Contrarian Corpus

670 documents showing 301–360

Greenlight Capital 2021-05-12

Teck Resources TECK

Teck is the overlooked pick-axes play on the EV/green-electrification copper boom — QB2 doubles its copper mix and at forward-curve copper the stock is worth ~C$59, nearly double.

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2021-05-10

Box, Inc. BOX

Box has underperformed cloud peers for years despite engagement, and the Board just cut a dilutive financing to 'buy the vote' — Starboard nominates four directors to force real transformation.

N3 V1 C1
Starboard Value 2021-05-03

Box, Inc. BOX

After a failed 2020 settlement, Starboard will nominate directors at Box's 2021 Annual Meeting, citing missed growth targets and a $500M convertible preferred it calls a 'buy the vote' scheme.

N3 V2 C1
Land & Buildings 2021-05-01

Hilton Grand Vacations HGV

HGV is overpaying 10x EBITDA for Diamond and handing Apollo effective control with no premium; standalone HGV is worth $55 — shareholders should vote AGAINST.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2021-03-10

XL Fleet XL

XL Fleet's March 8 rebuttal fails to deny Muddy Waters' core claims — exaggerated pipeline, ~10% reorder rate, overstated fuel savings — confirming XL is SPAC trash.

N3 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2021-03-03

XL Fleet Corp XL

XL Fleet is SPAC trash: salespeople were paid to fabricate pipeline, most touted customers are inactive, ROI is actually negative, and the stock is worth a fraction of its billion-dollar SPAC valuation.

N5 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2021-02-18

Pershing Square Holdings (own fund) PSH

PSH returned 70.2% NAV / 84.8% TSR in 2020, beating S&P by 5,180 bps

N2 V3 C2
Ancora 2021-02-16

Forward Air Corporation FWRD

Forward Air's acquisition-led growth strategy has decimated its core LTL margins; Ancora's nominees will restore operating discipline and unlock ~50% upside to $130-$135/share.

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2021-01-21

Corteva, Inc. CTVA

Corteva's spin-off potential is squandered by CEO Jim Collins and a complacent Board; Starboard nominates eight directors to force leadership change and unlock operating value.

N3 V2 C1
Land & Buildings 2020-12-01

Multiple REIT subsectors (urban office, retail, business hotels, movie theaters)

Post-vaccine pent-up demand will mask permanent secular damage in urban office, retail, business hotels, and movie theaters — investors should sell the mirage, not buy it.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-11-18

Joyy Inc. YY

JOYY is a multibillion-dollar fraud: ~90% of YY Live and ~80% of Bigo revenue is fabricated via bots and gift roundtripping, and Baidu's pending $3.6bn acquisition is buying air.

N5 V2 C2
Citron Research 2020-11-13

NIO Inc. NIO

NIO trades at 17-18x NTM EV/Sales — double Tesla's multiple — as a Made-in-China Model Y near $41K threatens the ES6/EC6; Citron closes its 2018 long at a $25 price target.

N3 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2020-11-11

MultiPlan Corp MPLN

MultiPlan is a financially-engineered SPAC corpse losing its biggest customer UHC to UHC's own competitor Naviguard; expect 35% revenue loss and 8x+ leverage by 2022.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2020-11-11

Sampo Oyj SAMPO

Sampo core insurance has de-rated ~8x P/E vs Nordic peers since 2018

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Trian Partners 2020-11-05

Invesco Ltd. IVZ

Trian is now Invesco's second-largest shareholder with ~9.9% of common stock

N2 V2 C1
Third Point 2020-10-07

The Walt Disney Company DIS

Disney should kill its $3bn dividend and plow every dollar into Disney+ content; subscriber LTV math and Adobe/Microsoft precedents show the re-rating dwarfs any dividend yield.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-09-22

Nano-X Imaging Ltd. NNOX

Nanox's $1.3B medical-imaging story is a stock promotion: the ARC device appears to be a prop, distribution partnerships are shams, and a convicted felon engineered the IPO.

N5 V2 C1
Land & Buildings 2020-09-22

Apartment Investment and Management Company AIV

AIV's proposed taxable reverse spin-off won't close its 18% NAV discount and lets Considine duck 25 years of underperformance; demand a shareholder vote or explore a sale at $58 — 75% upside.

N3 V2 C1
Kerrisdale Capital 2020-09-01

AtriCure, Inc. ATRC

AtriCure's 7.5x revenue valuation assumes stand-alone Convergent succeeds, but electrophysiologists won't refer, and PFA plus real-time mapping will obsolete surgical ablation.

