Contrarian Corpus
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Callouts & quotes from 251+ activist slides

Every emphasised callout and every pulled quote, extracted slide-by-slide. Search by keyword, filter by slide type or by source.

Showing 121–180 of 251 matching "suggests"
callout kpi overview

"It is natural for growth to be relatively higher in acquisition periods, but these figures suggest that Amdocs' organic growth rate is lower than management suggests and analysts believe."

Amdocs Limited · DOX Spruce Point Capital · p. 26
callout villain critique

"The new dataset contains both HbA1c and fasting glucose charts, but it appears someone forgot to alter the fasting glucose one - which suggests to us that the HbA1c data is a fabrication."

Soleno Therapeutics · SLNO Scorpion Capital · p. 131
callout villain critique

"The growth in these types of workarounds (system violations, at present) strongly suggests that the current allocation system is not optimized to efficiently match organs with a patient"

TransMedics Group Inc · TMDX Scorpion Capital · p. 127
callout precedent table

"Spruce Point likes investing situations where the data suggests a favorable risk/reward. Numerous academic studies and recent performance suggests that spin-offs outperform the market."

Henry Schein, Inc. · HSIC Spruce Point Capital · p. 18
callout precedent table

"Independent analysis suggests that the U.S.'s $100 billion home-sale commission TAM could be reduced by as much as 30%-50% due to changes that will likely be brought on by the verdict."

Zillow Group, Inc. · Z Spruce Point Capital · p. 38
callout villain critique

"Independent evidence and field work (including agent interviews) strongly suggests that BEKE's realized commission rates are meaningfully lower than the figures reported to investors."

KE Holdings · BEKE Muddy Waters · p. 11
callout other

"We believe that RUN uses disallowed costs as part of its tax basis. Our Adjusted Cost Approach valuation suggests that RUN’s Cost Approach Tax Model valuation is overstated by 25.7%."

Sunrun Inc. · RUN Muddy Waters · p. 16
callout section divider

"Management's public commentary suggests that (a) investors benefit from its conglomerate structure and (b) the Company has achieved its stated operating goals. Neither claim is true"

Phillips 66 · PSX Elliott Management · p. 19
callout villain critique

"Our technical expert, however, suggests that Silver Sand is not a world-class silver deposit based on drilling to date and evidence suggests that exploration upside may be limited."

New Pacific Metals · NUAG Hindenburg Research · p. 54
callout villain critique

"The disconnect between branding and financial reality suggests the name change was more about capitalizing on market trends than reflecting meaningful business transformation."

Tempus AI, Inc. · TEM Spruce Point Capital · p. 25
callout villain critique

"Spruce Point cannot recommend investing in a company where the CEO makes headlines for large compensation while “flexing” his muscles. This suggests extreme managerial hubris."

Axon Enterprise (formerly TASER) · AAXN Spruce Point Capital · p. 62
callout villain critique

"This chart strongly suggests that management is lying about its purported growing average subscription period, steady ARPU, growing number of paying subscribers, or all three."

iQIYI, Inc. · IQ Wolfpack Research · p. 10
callout villain critique

"The similarity between both the light source and particle contamination issues for Lasertec's DUV and EUV products suggests a fatally flawed and defective technology platform."

Lasertec Corporation · 6920 Scorpion Capital · p. 34
callout villain critique

"The similarity between both the light source and particle contamination issues for Lasertec’s DUV and EUV products suggests a fatally flawed and defective technology platform."

Lasertec Corporation · 6920 Scorpion Capital · p. 225
callout villain critique

"This suggests that the growth in the total agents in of the end of 2020, 28.5% of its labor force were either coming from labor dispatching agencies, or were simply invented."

KE Holdings · BEKE Muddy Waters · p. 40
callout peer gap

"For every dollar in biological assets, Trulieve is able to generate the least amount of dollar sales. This strongly suggests that the mark-up on these assets is overstated."

Trulieve Cannabis Corp · TRUL Grizzly Research · p. 21
callout executive summary

"Our simple regression analysis linking valuation to organic growth rate among IT outsourcing peers suggests 40% to 50% downside (approximately $24.50 to $29.50 per share)"

Globant SA · GLOB Spruce Point Capital · p. 5
callout villain critique

"We believe the Board conducted an incomplete analysis of Dr. Beckerle’s independence and a consideration of all the facts suggests Dr. Beckerle is clearly not independent"

Huntsman Corporation · HUN Starboard Value · p. 100
callout ceo quote

"The timing of these acquisitions and the shift in rhetoric suggests management was aware of the impending disaster in Brazil and were now scrambling to dilute its impact."

