Contrarian Corpus

80 documents showing 1–60

Muddy Waters 2024-05-29

CPI Property Group S.A. CPIPGR

CPI Property Group's luxury London transactions — same-day flips, offshore proxies, and uneconomic sales to PEPs — bear hallmarks of money laundering integration using bondholder funds.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2024-02-15

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. FFH

Muddy Waters poses five forensic questions to Fairfax management that, if answered honestly, would expose return-of-capital dividends, off-balance-sheet debt via NCIs, and fair-value gain engineering.

N3 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2024-02-08

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. FFH

Muddy Waters is short Fairfax Financial, arguing it is 'the GE of Canada' — a serial accounting manipulator whose book value is overstated by ~$4.5bn (~18%) through value-destructive transactions.

N4 V3 C2
Muddy Waters 2024-01-22

CPI Property Group S.A. CPIPGR

Muddy Waters is short CPI Property Group's credit: its €19.2B portfolio appears inflated via implausible Berlin gains, cherry-picked Bubny landbank comps, and occupancy rates realtor listings show are overstated by ~2x.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2023-11-30

CPI Property Group CPIPGR

Follow-up to Muddy Waters' Part 1 report: a list of pointed questions challenging CPI Property Group to explain self-dealing transactions through which controlling shareholder Radovan Vitek is allegedly asset-stripping the company.

N3 V1 C1
Trian Partners 2023-01-12

The Walt Disney Company DIS

Disney's world-class IP is being squandered by a board that overpaid $52bn for Fox, bungled CEO succession, and is bleeding streaming losses — add Nelson Peltz to restore discipline.

N4 V3 C3
TCI Fund 2022-11-15

Alphabet GOOGL

Alphabet's cost base is bloated — headcount up 20% CAGR since 2017, pay 67% above Microsoft, Other Bets bleeding $20bn; cut costs, target a 40% Google Services margin, and buy back stock aggressively.

N4 V3 C2
Kerrisdale Capital 2022-04-01

Digital World Acquisition Corp DWAC

DWAC's $8bn pro-forma SPAC merger with Trump's TMTG will never close because the SEC is actively investigating it and can kill the deal via a stop order — fair value is the $10 trust cash (-80%).

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2022-03-08

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman failed all 2016 and 2018 Investor Day EBITDA and share-price promises

N4 V4 C3
Muddy Waters 2021-03-03

XL Fleet Corp XL

XL Fleet is SPAC trash: salespeople were paid to fabricate pipeline, most touted customers are inactive, ROI is actually negative, and the stock is worth a fraction of its billion-dollar SPAC valuation.

N5 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2020-11-11

MultiPlan Corp MPLN

MultiPlan is a financially-engineered SPAC corpse losing its biggest customer UHC to UHC's own competitor Naviguard; expect 35% revenue loss and 8x+ leverage by 2022.

N4 V2 C2
Land & Buildings 2020-05-19

D.R. Horton and Invitation Homes DHI/INVH

COVID-19 has supercharged the suburban single-family thesis; entry-level homebuilder D.R. Horton and single-family rental REIT Invitation Homes trade 20%+ below highs despite accelerating demand.

N3 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2020-05-12

Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ALXN

Alexion's stand-alone strategy has failed — serial M&A missteps and a deep valuation discount mean the Board must pursue a sale now to unlock 40-50% upside for shareholders.

N5 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2020-05-11

GCP Applied Technologies GCP

Starboard rebuts GCP: stock has lagged peers on every milestone since the 2016 spin-off, and Starboard's superior director slate can finally drive the turnaround management hasn't delivered.

N4 V3 C3
TCI Fund 2019-11-30

S&P Global SPGI

TCI, a ~1% holder, urges S&P Global to lead on climate disclosure: report fully to CDP, adopt a Paris-aligned transition plan, and push mandatory GHG disclosure across the companies it rates.

N3 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2019-11-07

PeptiDream, Inc. 4587 JP

PeptiDream's 19 pharma 'partnerships' are largely dormant and 13 years of R&D have produced zero Phase 2 drugs — analyst 2027 revenue forecasts will miss by over 60%.

N4 V2 C2
Kerrisdale Capital 2019-07-01

CareDx, Inc. CDNA

CareDx is a $1.7bn story built on AllSure, a cfDNA kidney-rejection test that misses 40% of rejections and faces 70% annual patient attrition, competition and Medicare reset — ~70% downside.

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2019-06-20

AECOM ACM

AECOM is a collection of under-integrated franchises; a Jacobs-style operational overhaul plus outright sales of MS and CS can close a 5.3x multiple discount to peers.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2019-02-25

Inogen INGN

INGN's growth narrative rests on an inflated $3-4B TAM that Medicare data contradicts; under a realistic 1.3M-user market, peak unit sales arrive this year or next.

