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Callouts & quotes from 709+ activist slides

Every emphasised callout and every pulled quote, extracted slide-by-slide. Search by keyword, filter by slide type or by source.

Showing 361–420 of 709 matching "estimate"
callout process diagram

"FTAI has wide latitude to estimate residual values, giving it the benefit of potentially moving equipment to Inventory with artificially low carrying values"

FTAI Aviation Ltd. · FTAI Muddy Waters · p. 29
callout process diagram

"BOL has likely been misunderstood because the complexity of its structure makes it infeasible to use Excel to estimate the percentage of circular ownership."

Bolloré SA · BOL FP Muddy Waters · p. 5
callout sop buildup

"We estimate that the option to switch to in-house printing presents the average Diamond Plus Align customer with a $400K per year cost savings opportunity."

Align Technology, Inc. · ALGN Spruce Point Capital · p. 52
callout other

"Analysts have poorly forecasted USCR's financial results, which we believe lowers their credibility in valuing the Company. Estimates continue to contract."

U.S. Concrete Inc · USCR Spruce Point Capital · p. 47
callout villain critique

"We think AGO should publicly disclose the calculations so we can better judge whether AGO is using higher internal credit ratings to underestimate losses."

Assured Guaranty · AGO Greenlight Capital · p. 51
callout other

"Oasis estimates revenue from Curél to be around USD 285 – 430 mn, mostly concentrated in Japan and Asia with minimal presence in Europe, and the Americas."

Kao Corporation · 4452.JP Oasis Management · p. 53
callout appendix data

"We underestimated the problems created by prior management, both in our initial diligence and in the impact of actions required to effectuate a turnaround"

Pershing Square Holdings · PSH Pershing Square · p. 79
callout peer gap

"We estimate by depreciating trucks too slowly, USCR is understating depreciation by approximately $12.5 million, thereby benefiting EPS by $0.51 cents (1)"

U.S. Concrete Inc · USCR Spruce Point Capital · p. 28
callout process diagram

"we felt it was worth showing that simply using realistic estimates, Inspire's best-case TAM falls by ~80%, to 104,125 units versus their claim of 500,000."

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. · INSP Wolfpack Research · p. 15
callout villain critique

"Factoring in an additional 1.1m warrants, Diluted EPS would have been $0.34 and made its Q4'18 and full year earnings miss vs. Street estimates even worse"

Kornit Digital Ltd. · KRNT Spruce Point Capital · p. 48
callout peer gap

"However, as we pointed out, we have serious concerns with Nova's consulting geologist and believe the resource estimates should be viewed with skepticism."

Nova Minerals Limited · NVA Spruce Point Capital · p. 59
callout kpi overview

"Excluding Music sales, Superstores same store sales (“SSS”) trends have averaged 1.5% more than average reported comparable sales, based on our estimates"

Borders Group, Inc. · BGP Pershing Square · p. 25
callout villain critique

"We estimate that from FY14 through FY16, Huishan booked CapEx of RMB 89 million per dairy farm; FY16 CapEx appears to have ballooned to RMB 107 million."

callout villain critique

"A classic example of earnings management is when management over-estimates expenses, and claims great performance when results are better than expected."

Cintas Corp. · CTAS Spruce Point Capital · p. 44
callout ceo quote

"Despite the estimated massive losses in Display, AOL appears solely focused on continuing to pursue its high-cost, value-destroying status quo strategy."

AOL, Inc. · AOL Starboard Value · p. 16
callout villain critique

"While we recognize these values to be estimates, the order of magnitude relative to previous cost assumptions from 2022 and our own estimates are high."

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. · FND Spruce Point Capital · p. 40
callout sop buildup

"Analysts' estimates of the value of Filmed Entertainment is generally in line with the fully-distributed enterprise valuation of $15.0 - $16.5 billion."

Time Warner Inc. · TWX Carl Icahn · p. 322
callout kpi overview

"Starbucks plans to nearly double its units in China over the four years, and estimates that China will ultimately surpass the size of the U.S. business"

Starbucks · SBUX Pershing Square · p. 26
callout other

"I estimate households have about $7 trillion in exposure to short-term interest rates, so a 1% change in rates adds about $70 billion to annual income."