SMART Global Holdings, Inc. · SGH Wolfpack Research · p. 18
callout thesis headline

"Valuing WSP's shares in-line with industry peers to reflect rising fundamental challenges and financial strains suggests 25%-50% downside risk (C$110 – C$165 per share)."

WSP Global Inc. · WSP Spruce Point Capital · p. 8
callout executive summary

"This structure raises serious concerns about Limbach's deal discipline and suggests management may be prioritizing deal volume or optics over long-term value creation."

Limbach Holdings, Inc. · LMB Spruce Point Capital · p. 9
callout villain critique

"This structure raises serious concerns about Limbach's deal discipline and suggests management may be prioritizing deal volume or optics over long-term value creation."

Limbach Holdings, Inc. · LMB Spruce Point Capital · p. 46
callout peer gap

"A benchmarking analysis of high growth data technology peers suggests that C3's total lease burden relative to its current employee base is 2.2x greater than peers."

C3.ai, Inc. · AI Spruce Point Capital · p. 60
callout appendix data

"Together with the Lianjia stores' existing home sales GTV overstatement, our collected data suggests BEKE inflated its existing home sales GTV by 33% in 2Q-3Q 2021."

KE Holdings · BEKE Muddy Waters · p. 69
callout villain critique

"PubMed suggests BLI has zero traction or impact in academic research or real-world commercial drug discovery – strange, for a supposedly game-changing technology."

Berkeley Lights · BLI Scorpion Capital · p. 23
quote other

"A 2018 Forbes article suggests a total CPAP population of 8 million, growing at 8-9% a year. This would imply between 600k and 700k new CPAP prescriptions a year."

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. · INSP Wolfpack Research · p. 16
callout villain critique

"The breakdown – combined with comments from Nevro’s own consultants and ex-employees - suggests to us that the speakers program is a kickback scheme in disguise."

Nevro Corp. · NVRO Scorpion Capital · p. 211
callout ceo quote

"The footnote in this chart, saying it does not include China in its methodology, suggests that China's compensation plan is different from the rest of the world."

Herbalife Ltd. · HLF Pershing Square · p. 48
callout ceo quote

"Incremental revenues from L4 represented at least 3.9% (not 1% to 2%) and probably closer to 5% as our work suggests that L4 was likely growing over 20% per year"

Globant SA · GLOB Spruce Point Capital · p. 17
callout valuation reveal

"Our linear regression on similar companies suggests a valuation based on EBITDA of approximately 11.0x which equates to a price target of approximately $28.00"

Globant SA · GLOB Spruce Point Capital · p. 36
callout villain critique

"Our research suggests that apart from a small cooperation with Feichi, Broad Ocean is only really working with Dongfeng on a project of any commercial scale"

Ballard Power Systems · BLDP Spruce Point Capital · p. 49
callout ceo quote

"Its 10K filing, however, suggests that the thickness is a problem – "our business could fail" if we can't reduce its thickness and overcome other barriers."

QuantumScape · QS Scorpion Capital · p. 147
callout villain critique

"What has been driving this exceptional share performance? The chart suggests enormous financial progress to justify the explosive re-rating of the shares."

athenahealth · ATHN Greenlight Capital · p. 8
callout villain critique

"We immediately noticed that the total payments reported by TransMedics are unusually low, which suggests a company trying to cover-up the amounts it pays."

TransMedics Group Inc · TMDX Scorpion Capital · p. 117
callout villain critique

"This pattern suggests insiders with advanced knowledge of the poor results shorted the stock late on October 29 and covered aggressively the next morning."

HelloFresh SE · HFG Grizzly Research · p. 10
callout sop buildup

"Our calculation suggests this element of the Proposals alone could lead to as much as 15% upside in the value of the combined businesses of HMC and Mobis"

Hyundai Motor Group Elliott Management · p. 35
callout villain critique

"DEXA “LBM” dataset suggests to us that DCCR linearly increases fluid retention over time, with no signs of plateau = 7.3 kg/16 lbs of fluid in 3 years"

Soleno Therapeutics · SLNO Scorpion Capital · p. 49
callout villain critique

"DEXA “LBM” dataset suggests to us that DCCR linearly increases fluid retention over time, with no signs of plateau = 7.3 kg/16 lbs of fluid in 3 years"

Soleno Therapeutics · SLNO Scorpion Capital · p. 145
callout comparison table

"Street estimates for ACMR's Chinese equipment peers call for continued 30%+ YoY revenue growth. If anything, this suggests potential upside for ACMR."

