119 documents showing 61–119

Nov 15, 2018

Carl Icahn

Dell Technologies (Class V / DVMT tracking stock) DVMT

Dell's $109 buyout of the DVMT tracker is really $90 — a 42% discount engineered to transfer $11bn from public holders to Michael Dell and Silver Lake. Vote no.

N4 V3

May 24, 2018

Carl Icahn

SandRidge Energy SD

SandRidge trades at a ~45% discount to its own PV-10 because the post-bankruptcy 'bankruptcy board' destroys value via dilutive deals; replace it with Icahn's slate to run a real sale process.

N4 V3

May 17, 2018

Spruce Point Capital

U.S. Concrete Inc USCR

USCR's 21% gross margins and Adj EBITDA growth are engineered via capital leases and overcapitalized truck costs; CEO Sandbrook should resign and shares face 60-90% downside to $6-$25.

N4 V3

Apr 23, 2018

Greenlight Capital

Assured Guaranty AGO

Assured Guaranty is a melting-ice-cube bond insurer aggressively returning capital it hasn't earned; Puerto Rico losses alone (2-4x reserves) will force a capital raise or strip the AA rating it needs to write new business.

N5 V2

Apr 05, 2018

Elliott Management

Telecom Italia SpA (TIM) TIT.MI

TIM's operating turnaround is real, but Vivendi-controlled governance has tripled the peer discount; independent directors plus NetCo separation could double the stock to €1.6.

N5 V4

Apr 01, 2018

Kerrisdale Capital

The St. Joe Company JOE

St. Joe's Florida Panhandle land bank is worth a fraction of what bulls claim; absent the promised population boom, the stock is materially overvalued and a short.

N4 V3

Mar 16, 2018

Spruce Point Capital

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions KTOS

Kratos is an overhyped drone play run by executives tied to the Titan FCPA scandal; with the weakest margins in defense and a recent Director fraud indictment, we see 40%-70% downside.

N4 V3

Dec 20, 2017

Muddy Waters

China Internet Nationwide Financial Services Inc. CIFS

CIFS is an old-style China reverse-merger fraud dressed up as a Reg A+ IPO; SAIC filings show 5x revenue overstatement, every disclosed borrower is a sham, and the equity is worthless.

N4 V2

Nov 13, 2017

Land & Buildings

Taubman Centers TCO

Taubman's dominant Class A malls are still bustling and growing, yet TCO is down 25% YTD — management, not 'dead malls,' is the problem, with 50%+ upside if the board acts.

N4 V3

May 30, 2017

Land & Buildings

Taubman Centers, Inc. TCO

Taubman's best-in-class malls are worth ~$106/share (~70% upside), but the family's dual-class 30% voting block blocks reform — elect Litt and governance expert Elson.

N3 V2

May 08, 2017

Pershing Square

Howard Hughes Corporation HHC

HHC is the public-market way to invest alongside a Donald-Bren-style MPC compounder: irreplaceable master-planned communities with 37M SF of remaining entitlements, roughly 10x what's already built.

N5 V4

May 01, 2017

Land & Buildings

Taubman Centers, Inc. TCO

Taubman Centers has chronically underperformed Class A mall peers by 57% over five years under entrenched family governance; electing L&B's nominees can unlock 65% NAV upside.

N3 V2

Apr 10, 2017

Elliott Management

BHP Billiton BHP

BHP's DLC structure, stranded US petroleum, and undisciplined capital allocation depress value; unifying, demerging, and running 14% discounted buybacks unlocks ~49% upside and US$46bn.

N5 V3

Dec 16, 2016

Muddy Waters

China Huishan Dairy Holdings 6863 HK

Huishan is a fraud worth close to zero — fabricated alfalfa self-sufficiency inflates margins, RMB 1.6bn of CapEx is fictitious, and Chairman Yang has siphoned farms to a related party.

