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TCI Fund Aug 31, 2021

Canadian National Railway CNI

CN, once the best-run Class I railroad, is now the worst under CEO Ruest; abandon the KCS deal and install Jim Vena to restore operational excellence.

Starboard Value Aug 16, 2021

Box, Inc. BOX

Box has chronically lagged peers and entrenched itself via an unnecessary $500M KKR preferred financing; electing Starboard's minority slate restores stockholder accountability and unlocks long-term value.

Starboard Value Aug 06, 2021

Box, Inc. BOX

Box is a best-of-breed cloud content platform that has missed every revenue target since IPO; a reconstituted board can fix go-to-market execution and close a massive valuation gap to peers.

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Spruce Point Capital Aug 05, 2021

Genius Sports Limited GENI

Genius Sports is a low-moat data middleman overpaying for league rights and inflating growth via barter revenue; 55m shares of overhang unlock imminently — 60-80% downside to $3.25-$6.50.

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Wolfpack Research Jul 27, 2021

Moxian, Inc. MOXC

MOXC is a Nevada shell whose Chinese 'operating' subsidiaries lack valid licenses, working phones, and a real GM, while related-party debt swaps fueled a 2,400% stock pump.

Spruce Point Capital Jul 14, 2021

Oatly Group AB OTLY

Oatly is an over-hyped oat-milk fad with accounting overstatements, hidden management scandals and a $12bn valuation pricing in 57% market share — 30-70% downside.

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Muddy Waters May 24, 2021

Solutions 30 S30

EY's refusal to sign Solutions 30's 2020 audit — after S30 blocked access to information on suspect transactions — confirms Muddy Waters' two-year-old fraud and money-laundering thesis.

Muddy Waters May 13, 2021

Lemonade, Inc. LMND

Muddy Waters is short Lemonade after discovering a critical session-fixation flaw that exposed customer PII to Google's index — a negligence that shatters Lemonade's 'trustworthy' digital-native brand.

Greenlight Capital May 12, 2021

Teck Resources TECK

Teck is the overlooked pick-axes play on the EV/green-electrification copper boom — QB2 doubles its copper mix and at forward-curve copper the stock is worth ~C$59, nearly double.

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Land & Buildings May 01, 2021

Hilton Grand Vacations HGV

HGV is overpaying 10x EBITDA for Diamond and handing Apollo effective control with no premium; standalone HGV is worth $55 — shareholders should vote AGAINST.

Spruce Point Capital Apr 22, 2021

Danimer Scientific, Inc. DNMR

Danimer is an over-hyped SPAC bioplastics story whose governance-tainted management, irreconcilable facility claims, failed-PHA precedent, and 138x EBITDA valuation imply 65-100% downside to ~$8.75/share.

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Scorpion Capital Apr 15, 2021

QuantumScape QS

QuantumScape is a $15B SPAC whose solid-state battery breakthrough is a Theranos-grade mirage; 15 experts say the science is not there and the April 24 lockup expiry will trigger an insider dump.

Spruce Point Capital Apr 08, 2021

Porch Group Inc PRCH

Porch is 'Active Network 2.0' run by the same CEO — a money-losing lead-gen business dressed as SaaS, with barter accounting and hidden debt implying 50%-70% downside to $5-$8.

Spruce Point Capital Mar 10, 2021

American Battery Metals Corporation / Comstock Mining Inc. ABML / LODE

ABML and LODE are hype-driven EV battery-recycling penny stocks with fraud-tied management, fabricated permit claims, and a nonsensical LiNiCo deal — up to 90% downside.

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Wolfpack Research Mar 08, 2021

Skillz, Inc. SKLZ

Skillz's SPAC-era growth story is collapsing — its top three games (88% of revenue) are in freefall while management touts fake NFL and Buck Hunter 'partnerships' to mask the miss.