N4 V3 C2
Elliott Management 2020-07-06

Crown Castle International CCI

Crown Castle's fiber capex earns just 3% ROI versus ~20% for its tower business

N5 V4 C4
Muddy Waters 2020-06-02

eHealth, Inc. EHTH

EHTH books Medicare Advantage revenue today that takes nine to twenty years to collect, masking a cash-incinerating, high-churn business reminiscent of Enron-style accounting.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-05-28

GSX Techedu GSX

GSX's rebuttals to our fraud report are evasive techno-drivel; meanwhile GSX openly recruits engineers to run cell-phone bot farms, confirming it is a nearly empty box.

N4 V2 C2
Land & Buildings 2020-05-19

D.R. Horton and Invitation Homes DHI/INVH

COVID-19 has supercharged the suburban single-family thesis; entry-level homebuilder D.R. Horton and single-family rental REIT Invitation Homes trade 20%+ below highs despite accelerating demand.

N3 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-05-18

GSX Techedu Inc. GSX

GSX Techedu is a near-total fraud: at least 73% — likely 80%+ — of paid K-12 users are bots, and Chairman Chen's $319M pledged stock heightens crash risk.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-05-12

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's 2019 financials rely on reclassifications and definition changes to mask an -11.8% drop in cash receipts, -35.5% drop in deployments, and $20.6m of unexplained fair-value gains.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2020-05-12

Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ALXN

Alexion's stand-alone strategy has failed — serial M&A missteps and a deep valuation discount mean the Board must pursue a sale now to unlock 40-50% upside for shareholders.

N5 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2020-05-11

GCP Applied Technologies GCP

Starboard rebuts GCP: stock has lagged peers on every milestone since the 2016 spin-off, and Starboard's superior director slate can finally drive the turnaround management hasn't delivered.

N4 V3 C3
Land & Buildings 2020-05-06

Empire State Realty Trust ESRT

Empire State Realty Trust is uniquely exposed to NYC's 'existential hurricane' — COVID, WFH, SALT cap, and WeWork's collapse crush demand while observation-deck revenue vanishes, driving shares substantially lower.

N3 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2020-04-30

GCP Applied Technologies GCP

Four years post-spinoff, GCP has lagged peers on growth, margins, and stock price under an insular, interconnected Board; replace nine directors and unlock ~600 bps of EBIT margin expansion.

N4 V3 C3
TCI Fund 2020-04-28

Wirecard AG WDI

KPMG could not verify 2016-2018 revenue from Third Party Acquiring partners after a 6-month forensic audit

N5 V2 C2
Hindenburg Research 2020-04-20

New Pacific Metals NUAG

Bolivia-focused silver developer New Pacific trades 17x peers on concessions likely acquired illegally under a now-ousted regime; Hindenburg targets C$0.37, 90%+ downside.

N5 V4 C4
Citron Research 2020-04-14

GSX Techedu GSX

Citron argues GSX Techedu is a near-total fraud — the vast majority of claimed K-12 students are bots, revenues are fabricated, and the stock is a zero.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-04-08

eHealth Inc. EHTH

eHealth books three years of Medicare Advantage commissions upfront while true churn has spiked to 47%; corrected, every MA enrollee loses $135-$402 — a cash-incinerating stock promotion.

N5 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2020-02-10

NMC Health plc NMC

Newly disclosed NMC share pledges corroborate Muddy Waters' hidden-debt thesis: likely Enron-style off-balance-sheet financing or subsidies from undisclosed Shetty-family related parties inflating margins.

N4 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2020-02-10

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's dismal H2 2019 — 85% YoY collapse in realized gains, Petersen sold to its own fund, vanishing cash, and a lost Perry Ellis ruling — validates Muddy Waters' short thesis on aggressive marks and a flawed model.

N4 V1 C1
Pershing Square 2020-02-05

Pershing Square Holdings (fund) — portfolio includes Agilent, Berkshire Hathaway, Chipotle, Hilton, Restaurant Brands, Lowe's, Howard Hughes, Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac PSH

PSH delivered 58.1% NAV return in 2019, beating S&P by 2,660bps — return to roots is working

N3 V4 C3
Starboard Value 2020-02-04

eBay Inc. EBAY

eBay is deeply undervalued; separating Classifieds at peer-level ~22x EBITDA multiples and enforcing a more aggressive Marketplace cost and revenue plan would unlock substantial upside versus today's 8.1x multiple.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2019-12-17

NMC Health plc NMC.LN

NMC Health's UAE hospital empire is built on inflated capex, overstated cash, hidden reverse factoring and related-party self-dealing — Muddy Waters is short and sees deep, possibly fraudulent rot.