N5 V2

Oct 06, 2016

Land & Buildings

MGM Resorts International MGM

MGM's discredited CEO Murren was just handed a pay-for-showing-up contract; replacing him and unlocking real-estate value via MGM China, CityCenter and Bellagio sales delivers 35%+ upside.

N3 V1

Apr 26, 2016

Pershing Square

Multiple (portfolio-level LP update: MDLZ, APD, ZTS, QSR, CP, HHC, VRX, PAH, NOMD, HLF short)

Mondelez 13% EBIT margin vs 17-26% peers implies +600-700 bps optimized EBIT upside under 3G playbook

N3 V3

Jan 11, 2016

Starboard Value

Macy's, Inc. M

Macy's $21bn real estate portfolio implies a negative-value OpCo; a real estate JV plus $500m+ cost cuts can crystallize hidden value without sacrificing cash flow or investment grade.

N3 V2

Jan 11, 2016

Starboard Value

Macy's, Inc. M

Macy's $21bn real estate portfolio exceeds its enterprise value; Starboard urges joint-venture structures plus $500M+ cost cuts to crystallize value without sacrificing cash flow or investment-grade rating.

N3 V2

Jan 11, 2016

Starboard Value

Macy's Inc. M

Macy's owns $21bn of real estate — more than its entire enterprise value; spinning iconic and mall properties into two JVs unlocks ~$70/share, ~88% upside.

N4 V3

Dec 16, 2015

Muddy Waters

Groupe Casino Guichard-Perrachon SA CO FP

Casino's financial statements mask 8.9x leverage and inflated EBITDA via related-party Mercialys real-estate sales; shares are worth €6.91 vs €48.97, an 86% decline.

N4 V2

Dec 01, 2015

SpringOwl

Yahoo! Inc. YHOO

Yahoo's Core is mismanaged but fixable — replace Mayer with an operator CEO, cut headcount two-thirds, bring Liberty in as a partner, and shares triple from $35 to $113.

N4 V3

Nov 16, 2015

Elliott Management

American Capital, Ltd. ACAS

American Capital trades at 71% of NAV under a long-tenured board; Elliott urges shareholders to reject management's self-entrenching spin-out and force a strategic review for 24-63% upside.

N5 V4

May 04, 2015

Greenlight Capital

Pioneer Natural Resources PXD

Pioneer and the shale 'frackers' burn cash and destroy value on every BOE developed; their $27B market cap rests on proved reserves worth $3-8B — buy oil, not PXD.

N5 V3

Mar 17, 2015

Land & Buildings

MGM Resorts International MGM

MGM's US real estate is buried inside a 10x-EBITDA C-corp; a REIT conversion plus lodging-C-corp spin and MGM China dividend can lift NAV from $33 to $55 per share.

N4 V2

Feb 17, 2015

Muddy Waters

Bolloré SA BOL FP

Bolloré's Breton-Pulleys circular ownership masks that public float is 42.8% not 24.3%; at €4.37 shares trade at 41% of €10.63 NAV — 95% upside to €8.50.

N5 V2

Nov 20, 2014

Muddy Waters

Superb Summit International Group Limited 1228.HK

Superb Summit's HK$773m of reported revenue belongs to a coal company it never owned, and its HK$1.5bn JFT acquisition is a sham valuation routed through a mystery intermediary.

N4 V2

Sep 11, 2014

Starboard Value

Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI

Darden trades at $48 because a corporate-heavy Board has buried a great restaurant company; the Brinker playbook — cost cuts, real estate separation, SRG spin, franchising — unlocks $67-$86 per share.

N5 V3

Sep 11, 2014

Starboard Value

Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI

Darden's brands and real estate are worth $67-$86/share vs. $48 today — replace the entire board to execute the Brinker playbook: operational turnaround, real-estate separation, SRG spin-off.

N5 V3

May 22, 2014

Starboard Value

Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI

Darden's Board destroyed value by selling Red Lobster for ~1x EBITDA against shareholder will; replacing 12 directors unlocks a real estate spin, cost-cut turnaround, and peer-catchup upside.