Muddy Waters Mar 03, 2021

XL Fleet Corp XL

XL Fleet is SPAC trash: salespeople were paid to fabricate pipeline, most touted customers are inactive, ROI is actually negative, and the stock is worth a fraction of its billion-dollar SPAC valuation.

Wolfpack Research Feb 16, 2021

EHang Holdings, Ltd. EH

EHang is an elaborate stock promotion built on sham sales contracts with a pre-IPO investor masquerading as its main customer, with hobby-grade hardware and a court-frozen China entity that could leave ADRs worthless.

Spruce Point Capital Feb 16, 2021

Leidos Holdings, Inc. LDOS

Leidos is concealing defective explosive-detection products from its impaired $1bn L3Harris SD&A deal while inflating cash flow 67-78%; sell with 35-60% downside to $43-$70.

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Ancora Feb 16, 2021

Forward Air Corporation FWRD

Forward Air's acquisition-led growth strategy has decimated its core LTL margins; Ancora's nominees will restore operating discipline and unlock ~50% upside to $130-$135/share.

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Scorpion Capital Jan 07, 2021

Nevro Corp. NVRO

Nevro is a failed one-trick pony at 15x sales: the pivotal SENZA trial was rigged, HF10 is a phony premise, explant rates run 22-33%, and kickbacks prop up what remains of sales.

Spruce Point Capital Jan 07, 2021

Magnite, Inc. MGNI

Magnite is a hype-fueled ad-tech merger masking Telaria's deteriorating CTV business with dubious management and suspect accounting; 25%-50% downside to $14.75-$20.

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White Diamond Research Dec 01, 2020

GreenPower Motor Company GP

GreenPower markets itself as an American EV bus manufacturer but is merely reselling re-logoed Chinese Weichai Eurise buses — not Buy America compliant and worth ~$1.50, implying 90% downside.

Muddy Waters Nov 18, 2020

Joyy Inc. YY

JOYY is a multibillion-dollar fraud: ~90% of YY Live and ~80% of Bigo revenue is fabricated via bots and gift roundtripping, and Baidu's pending $3.6bn acquisition is buying air.

Muddy Waters Nov 11, 2020

MultiPlan Corp MPLN

MultiPlan is a financially-engineered SPAC corpse losing its biggest customer UHC to UHC's own competitor Naviguard; expect 35% revenue loss and 8x+ leverage by 2022.

Spruce Point Capital Nov 10, 2020

Avery Dennison Corporation AVY

Avery Dennison masks structural decline with restructuring add-backs and inflated Adjusted EBITDA/FCF; normalized for accounting manipulation, AVY is worth $68-99/share — 35-55% downside.

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Spruce Point Capital Sep 29, 2020

Sunnova Energy International Inc. NOVA

Sunnova is a misbranded 'solar' company that is actually an unprofitable specialty finance business with Enron-alum management and aggressive non-GAAP metrics — fair value $5-$8 vs. $27 today (70-80% downside).

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Muddy Waters Sep 22, 2020

Nano-X Imaging Ltd. NNOX

Nanox's $1.3B medical-imaging story is a stock promotion: the ARC device appears to be a prop, distribution partnerships are shams, and a convicted felon engineered the IPO.

Kerrisdale Capital Sep 01, 2020

AtriCure, Inc. ATRC

AtriCure's 7.5x revenue valuation assumes stand-alone Convergent succeeds, but electrophysiologists won't refer, and PFA plus real-time mapping will obsolete surgical ablation.

Spruce Point Capital Aug 18, 2020

GFL Environmental Inc. GFL

Spruce Point argues GFL Environmental is a 'terminal zero': a Canadian waste roll-up mimicking the Philip Services fraud playbook, with understated debt, CEO ties to organized crime, and 100% downside.

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Elliott Management Jul 06, 2020

Crown Castle International CCI

Crown Castle's $16bn fiber bet earns just 3% ROI; imposing a 40% capex-ROI target, ROIC-linked pay, and a Board refresh unlocks a 46% dividend hike to $7.00.