AerCap Holdings · AER Greenlight Capital · p. 8
callout peer gap

"We estimate that, on a per-patient-per-day basis, Dexcom spends 59% more to produce the G6 system than Abbott will generate in revenue on the Libre 2."

Dexcom, Inc. · DXCM Spruce Point Capital · p. 34
callout executive summary

"We estimate that the true number of shares outstanding is only 42.8% of what BOL reports. BOL’s shares present a unique corporate structure arbitrage."

Bolloré SA · BOL FP Muddy Waters · p. 2
callout villain critique

"If Bristol-Myers hits Wall Street analysts’ estimates, rather than the Company’s aggressive base case assumptions, the deal will be value destructive"

Bristol-Myers Squibb · BMY Starboard Value · p. 21
callout villain critique

"If Bristol-Myers hits Wall Street analysts’ estimates, rather than the Company’s aggressive base case assumptions, the deal will be value destructive"

Bristol-Myers Squibb · BMY Starboard Value · p. 190
callout valuation reveal

"It is estimated that with these adjustments to the SOTP values of the research analysts, TWX shares have an implied value as high as $22.01 - $26.97."

Time Warner Inc. · TWX Carl Icahn · p. 266
callout comparison table

"Street estimates for ACMR's Chinese equipment peers call for continued 30%+ YoY revenue growth. If anything, this suggests potential upside for ACMR."

ACM Research, Inc. · ACMR Kerrisdale Capital · p. 19
callout villain critique

"We estimate that the probability of making $178,000 per year, the average income suggested by Herbalife’s published testimonials, is about 1-in-5000."

Unknown · p. 8
callout villain critique

"We estimate that the probability of making $178,000 per year, the average income suggested by Herbalife’s published testimonials, is about 1-in-5000."

Herbalife, Ltd. · HLF Pershing Square · p. 8
callout thesis headline

"We estimate 40% - 50% downside risk ($110 - $132 per share) as Generac’s financial situation deteriorates and lofty analyst expectations are missed."

Generac Holdings, Inc. · GNRC Spruce Point Capital · p. 7
callout villain critique

"None of this changes the fact that Oklo's cost estimate for the initial core of fuel for their reactor design is too low by a factor of 5x or more."

Oklo Inc. · OKLO Kerrisdale Capital · p. 14
callout ceo quote

"Therefore, we believe iKentoo had very little growth from 2017-2019, and we estimate its ARPU was $100 per month, or 50% below LSPD's ARPU of $200."

Lightspeed Commerce, Inc. · LSPD Spruce Point Capital · p. 77
callout villain critique

"Assuming an implied purchase price of ~$30 billion, we estimate pipeline products will need to generate ~$15 billion of revenue to be NPV neutral!"

Bristol-Myers Squibb · BMY Starboard Value · p. 122
callout peer gap

"Based on a global peer benchmarking analysis in the dairy industry, we estimate Saputo spends the least amount of its revenue on R&D expenditures."

Saputo Inc. · TSX:SAP Spruce Point Capital · p. 123
callout precedent table

"In a majority of the cases, the share price has met or exceeded our downside estimate of intrinsic value. The average share price decline is 57%."

Maxar Technologies · MAXR Spruce Point Capital · p. 4
callout other

"The range of implied recoveries generate a net present value loss between $2.7 billion to $4.5 billion, with a midpoint estimate of $3.6 billion."

Assured Guaranty · AGO Greenlight Capital · p. 47
callout villain critique

"Spruce Point finds a large deviation between our estimated ending gross PP&E and actual PP&E in 2023 which is the period the auditor was changed."

Monster Beverage Corp. · MNST Spruce Point Capital · p. 63
callout villain critique

"Spruce Point estimates that Porch has a maximum potential liability associated with financial guarantees made to home inspectors of $1.1 billion."