ACM Research, Inc. · ACMR Kerrisdale Capital · p. 19
callout sop buildup

"The analysis suggests that one of the better uses of TWX funds at this point in the investment cycle is to aggressively repurchase its common stock."

Time Warner Inc. · TWX Carl Icahn · p. 353
quote villain critique

"Supermicro has denied allegations of a security breach, but the company’s share price suggests that the market is skeptical of management’s defense."

Mercury Systems Inc. · MRCY Spruce Point Capital · p. 12
callout process diagram

"Data suggests districts will prioritize preserving labor over contract extensions and renewals, leading to pressure to vendors such as PowerSchool."

PowerSchool Holdings, Inc. · PWSC Spruce Point Capital · p. 38
callout villain critique

"To us, the evidence suggests TMC overstated its NORI exploration expenditures in its SEC filings to give investors a false scale of its operations."

TMC the metals company Inc. · TMC Bonitas Research · p. 7
callout timeline

"This fact pattern suggests to us that IPX may not have received enough private sector commercial customer buy-in to commence a feasibility study."

IperionX Ltd. · IPX Spruce Point Capital · p. 52
callout villain critique

"Disclosure suggests ~$400mm in prop trading losses since 2009(1) or very high operating costs at HETCO or...? Why do shareholders have to guess?"

Hess Corporation · HES Elliott Management · p. 28
callout executive summary

"The vast majority of WFG's recruits ultimately drop out; WFG documents we've reviewed suggests that churn in many WFG organizations is 96%-99%."

Aegon Ltd. · AEG Spruce Point Capital · p. 8
callout kpi overview

"Spruce Point's research into each of Amdocs' recent acquisitions reveals that M&A has added materially more to sales than management suggests."

Amdocs Limited · DOX Spruce Point Capital · p. 34
callout transition

"But why is it that Archer is not as open about noise as Joby? The deliberate muting of videos strongly suggests there is something to conceal."

Archer Aviation Inc · ACHR Grizzly Research · p. 16
callout ceo quote

"Unfortunately, FND’s unredeemed gift card liability accounts have sharply declined which suggests greater gift card redemption than issuance."

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. · FND Spruce Point Capital · p. 75
callout villain critique

"Historical precedent suggests that Celgene’s P/E multiple will continue to contract as the loss of REVLIMID’s patent exclusivity draws near."

Bristol-Myers Squibb · BMY Starboard Value · p. 57
callout process diagram

"Our estimation suggests that the real time advantage of PhenoTest AST is a modest 40%, not 75%, when compared to the automated AST systems."

Accelerate Diagnostics · AXDX White Diamond Research · p. 14
callout kpi overview

"Spruce Point believes that PERI's recent 2023 outlook suggests that the best operating leverage and growth potential is already behind it."

Perion Network Ltd. · PERI Spruce Point Capital · p. 46
callout other

"Limiting a study to n=3 such participants suggests an attempt to cherry-pick and present misleading data that understates the variability."

Harmony Biosciences Holdings · HRMY Scorpion Capital · p. 144
callout villain critique

"This suggests that Flexopt is essentially just round-tripping the cash from INS’s loan right back to INS through the processing agreement."

Intelligent Systems Corp · INS Grizzly Research · p. 7
callout villain critique

"The mere existence of this probe suggests that regulators see sufficient risk in these cross-border arrangements to warrant intervention."

Super Group (SGHC) Limited · SGHC Spruce Point Capital · p. 11
callout villain critique

"This strongly suggests it has been covering up strain in its business, consistent with our analysis and observations on the prior slide."

XPO Logistics, Inc. · XPO Spruce Point Capital · p. 28
callout villain critique

"Glassdoor commentary primarily from cardiac technicians suggests quality concerns have persisted for years and remain cause for concern."

iRhythm Technologies, Inc. · IRTC Spruce Point Capital · p. 46
callout valuation reveal

"Our forensic research suggests CLEAR to be an extremely inferior business trading well above 10x when its enterprise value is adjusted."

Clear Secure, Inc. · YOU Spruce Point Capital · p. 79
callout ceo quote

"If history repeated, this would yield a fair value estimate of $217 - $314 per share which suggests 35% - 55% potential downside risk."

Erie Indemnity Company · ERIE Spruce Point Capital · p. 6
callout villain critique

"Purchase commitment growth dropped to almost zero at year end 2024 which suggests that Monster may be stuck with excess raw materials."

Monster Beverage Corp. · MNST Spruce Point Capital · p. 34