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Spruce Point Capital Jun 30, 2020

Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc. PBH

Spruce Point is short Prestige Brands: a decaying OTC roll-up with no organic growth, CFO déjà-vu from Boulder Brands' collapse, and 40-60% downside to $14.80-$22.50.

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Muddy Waters Jun 02, 2020

eHealth, Inc. EHTH

EHTH books Medicare Advantage revenue today that takes nine to twenty years to collect, masking a cash-incinerating, high-churn business reminiscent of Enron-style accounting.

Muddy Waters May 28, 2020

GSX Techedu GSX

GSX's rebuttals to our fraud report are evasive techno-drivel; meanwhile GSX openly recruits engineers to run cell-phone bot farms, confirming it is a nearly empty box.

Muddy Waters May 18, 2020

GSX Techedu Inc. GSX

GSX Techedu is a near-total fraud: at least 73% — likely 80%+ — of paid K-12 users are bots, and Chairman Chen's $319M pledged stock heightens crash risk.

Spruce Point Capital May 13, 2020

Forescout Technologies FSCT

Advent overpaid $33/share for Forescout — management buried weaker forecasts and Q1 sales fell 24%; renegotiating 35-50% lower or paying the $112M break fee both beat closing.

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Muddy Waters May 12, 2020

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's 2019 financials rely on reclassifications and definition changes to mask an -11.8% drop in cash receipts, -35.5% drop in deployments, and $20.6m of unexplained fair-value gains.

Elliott Management May 12, 2020

Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ALXN

Alexion's stand-alone strategy has failed — serial M&A missteps and a deep valuation discount mean the Board must pursue a sale now to unlock 40-50% upside for shareholders.

Starboard Value May 11, 2020

GCP Applied Technologies GCP

Starboard rebuts GCP: stock has lagged peers on every milestone since the 2016 spin-off, and Starboard's superior director slate can finally drive the turnaround management hasn't delivered.

Starboard Value Apr 30, 2020

GCP Applied Technologies GCP

Four years post-spinoff, GCP has lagged peers on growth, margins, and stock price under an insular, interconnected Board; replace nine directors and unlock ~600 bps of EBIT margin expansion.

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Grizzly Research Apr 29, 2020

58.com Inc. WUBA

WUBA's sudden $55 go-private offer from underfunded Ocean Link — announced the day after Luckin's fraud burst — is a sham price-support PR maneuver masking accounting fraud and COVID collapse.

Wolfpack Research Apr 22, 2020

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. INSP

Inspire's surgical sleep-apnea implant is too invasive to ever scale — VA sales prove patients refuse it for free, while insiders have dumped $340M cashing out a fictional $10bn TAM story.

Hindenburg Research Apr 20, 2020

New Pacific Metals NUAG

Bolivia-focused silver developer New Pacific trades 17x peers on concessions likely acquired illegally under a now-ousted regime; Hindenburg targets C$0.37, 90%+ downside.

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Citron Research Apr 14, 2020

GSX Techedu GSX

Citron argues GSX Techedu is a near-total fraud — the vast majority of claimed K-12 students are bots, revenues are fabricated, and the stock is a zero.

Grizzly Research Apr 09, 2020

Innovative Industrial Properties IIPR

Property-by-property forensic appendix shows IIPR overpaid for cannabis-grow real estate while tenants sit on empty or unbuilt sites, implying inflated rents and looming defaults.

Spruce Point Capital Apr 09, 2020

Align Technology, Inc. ALGN

Align's Invisalign moat is eroding as FDA-approved third-party 3D-printing labs and 3M Clarity undercut prices by 50-65%, driving 40-55% downside to $80-$115.

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Muddy Waters Apr 08, 2020

eHealth Inc. EHTH

eHealth books three years of Medicare Advantage commissions upfront while true churn has spiked to 47%; corrected, every MA enrollee loses $135-$402 — a cash-incinerating stock promotion.