N4 V2

May 20, 2014

Spruce Point Capital

iRobot Corp IRBT

IRBT is a narrow consumer-vacuum company riding a robotics bubble; aggressive accounting, insider selling and a decaying moat point to $20-$25, or 25-40% downside.

N4 V3

Apr 22, 2014

Marcato

Sotheby's BID

Sotheby's sits on $1bn+ of excess capital while insiders own 0.8%; Third Point's slate brings aligned ownership to drive capital return, cost discipline, and higher ROE.

N4 V3

Mar 31, 2014

Starboard Value

Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI

Darden's rushed Red Lobster spin-off traps ~$850m of real estate value at a trough multiple; shareholders must force a Special Meeting to halt this irreversible mistake.

N4 V3

Jun 06, 2013

Oasis Management

Nintendo Co., Ltd. 7974.T

Nintendo trades at 0.9x book with 67% of market cap in net cash; publishing Mario and Pokémon on iOS/Android unlocks freemium upside of 97-240%.

N5 V3

Apr 15, 2013

Elliott Management

Hess Corporation HES

Hess's world-class assets are squandered by 17 years of John Hess's undisciplined, unaccountable leadership; electing Elliott's five nominees unlocks $96-128 per share of intrinsic value.

N5 V4

Mar 01, 2013

Elliott Management

Hess Corporation HES

Hess underperformed peers by 460% over 17 years of restructurings; splitting the conglomerate into a Bakken pure-play and an international E&P unlocks $128/share.

N5 V4

Jan 29, 2013

Elliott Management

Hess Corporation HES

Hess trades at a steep discount because its unfocused portfolio and poor execution mask premier Bakken acreage; spin the resource co., replace the board, and unlock ~150% upside to $126.

N5 V4

Nov 27, 2012

Muddy Waters

Olam International Ltd. SGX:O32

Olam is an Enron-style agri trader whose aggressive non-cash accounting, off-the-rails CapEx binge, and 9.3x leverage mask a failing trading business — equity likely worthless, bonds 14-33¢.

N5 V2

Oct 01, 2012

Marcato

Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX); GenCorp (GY); Brookfield Residential Properties (BRP)

Three stocks — ALEX, GenCorp, Brookfield Residential — hide land assets on their balance sheets at decades-old cost, offering 46-286% upside once marked to market.

N3 V3

May 16, 2012

Pershing Square

J.C. Penney Company, Inc. JCP

JCP has been chronically mismanaged for 20 years; new CEO Ron Johnson (ex-Target, ex-Apple Retail) with a dream team and a mall-within-a-mall remake can take the stock from $26 to $77-$125 by 2014.

N5 V4

Nov 21, 2011

Muddy Waters

Focus Media Holding Ltd. FMCN

Focus Media is the Olympus of China: it inflates its LCD screen count by 50%, systematically overpays for acquisitions it writes off, and enriches insiders at shareholders' expense.

N5 V2

Nov 08, 2011

Pershing Square

Lowe's Companies, Inc. LOW

Lowe's is a cheap home-improvement duopolist whose 8% FCF yield funds a buyback worth ~40% of market cap — investors are paid to wait for the housing recovery.

N3 V3

Jun 02, 2011

Muddy Waters

Sino-Forest Corporation TRE

Sino-Forest is a fraud: its Authorized Intermediary structure fabricates timber revenue, its Yunnan holdings are overstated by ~$900M, and equity is worth less than $1 vs. $18.21.

N5 V2

Apr 04, 2011

Muddy Waters

Duoyuan Global Water Inc. DGW

DGW is a massive fraud overstating revenue by 100x; forged PRC audits, empty factory, and related-party tunneling to Chairman Guo imply the stock is worth under $1.

N5 V2

Mar 09, 2011

Elliott Management

Iron Mountain Incorporated IRM

Iron Mountain's 44%-margin NOAM storage cash cow is being squandered on low-ROIC Digital and Int'l bets; capital discipline plus a REIT conversion can lift the stock from $25 to $52-$77.