N4 V1 C1
Pershing Square 2019-02-13

Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. (annual portfolio update; covers CMG, ADP, QSR, LOW, SBUX, HLT, UTX, HHC, FNMA/FMCC) PSH

PSH trades at 27% discount to NAV despite 13.8% net CAGR since 2004 vs 8.4% for S&P 500

N3 V3 C2
Muddy Waters 2019-02-08

Inogen, Inc. INGN

Inogen's growth story rests on a fabricated TAM sourced from a plagiarism-riddled WinterGreen report; real market is shrinking, peak sales arrive 2019-2020, target $46 (-67%).

N5 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2018-11-20

Mitek Systems, Inc. MITK

Mitek's board is entrenching against ASG's $10 cash bid (51% premium) despite a declining core business, departed leadership, and a chairman dumping his own stock below the offer price.

N4 V1 C1
Carl Icahn 2018-11-15

Dell Technologies (Class V / DVMT tracking stock) DVMT

Dell's $109 buyout of the DVMT tracker is really $90 — a 42% discount engineered to transfer $11bn from public holders to Michael Dell and Silver Lake. Vote no.

N4 V3 C3
Citron Research 2018-08-28

Wayfair W

Wayfair's unit economics are deteriorating — loss per new customer nearly doubled to $19 — while the stock defies gravity; Citron is re-shorting with a first stop at $100.

N3 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2018-07-02

TAL Education Group TAL

TAL inflated Firstleap's acquired deferred revenue by 90-175%, pumping $21-29M of fake profit through FY2017 via an above-the-line accounting lever obscured by an overlooked small acquisition.

N4 V2 C1
Third Point 2018-07-01

Nestlé S.A. NESN

Nestlé has been too slow to adapt to a changing consumer industry; adopting a #NestléNOW mindset — sharper strategy, bolder portfolio divestitures including the L'Oréal stake, and a three-division split — can double EPS by 2022.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2018-05-14

athenahealth, Inc. ATHN

Elliott's $160 cash offer for athenahealth is being stonewalled by a disengaged board; immediate engagement on a take-private transaction is the value-maximizing path for shareholders.

N3 V2 C1
Land & Buildings 2018-05-10

Taubman Centers, Inc. TCO

Taubman's persistent peer underperformance stems from a family-entrenched board and dual-class structure; electing Litt and collapsing Series B shares unlocks value common shareholders have been denied.

N4 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2018-05-07

athenahealth, Inc. ATHN

Elliott offers $160/share cash for athenahealth — a 27% premium valuing the company at ~$6.9bn — arguing chronic execution failures make going private the only path to realizing its HCIT potential.

N4 V2 C1
Land & Buildings 2018-04-16

QTS Realty Trust QTS

QTS's CEO Chad Williams runs a culture of self-enrichment with no accountability; shareholders should withhold votes from him and the comp chair at the May 3 annual meeting.

N3 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2018-04-11

Newell Brands Inc. NWL

Newell's board destroyed $10bn and handed control to Icahn; elect Starboard's four independent nominees to execute a credible divestiture plan and restore accountability.

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2018-03-07

Mellanox Technologies, Ltd. MLNX

Mellanox's long-tenured board has presided over chronic underperformance and heavy insider selling; Starboard's 10.6% stake is launching a proxy fight to replace a majority of directors.

N3 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2018-02-13

Monotype Imaging Holdings Inc. TYPE

Monotype's three-year acquisition spree (Olapic, Swyft) destroyed $500M+ of value and halved EBITDA margins; Starboard demands four new directors to refocus on the core font franchise.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2018-02-12

Newell Brands Inc. NWL

Starboard, backed by Jarden's founders, seeks to replace Newell's board after CEO Michael Polk destroyed $11bn of value following the 2016 Jarden merger.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2018-02-08

IQE plc IQE

Muddy Waters is short IQE: the compound-semi maker inflated 2015/2016 net income by 58.5%/25.4% via transactions with its Cardiff University JV — an alter ego, not an arm's-length partner.

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2018-02-05

Mellanox Technologies, Ltd. MLNX

Mellanox insiders have sold $130M of stock across 373 trades vs. one purchase since IPO — evidence the Board lacks confidence in its own plan and must be reconstituted.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2018-01-31

OSI Systems OSIS

OSIS's rebuttal fails: S2 Albania's financials prove ICMS contributed no capital, making its 49% concession stake an unjustified conduit for corruption and confirming management's lost credibility.

N4 V1 C1
Pershing Square 2018-01-29

Pershing Square Holdings (PSH) — portfolio review PSH

Returning to roots: smaller investment-centric team, reaffirmed core principles, growth from returns not AUM

N3 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2018-01-29

Pershing Square Holdings (fund-level annual review covering multiple portfolio companies: ADP, QSR, MDLZ, HHC, CMG, FNMA/FMCC, PAH, NKE, HLF, SPGI) PSH

Pershing Square has restructured to a smaller, investment-centric organization — 'returning to our roots'

N3 V3 C2
Spruce Point Capital 2018-01-25

Ballard Power Systems BLDP

Ballard's 167% 2017 rally rests on a fragile China fuel-cell story with weak partners and zero insider skin; expect a repeat of the Azure failure and 35-70% downside to $1.15-$2.50.