Wolfpack Research Apr 07, 2020

iQIYI, Inc. IQ

Wolfpack alleges iQIYI has been committing accounting fraud since before its 2018 IPO — inflating revenue 27-44% and DAUs 42-60% via dual memberships, sham acquisitions, and barter deals.

Spruce Point Capital Apr 02, 2020

WD-40 Company WDFC

WD-40 is a promotional, no-moat lubricant company hiding a balance-sheet hole and bloated inventory behind a 28x EBITDA multiple — Spruce Point sees 55-60% downside to $75-$85.

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Spruce Point Capital Mar 10, 2020

Amcor plc AMCR

Amcor is a packaging roll-up masking 3-4% organic declines, obscured tobacco dependence, liquidity strain, and accounting red flags — including a CAO with a revoked CPA — with 40-60% downside to $3.60-$5.40.

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Grizzly Research Feb 25, 2020

GSX Techedu Inc. GSX

GSX Techedu's too-good-to-be-true 70%+ margins and triple-digit growth are propped up by inflated profits, brushed student enrollments, alter-ego related parties, and suspected CAPEX fraud — it is a fraud worth zero.

Muddy Waters Feb 10, 2020

Burford Capital BUR

Burford's dismal H2 2019 — 85% YoY collapse in realized gains, Petersen sold to its own fund, vanishing cash, and a lost Perry Ellis ruling — validates Muddy Waters' short thesis on aggressive marks and a flawed model.

Spruce Point Capital Feb 06, 2020

Dropbox, Inc. DBX

Dropbox is a decelerating, commoditized storage business whose reported FCF is overstated ~2x; fair value is $6.60-$13, implying 25-60% downside from $17.60.

Starboard Value Feb 04, 2020

eBay Inc. EBAY

eBay is deeply undervalued; separating Classifieds at peer-level ~22x EBITDA multiples and enforcing a more aggressive Marketplace cost and revenue plan would unlock substantial upside versus today's 8.1x multiple.

Grizzly Research Feb 01, 2020

58.com Inc. WUBA

58.com is an accounting house of cards: inflated SEC revenues, a $2.6bn Ganji goodwill that collapsed 95% post-acquisition, and serial insider spin-offs enriching the CEO and former co-chairman.

Wolfpack Research Jan 17, 2020

Qutoutiao, Inc. QTT

QTT's rebuttal is non-responsive: revenue, cash, interest income, customer advances, and related-party transactions still don't reconcile between its SEC filings and Chinese filings — the fraud case stands.

Spruce Point Capital Jan 15, 2020

LHC Group, Inc. LHCG

LHCG's 20.6x EBITDA multiple rests on phantom organic growth — excluding the failing Almost Family acquisition inflates growth ~500 bps, masking sub-2% reality and 35-65% downside to $60-$90.

Spruce Point Capital Dec 19, 2019

Plug Power Inc. PLUG

Plug Power's $1.5B valuation rests on a fake 'inflection to profitability' manufactured by ASC 842 lease accounting; strip the add-backs, face 80% dilution, and the stock trends to $0.

Muddy Waters Dec 17, 2019

NMC Health plc NMC.LN

NMC Health's UAE hospital empire is built on inflated capex, overstated cash, hidden reverse factoring and related-party self-dealing — Muddy Waters is short and sees deep, possibly fraudulent rot.

Wolfpack Research Dec 10, 2019

Qutoutiao, Inc. QTT

Qutoutiao is a low-tech China Hustle: ~74% of revenue is fabricated through fake accruals via in-house ad-agent Dianguan, and CEO Eric Tan funnels ad traffic to his own undisclosed related parties.

Citron Research Dec 10, 2019

Peloton Interactive PTON

Peloton trades at 2,286% above peers on EV per subscriber; once a cannibalizing app, undifferentiated hardware, and a March lockup wave hit, the stock collapses to $5.