N4 V3

Nov 10, 2010

Muddy Waters

RINO International Corp. RINO

RINO is a near-zero: 94% of its reported revenue is fabricated, customers deny buying its FGD systems, and founders are draining cash via the VIE; fair value $2.45 vs. $15.52.

N5 V2

Oct 13, 2010

Greenlight Capital

The St. Joe Company JOE

St. Joe's Florida real estate empire is a value trap: developments are ghost towns, the airport catalyst is a bust, and the land is worth $7-10/share, not $24.54.

N5 V3

Jul 02, 2010

Muddy Waters

Orient Paper Inc. ONP

Muddy Waters stands by its ONP fraud thesis: the Baoding factory is incapable of producing reported output, and the 'rejected $300K research fee' vendetta narrative is fabricated.

N4 V1

Jun 28, 2010

Muddy Waters

Orient Paper Inc. ONP

Orient Paper is a fraud — revenues overstated 27x in 2008 and ~40x in 2009, assets inflated 10x, ~$30M of investor raises misappropriated; fair value under $1 vs. $8.43.

N5 V2

May 26, 2010

Pershing Square

General Growth Properties GGP

At $14, GGP implicitly prices spinco GGO at negative $1; PF GGP alone merits ~$15 on Simon's 6.6% peer cap rate, pointing to ~$20 combined intrinsic and ~43% upside by year-end emergence.

N5 V3

Dec 07, 2009

Pershing Square

Mall REIT sector (long General Growth Properties) GGP

Market-feared mall-REIT collapse never arrived: leverage fell, $18bn equity was raised, cap rates compressed, and tenants now generate cash — making mall REITs still cheap versus Treasuries.

N4 V3

Oct 20, 2009

Pershing Square

Corrections Corporation of America CXW

CXW is a misunderstood real estate business — 90% of EBITDA is owned prisons leased to governments; rerating to healthcare-REIT cap rates unlocks $40-$54 vs. $24.50.

N4 V3

Oct 06, 2009

Pershing Square

Realty Income Corporation O

Realty Income trades at a 7.3% cap rate — a ~40% premium to 10-11% private-market rates for the same junk-credit retail properties; downside to ~$14 (-46%).

N5 V3

May 27, 2009

Pershing Square

General Growth Properties GGWPQ

GGP filed for liquidity, not insolvency; with assets materially exceeding liabilities, a seven-year debt extension would deliver 10x–25x upside on equity trading at $1.19.

N5 V3

Oct 29, 2008

Pershing Square

Target Corporation TGT

Target's owned real estate is a $39bn hidden asset; a tax-free land-only REIT spin (TIP REIT) with a 75-year master lease unlocks ~$30/share and 74% upside.

N5 V3

May 21, 2008

Pershing Square

Wendy's International WEN

Wendy's is fundamentally a franchise + real estate business trading at a peer-gap discount; the Triarc merger and OpCo turnaround unlock 75-85% upside to $49-$52.

N5 V3

May 21, 2008

Greenlight Capital

Lehman Brothers LEH

Lehman is using fair-value accounting tricks to hide CDO losses and inflate Level 3 marks; the firm is over-levered, opaque, and needs to recapitalize before the Fed has to step in.

N5 V2

Nov 09, 2006

Pershing Square

Borders Group, Inc. BGP

Borders' high-quality Superstores franchise is obscured by money-losing Mall and International segments; rationalizing those while remodeling stores and buying back stock unlocks $36 vs. $21 today.

N4 V3

Jun 17, 2002

Greenlight Capital

Allied Capital ALD

Greenlight argues Allied Capital overstates NAV by mismarking illiquid BDC loans and funds its dividend with non-cash PIK income and fees from Enron-Raptor-style controlled subsidiaries.

N5 V1

—

Viceroy Research

Quintis Limited QIN

Quintis is a Ponzi-like Australian sandalwood MIS where bogus sales channels, CEO cash-skimming via Arwon Finance, and conflicted experts mask fraud — equity worth $0.00.

N4 V2