by an overlooked small acquisition.

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Muddy Waters 2018-06-13

TAL Education Group TAL

TAL is a real business with fake financials: two asset-parking transactions inflated FY2016-FY2018 pre-tax profits by $153M (28.4%) while Deloitte China was starved of audit hours.

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Citron Research 2018-05-31

Snap Inc. SNAP

SNAP trades at largest-ever discount to FB/TWTR despite fastest revenue growth

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Kerrisdale Capital 2018-04-01

The St. Joe Company JOE

St. Joe's Florida Panhandle land bank is worth a fraction of what bulls claim; absent the promised population boom, the stock is materially overvalued and a short.

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Muddy Waters 2018-02-08

IQE plc IQE

Muddy Waters is short IQE: the compound-semi maker inflated 2015/2016 net income by 58.5%/25.4% via transactions with its Cardiff University JV — an alter ego, not an arm's-length partner.

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Muddy Waters 2018-01-31

OSI Systems OSIS

OSIS's rebuttal fails: S2 Albania's financials prove ICMS contributed no capital, making its 49% concession stake an unjustified conduit for corruption and confirming management's lost credibility.

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Spruce Point Capital 2018-01-25

Ballard Power Systems BLDP

Ballard's 167% 2017 rally rests on a fragile China fuel-cell story with weak partners and zero insider skin; expect a repeat of the Azure failure and 35-70% downside to $1.15-$2.50.

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Muddy Waters 2017-12-20

China Internet Nationwide Financial Services Inc. CIFS

CIFS is an old-style China reverse-merger fraud dressed up as a Reg A+ IPO; SAIC filings show 5x revenue overstatement, every disclosed borrower is a sham, and the equity is worthless.

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Muddy Waters 2017-12-06

OSI Systems, Inc. OSIS

OSIS is rotten to the core: the Albania concession was obtained via an apparent bribe, the Mexico turnkey is egregiously priced and up for renewal, and FCPA liability could erase a large chunk of the $1.6bn market cap.

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Kerrisdale Capital 2017-11-01

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ADMS

Kerrisdale is long ADMS: Gocovri, the only FDA-approved drug for levodopa-induced dyskinesia, plus an MS and Vimpat XR pipeline, is worth over $100/share versus ~$25 today.

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Muddy Waters 2017-06-29

Prothena Corp PLC PRTA

Short PRTA: publicly-available NEOD001 data does not show efficacy — organ responses are likely driven by prior PCD chemo, not the drug, and $1.5B peak sales are unrealistic.

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Muddy Waters 2017-06-16

Man Wah Holdings 1999.HK

Man Wah's response fails to address Muddy Waters' core fraud allegations: suspicious Macau profit-shifting, export revenue gaps vs. Panjiva data, tax inconsistencies, and undisclosed debt all remain unexplained.

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Muddy Waters 2017-06-05

Asanko Gold Inc. AKG

Asanko's reassurances on Nkran are 'puppies and rainbows': fresh drone images show wall failures, reserve accounting is non-compliant, and insider share counts don't reconcile with management's 'never sold' claim.

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Citron Research 2017-06-01

BlackBerry BBRY

QNX is entrenched in 60M cars across 40+ automakers — a leading autonomous-driving OS

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Muddy Waters 2017-05-31

Asanko Gold Inc. AKG

Muddy Waters is short AKG: flawed geology, a collapsing Nkran pit, and a 2018 liquidity crunch make the Ghana gold miner highly likely to end up a zero.

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Spruce Point Capital 2017-01-12

MGP Ingredients, Inc. MGPI

MGPI's whiskey-premiumization rerating is an illusion: Diageo is going in-house, inventory is stranded, and insiders are selling — shares should collapse 60-70% to $16-$21.

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Muddy Waters 2016-12-19

China Huishan Dairy Holdings 6863.HK

Huishan's revenue is fabricated: tax-bureau data, cow-farm photos, and e-commerce scrapes all show the reported top line is dramatically overstated — the stock is a zero.

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Muddy Waters 2016-12-16

China Huishan Dairy Holdings 6863 HK

Huishan is a fraud worth close to zero — fabricated alfalfa self-sufficiency inflates margins, RMB 1.6bn of CapEx is fictitious, and Chairman Yang has siphoned farms to a related party.

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