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Callouts & quotes from 709+ activist slides

Every emphasised callout and every pulled quote, extracted slide-by-slide. Search by keyword, filter by slide type or by source.

Showing 421–480 of 709 matching "estimate"
callout ceo quote

"At a revenue run rate of $40-50 million per year, we estimate that Patch would still lose approximately $79 million to $133 million per year."

AOL, Inc. · AOL Starboard Value · p. 41
callout sop buildup

"Valued at 8x its estimated peak earnings contribution, Valeant’s late-stage pipeline, excluding Salix, may be worth as much as ~$40 per share"

callout villain critique

"We estimate management divested approximately $24m of stock in a non-transparent manner by not filing timely Form 4 statements with the SEC."

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. · AMR Spruce Point Capital · p. 91
callout villain critique

"Therefore, Barclays is estimating $1.13 per liter of capacity addition, or 77% higher than our estimated historical cost of $0.64 per liter!"

Oatly Group AB · OTLY Spruce Point Capital · p. 42
callout ceo quote

"Excluding the volume pull-forward, we estimate reported net sales would have declined 23% to 25%, or 17% to 20% on a constant-currency basis"

Herbalife · HLF Pershing Square · p. 9
callout ceo quote

"Analysts estimate that gross margins will magically increase, yet none are aware of Axon’s significant exposure to China imports and tariffs"

Axon Enterprise (formerly TASER) · AAXN Spruce Point Capital · p. 40
callout other

"However, Wall Street analysts have historically been overly optimistic in their estimates for both Celgene’s marketed and pipeline products."

Bristol-Myers Squibb · BMY Starboard Value · p. 132
callout executive summary

"We estimate that an appropriate valuation for SE would be $41 to $48 per share (+32% to +55% upside) if it were to take the following steps"

callout ceo quote

"Bristol-Myers management projections for the Company on a standalone business are significantly better than Wall Street consensus estimates"

Bristol-Myers Squibb · BMY Starboard Value · p. 164
callout valuation reveal

"Using our base case modeling assumptions, we estimate that Freddie Mac shares could be worth ~$39 by year-end 2027 when fully recapitalized"

callout valuation reveal

"Using our base case modeling assumptions, we estimate that Freddie Mac shares could be worth ~$39 by year-end 2027 when fully recapitalized"

callout valuation reveal

"At over 18x our FY26E Adj. EBITDA estimate, Limbach trades at a valuation premium we view as completely disconnected from its fundamentals."

Limbach Holdings, Inc. · LMB Spruce Point Capital · p. 86
callout peer gap

"After de-consolidation, the TRP's observed multiple discount to ENB of 1.4x increases substantially to 4.8x based on 2015 EBITDA estimates."

callout other

"Excluding ISRG and these acquisitions, we estimate that UFPT would have grown sales by a marginal 0.4% in 2024 as shown in the table below."

UFP Technologies, Inc. · UFPT Wolfpack Research · p. 7
callout ceo quote

"Based on our research, GFL paid $84m. We estimate Bestway had $30m of sales, and GFL paid a hefty 2.8x / 10x multiple of sales and EBITDA."

GFL Environmental Inc. · GFL Spruce Point Capital · p. 85
callout peer gap

"We estimate that John Crane would trade at a premium multiple in a range of 13-14x forward EBITDA if it were separately listed in the U.S."

Smiths Group plc · SMIN Engine Capital · p. 6
callout other

"We estimate that four of 2U’s top seven programs (shown in red) enrollment trends may be experiencing flat or declining enrollment trends."

2U, Inc. · TWOU Spruce Point Capital · p. 15
callout sop buildup

"We estimate that every dollar Starbucks spends building a new store in the U.S. or China is worth $10 to $15 shortly after the store opens"

Starbucks · SBUX Pershing Square · p. 9
callout valuation reveal

"Using our base case modeling assumptions, we estimate that Fannie Mae shares could be worth ~$35 by year-end 2026 when fully recapitalized"

callout peer gap

"Why does Verint – whose sales, per our estimates, contracted in FY19 – trade at a sales multiple similar to that for which BroadSoft sold?"