N5 V1 C1
Citron Research 2019-12-10

Peloton Interactive PTON

Peloton trades at 2,286% above peers on EV per subscriber; once a cannibalizing app, undifferentiated hardware, and a March lockup wave hit, the stock collapses to $5.

N4 V2 C2
TCI Fund 2019-11-30

Ferrovial FER

TCI, a ~1% shareholder, commends Ferrovial's CDP 'A' grade but presses for stronger SBTI-aligned targets, RE100 membership, and leadership in de-carbonising aviation and road transport.

N2 V2 C1
TCI Fund 2019-11-30

S&P Global SPGI

TCI, a ~1% holder, urges S&P Global to lead on climate disclosure: report fully to CDP, adopt a Paris-aligned transition plan, and push mandatory GHG disclosure across the companies it rates.

N3 V2 C1
TCI Fund 2019-11-30

Canadian Pacific Railway CP

TCI, owner of ~8% of Canadian Pacific, demands the railroad close its CDP climate-disclosure gap versus peers CN and UNP and adopt a credible science-based transition plan.

N3 V2 C1
TCI Fund 2019-11-30

Airbus AIR

TCI, a 1.5% Airbus shareholder since 2012, demands stronger climate disclosure, an A-grade CDP score, and Airbus leadership in mandating low-carbon synthetic aviation fuels — or TCI will vote against directors.

N2 V1 C1
TCI Fund 2019-11-30

Alphabet Inc. GOOGL

TCI, a 0.6% Alphabet holder, commends Alphabet's A-grade CDP disclosure and codifies its stewardship stance: full CDP reporting, Paris-aligned transition plans, or votes against directors and auditors.

N2 V2 C1
Trian Partners 2019-11-14

Ferguson plc FERG

Ferguson is a US specialty distributor trapped in a UK listing; demerging Wolseley and relisting in the US closes a 10.4x-vs-17.2x EBITDA peer gap.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2019-11-07

PeptiDream, Inc. 4587 JP

PeptiDream's 19 pharma 'partnerships' are largely dormant and 13 years of R&D have produced zero Phase 2 drugs — analyst 2027 revenue forecasts will miss by over 60%.

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2019-10-28

AT&T T

N1 V1 C1
Elliott Management 2019-10-09

Unizo Holdings Company 3258.T

Unizo's employee-buyout 'mechanism' was invented after the fact to favor a friendly bidder

N3 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-09-24

Burford Capital BUR

Burford cherry-picks which investments count as 'concluded' to avoid truing up marks; the 110% vs 19% gap between unconcluded and concluded returns exposes systematic fair-value manipulation.

N3 V1 C1
Elliott Management 2019-09-24

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

Separating Marathon into three independent businesses unlocks $22-$40bn of value (60%+ upside)

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2019-09-09

AT&T Inc. T

N1 V1 C1
Elliott Management 2019-09-09

AT&T T

N1 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-08-27

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's rebuttal on Napo is a dodge: a 2013 Glenmark arbitration MW surfaces proves Napo was a failed investment BUR disguised as a winner.

N3 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-08-16

Burford Capital Ltd. BUR

Muddy Waters hires ex-CIA behavioral analysts Qverity to show Burford management's rebuttal is riddled with evasion, aggression and persuasion — corroborating the original fraud thesis.

N4 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-08-13

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's rebuttal confirms it: aggressive mark-to-model fair-value gains, manipulated ROIC/IRR, and a CEO-CFO marriage make BUR an Enron-style stock promotion the FCA should investigate.

N4 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-08-07

Burford Capital Ltd. BUR LN

Burford is a poor litigation-finance business masquerading as a great one through Enron-like fair value accounting, four-case concentration, and a CEO-wife CFO — and is arguably insolvent.

N5 V2 C2
Pershing Square 2019-08-05

United Technologies; ADP UTX; ADP

PSH exited United Technologies as of June 10, 2019

N1 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-07-22

ANTA Sports Products 2020.HK

ANTA's largest 'third-party' supplier and its 'self-operated' online stores are secretly controlled by an ANTA employee, so reported margins and Fila's numbers cannot be trusted.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2019-07-15

ANTA Sports Products 2020.HK

Muddy Waters Part 4 rebuts ANTA's responses — management has lied about owning all Fila stores, the Shanghai Fengxian disposal, and distributor independence, confirming the underlying fraud.

N4 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-07-10

ANTA Sports Products 2020.HK

ANTA's 'self-operated' Fila franchise is a fiction: 46 Beijing Fila stores are owned by an insider proxy, exposing fabricated Fila financials and rendering all ANTA numbers unreliable.

N4 V2 C2