N4 V3 C3
Carl Icahn 2018-01-18

Xerox Corporation XRX

Xerox is languishing under CEO Jacobson and old-guard directors; Icahn is nominating four new directors and demands CEO replacement plus renegotiation of the opaque Fuji joint venture.

N4 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2018-01-08

Mellanox Technologies, Ltd. MLNX

Mellanox has industry-leading 70%+ gross margins but dead-last operating margins among fabless semis; disciplined cost cuts can close a multi-year peer gap and rerate the stock.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2017-12-06

OSI Systems, Inc. OSIS

OSIS is rotten to the core: the Albania concession was obtained via an apparent bribe, the Mexico turnkey is egregiously priced and up for renewal, and FCPA liability could erase a large chunk of the $1.6bn market cap.

N5 V2 C2
Land & Buildings 2017-11-13

Taubman Centers TCO

Taubman's dominant Class A malls are still bustling and growing, yet TCO is down 25% YTD — management, not 'dead malls,' is the problem, with 50%+ upside if the board acts.

N4 V3 C3
Marcato 2017-11-01

Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK

Deckers' board missed every margin target and wasted $600m on retail bloat and Sanuk; replacing them enables UGG focus, non-core divestitures and a doubling to $135-158.

N4 V3 C3
Oasis Management 2017-10-30

Alpine Electronics 6816

Alps Electric is buying out 40%-owned Alpine Electronics via a biased share-exchange at too low a price; minority holders should reject it and demand a tender offer near 2,400 yen.

N2 V1 C1
Trian Partners 2017-09-21

The Procter & Gamble Company PG

P&G's rebuttal deck is riddled with 50+ data errors designed to discredit Peltz; the real issue is ongoing market-share losses and bottom-quartile TSR that only a board seat can fix.

N4 V3 C2
Trian Partners 2017-09-06

The Procter & Gamble Company PG

P&G's insular board and suffocating matrix have driven a decade of share loss; adding Nelson Peltz as one of 11 directors — Heinz/Mondelez/Wendy's tested — would revitalize the $65bn giant.

N4 V3 C3
Trian Partners 2017-09-06

The Procter & Gamble Company PG

P&G's long-tenured Board has rewarded a decade of market-share loss and bottom-quartile EPS growth; electing Nelson Peltz adds the shareholder voice needed to fix innovation, productivity, M&A and governance.

N5 V4 C4
Trian Partners 2017-09-01

Automatic Data Processing (ADP) ADP

ADP has delivered 203% TSR under CEO Rodriguez; Pershing Square owns just 2% of common stock and its nominees lack the HCM and technology experience to improve on this trajectory.

N4 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2017-08-17

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP

Employer Services margins are 1,500-2,000 bps below potential vs. Paychex and peers

N5 V4 C4
Muddy Waters 2017-06-29

Prothena Corp PLC PRTA

Short PRTA: publicly-available NEOD001 data does not show efficacy — organ responses are likely driven by prior PCD chemo, not the drug, and $1.5B peak sales are unrealistic.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2017-06-16

Man Wah Holdings 1999.HK

Man Wah's response fails to address Muddy Waters' core fraud allegations: suspicious Macau profit-shifting, export revenue gaps vs. Panjiva data, tax inconsistencies, and undisclosed debt all remain unexplained.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2017-06-05

Asanko Gold Inc. AKG

Asanko's reassurances on Nkran are 'puppies and rainbows': fresh drone images show wall failures, reserve accounting is non-compliant, and insider share counts don't reconcile with management's 'never sold' claim.

N4 V3 C3
Land & Buildings 2017-05-30

Taubman Centers, Inc. TCO

Taubman's best-in-class malls are worth ~$106/share (~70% upside), but the family's dual-class 30% voting block blocks reform — elect Litt and governance expert Elson.

N3 V2 C1
Elliott Management 2017-05-16

BHP Billiton BHP

US$46bn value unlock: demerger (+$15bn) + capital return (+$20bn) + franking credits (+$11bn)

N5 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2017-05-08

Howard Hughes Corporation HHC

HHC owns the best public-market analogue to Donald Bren's $15B Irvine Ranch MPC empire

N5 V4 C4
Land & Buildings 2017-05-01

Taubman Centers, Inc. TCO

Taubman Centers has chronically underperformed Class A mall peers by 57% over five years under entrenched family governance; electing L&B's nominees can unlock 65% NAV upside.

N3 V2 C1
Pershing Square 2017-04-24

Pershing Square Portfolio (multiple positions)

Core longs (QSR, MDLZ, CMG, APD, HHC) are high-quality businesses in mid-transformation with untapped margin upside

N2 V3 C2
Carl Icahn 2017-04-20

Arconic Inc. ARNC

Arconic CEO Kleinfeld's veiled-extortion letter to Paul Singer forces his ouster; Elliott demands independent investigation, removal of complicit directors, and protection from whatever scheme Kleinfeld set in motion.

N4 V1 C1