Verint Systems, Inc. · VRNT Spruce Point Capital · p. 104
callout villain critique

"What happened to management's pre-deal 5-6% revenue growth estimate for Almost Family? What happened to “better, faster, stronger” growth?"

LHC Group, Inc. · LHCG Spruce Point Capital · p. 15
callout villain critique

"In our opinion, Eurofins purchased the property from a straw party for an estimated ~€4 million premium after a nine-month holding period."

Eurofins Scientific SE · ERF Muddy Waters · p. 28
callout valuation reveal

"Using our base case modeling assumptions, we estimate that Fannie Mae shares could be worth ~$35 by year-end 2026 when fully recapitalized"

callout peer gap

"We believe AOL's Display business is highly unprofitable due to its operating expenses that are estimated to exceed $1.1 billion per year."

AOL, Inc. · AOL Starboard Value · p. 22
callout villain critique

"However, despite the arguable imprecision, our rough estimate of approximately $5 billion is less than half the size of FIGS' stated TAM."

FIGS, Inc. · FIGS Spruce Point Capital · p. 35
callout sop buildup

"Spruce Point estimates that the new wellness center buildout could burn over $200M of cash over the next five years, and more thereafter."

PetIQ, Inc. · PETQ Spruce Point Capital · p. 8
callout kpi overview

"Spruce Point estimates that the new wellness center buildout could burn over $200M of cash over the next five years, and more thereafter."

PetIQ, Inc. · PETQ Spruce Point Capital · p. 64
callout peer gap

"Oasis estimates that normalizing these costs to the business size would have added 250bps of operating income to both divisions in 2023."

Kao Corporation · 4452.JP Oasis Management · p. 21
callout thesis headline

"We believe that underestimated competition could cut Penumbra’s expected sales growth by nearly half in FY20, from 20% to close to 10%."

Penumbra, Inc. · PEN Spruce Point Capital · p. 5
callout appendix disclosure

"In Pioneer’s slide deck it acknowledges that its resource estimates are not necessarily limited to economically recoverable quantities."

Pioneer Natural Resources · PXD Greenlight Capital · p. 49
callout ceo quote

"If history repeated, this would yield a fair value estimate of $217 - $314 per share which suggests 35% - 55% potential downside risk."

Erie Indemnity Company · ERIE Spruce Point Capital · p. 6
callout sop buildup

"Content is estimated to generate $20.8 billion in revenue (44% of TWX’s total revenue) and $4.3 billion in OIBDA (36% of TWX’s OIBDA)."

Time Warner Inc. · TWX Carl Icahn · p. 70
callout sop buildup

"Herbalife does not disclose the amount of Wholesale Commissions paid to distributors in its SEC filings. We have estimated them below:"

Herbalife Ltd. · HLF Pershing Square · p. 139
callout sop buildup

"We estimate that Nidec’s current share price presently implies an enterprise value of its non-HDD businesses that is 21.5x LTM EBITDA."

Nidec Corp. · 6594 JP Muddy Waters · p. 42
callout sop buildup

"Based on our estimates, SRG would be valued in the market at approximately $1.6 billion - $2.0 billion, or $13 - $17 per Darden share"

Darden Restaurants, Inc. · DRI Starboard Value · p. 233
callout sop buildup

"Based on our estimates, SRG would be valued in the market at approximately $1.6 billion - $2.0 billion, or $13 - $17 per Darden share"

Darden Restaurants, Inc. · DRI Starboard Value · p. 233
callout appendix methodology

"We estimated the asset betas of several Real Estate holding C-Corporations and several high branded intellectual property businesses."

McDonald's Corporation · MCD Pershing Square · p. 66
callout villain critique

"In the critical new home sales category, the primary driver of revenues, we estimate that BEKE overstated GTV by ~126% in 2Q-3Q 2021."