Porch Group Inc · PRCH Spruce Point Capital · p. 47
callout other

"The net effect of this extra year of customer life on the books is that we estimate EHTH’s constrained LTV for MA members is overstated by 28.2%."

eHealth Inc. · EHTH Muddy Waters · p. 6
callout villain critique

"One estimated that 25-50% of Nevro’s revenue comes from surgery centers pushing patients into "one stimulator and then another and then another.""

Nevro Corp. · NVRO Scorpion Capital · p. 230
callout before after

"Wall Street analysts estimated Adjusted EBITDA would be 30% BELOW the Company's initial 2018 Investor Day target even before the global pandemic."

Huntsman Corporation · HUN Starboard Value · p. 18
callout appendix data

"The reference range of $39.5 - $43.5 billion (12.2x - 13.4x 2006PF OIBDA) is at the high end of the range of Wall Street estimates for Networks."

Time Warner Inc. · TWX Carl Icahn · p. 314
callout precedent table

"The magnitude of the "discount" at TWX, as estimated by various research analysts, is approximately 10% - 15% of the gross equity value of TWX."

Time Warner Inc. · TWX Carl Icahn · p. 265
callout cover

"We believe the long-term risk from AVs is limited and estimate that Uber’s share price is likely to more than double over the next 3 to 4 years"

Uber Technologies · UBER Pershing Square · p. 1
callout villain critique

"Consumables revenue of $3.9MM divided by 92 machines in the field yields $43K of consumable revenue per machine – or 2-3 runs, by our estimate."

Berkeley Lights · BLI Scorpion Capital · p. 21
callout kpi overview

"By funding itself with 80% equity, we estimate the Company loses approximately $105 million annually or $286,540 per day of shareholders' money"

ADT Corporation · ADT Corvex · p. 25
callout other

"If met coal prices went to $300, Teck would generate over $1 billion Canadian dollars of incremental EBITDA each quarter vs. analyst estimates."

Teck Resources · TECK Greenlight Capital · p. 54
callout other

"We believe the long-term risk from AVs is limited and estimate that Uber’s share price is likely to more than double over the next 3 to 4 years"

Pershing Square Holdings · PSH Pershing Square · p. 67
callout valuation reveal

"At McDonald's current price of approximately $33 per share, we estimate Pro Forma McDonald's dividend / FCF yield would be approximately 6.7%."

McDonald's Corporation · MCD Pershing Square · p. 51
callout sop buildup

"TWX does not break down revenues by business line within Filmed Entertainment, however, an estimate of the division's revenues are as follows:"

Time Warner Inc. · TWX Carl Icahn · p. 118
callout appendix data

"These are our estimates, and we acknowledge that for 2026, we are 30-40% higher than consensus, which we think is justified based on our work."

Vitesco Technologies · VTSC Greenlight Capital · p. 43
callout villain critique

"We estimate $661m of costs have been capitalized in software since 2007, yet only $217m has gone through the income statement as amortization."

Mettler-Toledo International, Inc. · MTD Spruce Point Capital · p. 17
callout other

"We estimate $661m of costs have been capitalized in software since 2007, yet only $217m has gone through the income statement as amortization."

Mettler-Toledo International, Inc. · MTD Spruce Point Capital · p. 66
callout thesis headline

"We believe management's plan is achievable, and the ARPU tailwind from Pulse will lead to ADT exceeding revenue and profit estimates over time"

ADT Corporation · ADT Corvex · p. 21
callout sop buildup

"Based on our estimates, private-pay Independent Living (IL), Assisted Living (AL) and Memory Care units trade at implied 5.00%-5.50% cap rates"

callout sop buildup

"Valued at 8x its estimated peak earnings contribution, Valeant's late-stage pipeline, excluding Salix, may be worth as much as ~$40 per share"

Unknown · p. 31
callout appendix methodology

"We believe EBITDA is the incorrect metric for the Company and estimated customer value is calculated with numerous unpredictable assumptions."

Sunnova Energy International Inc. · NOVA Spruce Point Capital · p. 89