Contrarian Corpus
activist full deck follow up
2017-04-24 · 86 pages

Pershing Square Holdings Portfolio (MDLZ, APD, CMG, HHC, NOMD, HLF short, FNMA/FMCC) PSH

Pershing Square's 2017 European investor meeting recaps a concentrated multi-position book (MDLZ, APD, CMG, HHC, NOMD, HLF short, GSEs) and asks investors to approve a London LSE listing and 5% buyback to close PSH's NAV discount.

Thesis

Pershing Square's April 2017 European investor meeting reviews fund-level performance (Q1 2017 -2.6% net vs S&P +6.1%) and walks through each concentrated position. Mondelez (~15% of capital) anchors the deck with a 600-700bps EBIT margin-expansion story benchmarked against Kraft Heinz (27.2%) and other packaged-food peers. Air Products (~12%) continues Seifi Ghasemi's transformation, up 67% since cost, with a further $225mm of productivity to capture. Chipotle (~13%) is framed as a temporary-trouble long where Pershing is second-largest holder at ~10%. Howard Hughes, Nomad Foods and a reform-driven Fannie/Freddie thesis round out the longs; Herbalife remains short post-FTC injunction. The deck closes by asking PSH shareholders to approve a London LSE listing, FTSE UK index eligibility and a 5% buyback to narrow the fund's persistent NAV discount.

The three reasons

  1. 1

    MDLZ EBIT margin 15.3% vs peer Kraft Heinz 27.2% — 600-700bps of margin upside remains

  2. 2

    APD up 67% from cost under CEO Seifi Ghasemi with $225mm productivity still to capture

  3. 3

    London LSE listing plus 5% buyback designed to narrow PSH's persistent discount to NAV

Primary demands

  • Approve PSH London Stock Exchange listing at 25 April 2017 AGM
  • Authorize buyback of up to 5% of PSH public shares upon LSE admission
  • Adopt structural voting changes required for UK Premium Listing compliance
  • Raise public-share ownership limit from 4.75% to 4.99%

KPIs cited

PSH Q1 2017 net return
-2.6% vs S&P 500 +6.1%
Total strategy AUM
$10.3bn as of 3/31/2017 across four Pershing Square vehicles
MDLZ 2016 EBIT margin
15.3%, up 220bps YoY and 470bps vs 2013; 2018 target 17-18%
MDLZ peer EBIT margin gap
Kraft Heinz 27.2%, Hershey 20.4%, Smucker 19.9% vs MDLZ 15.3%
APD share-price return since cost
+67% including Versum spinoff to 4/18/2017
APD remaining productivity potential
$225mm of operating productivity, $100mm to be realized in FY2017
CMG ownership
Pershing is second-largest shareholder with ~10% stake
HHC share price since 2010 GGP spin
+234% (3.34x) from $37 to $122 as of 4/18/2017
HLF 2017 YTD share-price move
+24%, driven by $1.45bn refinancing and $1.5bn buyback authorization
HLF FTC redress distribution
$200mm in checks mailed to ~350,000 Herbalife victims, Jan 2017
NOMD share-price return since cost
+8% from $10.50 average cost to $11.36 as of 4/18/2017
VRX share-price decline since cost
-94% from $196 to $11 (exited position)

Pattern membership

Where this document fits across the library's 12 rhetorical / structural patterns. Orange cells are present in this deck; neutral cells are not.

Composition what's on the 86 slides

Visual + textual elements counted across every slide in this deck. Hover a box for what that element is; click to see every slide in the corpus that uses it.

Slide gallery ·

All 86
No slide inventory yet

Pass-2 extraction may still be in progress for this deck.

Notes

Fund-level annual European investor meeting, not a single-campaign thesis — eight position reviews plus administrative items (London listing, 5% buyback, org changes). SCQA left null per guidance for fund-level updates with no single thesis. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin is quoted verbatim in the FNMA/FMCC section as supporting evidence (p.52-53), but no CEO-contradiction is used. Valeant exited and shown as -94% post-mortem slide (p.64). Standard Pershing Square institutional deck template — blue/grey palette, section-divider grey bars, annotated share-price timelines recurring per position.