KE Holdings · BEKE Muddy Waters · p. 5
callout peer gap

"We estimate that the annual recurring cost of using the Libre is less than $1,000 to the payor, versus over $5,000 for the G-Series."

Dexcom, Inc. · DXCM Spruce Point Capital · p. 19
callout villain critique

"We find XL materially overestimates savings by exaggerating fuel costs, vehicle service life, driver wages, and annual miles driven."

XL Fleet Corp · XL Muddy Waters · p. 23
callout sop buildup

"In instances where we do not have reporting from our partners, we estimate revenue based on information available to us at the time."

Intuit Inc. · INTU Spruce Point Capital · p. 14
callout kpi overview

"We estimate that Fannie Mae can be fully recapitalized by year-end 2026, while Freddie Mac can be fully recapitalized one year later"

callout valuation reveal

"The recently released maiden resource estimate contains a total of only 191 million ounces of silver, or about 85% less than needed."

New Pacific Metals · NUAG Hindenburg Research · p. 55
callout kpi overview

"We estimate that Fannie Mae can be fully recapitalized by year-end 2026, while Freddie Mac can be fully recapitalized one year later"

callout demand list

"We estimate that the total value upside to shareholders could be as much as c.48.6% (Ltd shareholders) / c.51.0% (Plc shareholders)"

BHP Billiton · BHP Elliott Management · p. 34
callout process diagram

"Drop down Macy’s iconic stores and its mall store locations into two separate entities (estimated combined value of $16.5 billion)."

Macy's Inc. · M Starboard Value · p. 14
callout villain critique

"In the absence of this information - given the already absurd n=3 - the steady plasma estimate of poor metabolizers is meaningless."

Harmony Biosciences Holdings · HRMY Scorpion Capital · p. 145
callout appendix data

"Once again, this data suggests that the number of BPH resective procedures is much lower than the estimates advertised by Procept."

PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation · PRCT Spruce Point Capital · p. 52
callout kpi overview

"We estimate without the Beyoncé tailwind over the last few weeks, weekly traffic trends would be posting their worst weeks of 2024"

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. · BOOT Spruce Point Capital · p. 66
callout thesis headline

"Taking these issues into consideration, and discounting Mercury's multiple to the industry average, we estimate 50%-60% downside."

Mercury Systems Inc. · MRCY Spruce Point Capital · p. 5
callout appendix data

"In addition, we estimate that there are ~$3 trillion of privately owned targets in the pharmaceutical and medical device industry"

Allergan, Inc. · AGN Pershing Square · p. 95
callout other

"Warner Bros., in addition, has been consistently gaining market share over the past few years with 2005 estimated share at 15.6%."

Time Warner Inc. · TWX Carl Icahn · p. 113
callout villain critique

"The denominator used to calculate churn is actually greater than the Estimated Ending Membership in the two most recent quarters!"

eHealth Inc. · EHTH Muddy Waters · p. 8
callout villain critique

"Through an undisclosed related party transaction, we estimate Huishan Chairman Yang Kai stole at least RMB 150 million of assets."

callout villain critique

"We estimate that the occupancy rates for Vivion's Berlin properties by real, third-party commercial tenants is close to just 60%."

Vivion Investments S.à.r.l. Muddy Waters · p. 12
callout executive summary

"Based on our valuation analysis, we arrive at a fair value estimate for FCUV of $15 per share, well above current levels near $8."

Focus Universal Inc. · FCUV White Diamond Research · p. 2
callout before after

"We believe that If volumes of production are an “estimate” than Oatly’s entire reported revenue stream should also be qualified."

Oatly Group AB · OTLY Spruce Point Capital · p. 47
callout sop buildup

"Excluding the estimated $110M net tailwind to revenues that will not repeat in FY23, sell-side estimates look wildly optimistic."

Progyny, Inc. · PGNY Spruce Point Capital · p. 43
callout villain critique

"Using this data, we estimate that in the 2006-2012 period ~1.1mm Sale Leaders failed and left the business, a ~90% failure rate"

Herbalife Ltd. · HLF Pershing Square · p. 320