48 documents showing 1–48
SoFi Technologies, Inc. SOFI
SoFi's $1,054M reported 2025 EBITDA is ~90% inflated via manipulated charge-off rates, off-balance-sheet VIEs and subsidized seller-financed sales that feed CEO Noto's comp — real EBITDA is ~$103M.
Aurora Innovation, Inc. AUR
Aurora's autonomous trucking vision is a dead end: tech can only enable hub-and-spoke freight, drayage kills the economics, and the real TAM is smaller than the company's $13bn market cap.
Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. HHH
HHH stuck at ~40% NAV discount with no take-private bidder after 284 investors approached
Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac (GSEs) FNMA / FMCC
Releasing GSEs from conservatorship could generate ~$300bn for taxpayers via Treasury warrants
e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. ELF
ELF's imports collapsed while inventory and revenue kept soaring; reconciling the two suggests $138-188mm of overstated sales and a likely fraud.
Southwest Airlines LUV
Southwest lost 50%+ of market value in 3 years while peers thrived
Texas Instruments TXN
TI's rigid $5bn/year capex ramp is building ~50% excess capacity and has collapsed FCF per share 75%; flex capex to demand and commit to $9.00+ per share by 2026.
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC
Norfolk Southern is the worst-performing Class I railroad under Alan Shaw; replacing the Board and installing UPS/CSX operators to run PSR closes the 780bps OR gap and unlocks $420 per share.
CPI Property Group CPIPG
CPIPG's 2023 results show undisclosed related-party transfers to controlling shareholder Vitek, aggressive fair-value inflation, and an unreconciled 92% equity collapse at GSG Berlin — management must answer on the call.
Sunrun RUN
Sunrun's Subscriber metric is fabricated — inflated ~20% above EIA filings — letting it overclaim ~$205M in IRS tax credits and prop up a fictitious valuation; Muddy Waters remains short.
Forward Air Corporation FWRD
Forward Air's $3.2B Omni Logistics deal destroys shareholder value; block the deal, replace CEO Tom Schmitt and the Board, and shares rerate to $140-$145.
Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers RBA
Back the amended RBA-IAA merger: $350-900M of synergies, a Starboard/Ancora-refreshed board, and Luxor's anti-deal case is flawed — RBA should re-rate from $62 to ~$130.
Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital HASI
HASI is a short: its GAAP and non-GAAP 'Distributable Earnings' are inflated by three non-cash accounting tricks and roundtripped SunStrong loans, masking a cash-losing, capital-raise-dependent business.
Astra Space, Inc. ASTR
Astra is a SPAC-bubble rocket company with no revenue, an undersized non-reusable vehicle, and fantastical 300-launch-a-year forecasts; shares should tumble back to the ground.
Joyy Inc. YY
JOYY is a multibillion-dollar fraud: ~90% of YY Live and ~80% of Bigo revenue is fabricated via bots and gift roundtripping, and Baidu's pending $3.6bn acquisition is buying air.
MultiPlan Corp MPLN
MultiPlan is a financially-engineered SPAC corpse losing its biggest customer UHC to UHC's own competitor Naviguard; expect 35% revenue loss and 8x+ leverage by 2022.
eHealth, Inc. EHTH
EHTH books Medicare Advantage revenue today that takes nine to twenty years to collect, masking a cash-incinerating, high-churn business reminiscent of Enron-style accounting.
eHealth Inc. EHTH
eHealth books three years of Medicare Advantage commissions upfront while true churn has spiked to 47%; corrected, every MA enrollee loses $135-$402 — a cash-incinerating stock promotion.
Burford Capital Ltd. BUR LN
Burford is a poor litigation-finance business masquerading as a great one through Enron-like fair value accounting, four-case concentration, and a CEO-wife CFO — and is arguably insolvent.
Inogen INGN
INGN's growth narrative rests on an inflated $3-4B TAM that Medicare data contradicts; under a realistic 1.3M-user market, peak unit sales arrive this year or next.
Inogen INGN
Inogen's growth is built on a reseller network that lies to elderly customers about Medicare coverage to force cash sales — competition and oversight will collapse margins to a $46 stock.
TAL Education Group TAL
TAL inflated Firstleap's acquired deferred revenue by 90-175%, pumping $21-29M of fake profit through FY2017 via an above-the-line accounting lever obscured by an overlooked small acquisition.
TAL Education Group TAL
TAL is a real business with fake financials: two asset-parking transactions inflated FY2016-FY2018 pre-tax profits by $153M (28.4%) while Deloitte China was starved of audit hours.
Assured Guaranty AGO
Assured Guaranty is a melting-ice-cube bond insurer aggressively returning capital it hasn't earned; Puerto Rico losses alone (2-4x reserves) will force a capital raise or strip the AA rating it needs to write new business.
IQE plc IQE
Muddy Waters is short IQE: the compound-semi maker inflated 2015/2016 net income by 58.5%/25.4% via transactions with its Cardiff University JV — an alter ego, not an arm's-length partner.
China Internet Nationwide Financial Services Inc. CIFS
CIFS is an old-style China reverse-merger fraud dressed up as a Reg A+ IPO; SAIC filings show 5x revenue overstatement, every disclosed borrower is a sham, and the equity is worthless.
Alpine Electronics 6816
Alps Electric is buying out 40%-owned Alpine Electronics via a biased share-exchange at too low a price; minority holders should reject it and demand a tender offer near 2,400 yen.
Asanko Gold Inc. AKG
Muddy Waters is short AKG: flawed geology, a collapsing Nkran pit, and a 2018 liquidity crunch make the Ghana gold miner highly likely to end up a zero.
Core Laboratories CLB
Core Lab trades at 35x 2018e P/E — double its oilfield-service peers — on a false secular-growth narrative; mid-cycle earnings imply $62 fair value and ~45% downside.
Outerwall Inc. OUTR
Outerwall's cash-rich Redbox/Coinstar business trades at a 3x EBITDA capital-allocation discount; halting buybacks for a large dividend and running a sale process unlocks 150%+ upside.
Yahoo! Inc. YHOO
Yahoo's Core Business is collapsing because of $550M of self-inflicted cost bloat; cutting costs and replacing the Microsoft search deal can restore profitability without touching Alibaba.
Sotheby's BID
Sotheby's Board has presided over a 42% EPS collapse despite global wealth tailwinds; electing Third Point's three nominees can restore owner perspective and more than double pro-forma EPS.
NQ Mobile NQ
NQ Mobile's Oct 25 rebuttal of Muddy Waters' fraud report contained ten provable lies — Yidatong is NQ, revenue and market share are fabricated; reiterating price target under $1.
NQ Mobile Inc. NQ
NQ Mobile is a 'China Fraud 2.0': 72%+ of China revenue is fictitious, real market share is 1.4% not 55%, and the $127.9M cash balance is likely forged — target price under $1.
Office Depot, Inc. ODP
Office Depot's entrenched board has destroyed value for years; replace four incumbents with Starboard's retail-experienced nominees to lift operating margins from 0.9% to 7.3% — standalone or merged with OfficeMax.
Health Management Associates HMA
HMA's incumbent board destroyed 25% of independent value before rushing a sale to Community Health Systems; Glenview's Fresh Alternative board protects the deal and recovers upside.
Nintendo Co., Ltd. 7974
Nintendo's real competitor is now mobile; releasing five iOS/Android titles from its catalog would add ~73 billion Yen in annual EBITDA and unlock China's $9 billion gaming market.
Procter & Gamble PG
P&G earns $4 EPS today but should earn $6 by FY2016 at 24% EBIT margin
Tessera Technologies Inc. TSRA
Tessera has squandered $517M on the failing Digital Optics business while its core patent-licensing franchise shrinks; Starboard's six-director slate and IP-focused plan can unlock best-in-class 60-70% EBITDA margins.
Apple Inc. AAPL
Apple's $137B idle cash depresses its P/E; distribute 'iPrefs' — tax-free perpetual preferred stock paying 4% — to unlock ~$150/share without spending a dollar of cash.
Olam International Ltd. OLAM
Olam's Q2 2013 results confirm Muddy Waters' Strong Sell thesis: debt is spiraling (9.5x EBITDA), cash is burning, and management's acquisitions and Gabon project reveal haphazard planning.
Herbalife Ltd. HLF
Formula 1 is a $2bn 'brand nobody's heard of' — sales economics defy any genuine consumer demand
Herbalife Ltd. HLF
Herbalife is a pyramid scheme: distributors profit by recruiting, not retail sales
Focus Media Holding Ltd. FMCN
Focus Media is the Olympus of China: it inflates its LCD screen count by 50%, systematically overpays for acquisitions it writes off, and enriches insiders at shareholders' expense.
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters GMCR
GMCR's $9 EPS bull case ignores a smaller TAM, falling K-cup attachment rates, a September 2012 patent cliff, and accounting shenanigans at fulfillment agent MBlock — realistic EPS is ~$3.50.
Hong Kong Monetary Authority / HKD-USD Peg
HKD peg forces Hong Kong to import ultra-loose U.S. monetary policy despite a vastly stronger economy
China MediaExpress Holdings CCME
CCME is a fraud: a recorded salesperson admits doubling the bus count for SEC filings, and Chairman Cheng's rebuttal cited fabricated license plates — fair value $3.54 vs $12.27.
China MediaExpress Holdings CCME
CCME is a pump-and-dump: reported revenue is overstated ~5x, its bus network is half the claimed size, and management is cashing out — fair value $5.28 vs $16.61.