Contrarian Corpus

40 documents showing 1–40

Citron Research 2026-03-01

Credit Acceptance Corporation CACC

Citron reverses course on CACC: with CFPB/NYAG overhang resolved Feb 13 2026, 61% of float retired, and an Amazon-bred CEO, fair value is $714 (16x 2026E EPS of $44.62).

N4 V3 C3
Citron Research 2020-04-14

GSX Techedu GSX

Citron argues GSX Techedu is a near-total fraud — the vast majority of claimed K-12 students are bots, revenues are fabricated, and the stock is a zero.

N4 V2 C2
Citron Research 2019-06-01

FleetCor Technologies FLT

FleetCor's Clean Advantage carbon-offset program is a $100M+ green fraud — 97% of fees stay with FLT, demanding CEO Clarke's resignation and implying ~57% downside.

N4 V3 C3
Marcato 2017-11-01

Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK

Deckers' board missed every margin target and wasted $600m on retail bloat and Sanuk; replacing them enables UGG focus, non-core divestitures and a doubling to $135-158.

N4 V3 C3
Greenlight Capital 2017-05-08

Core Laboratories CLB

Core Lab trades at 35x 2018e P/E — double its oilfield-service peers — on a false secular-growth narrative; mid-cycle earnings imply $62 fair value and ~45% downside.

N5 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2016-11-01

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

Marathon is priced like a merchant refiner despite a 69% stable-earnings mix; dropping assets to MPLX and spinning Speedway, RefiningCo, and MidstreamCo unlocks $14-19bn (~60-80%+ upside).

N4 V4 C4
Engaged Capital 2015-04-22

Rovi Corporation ROVI

Rovi's entrenched board destroyed a decade of shareholder value while promising 'double-digit growth next year' every year; Engaged's nominees Lockwood and Rau bring operating credibility the incumbents lack.

N4 V3 C3
Trian Partners 2015-04-22

E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company DD

DuPont is a chronically underperforming conglomerate; electing Trian's four nominees forces structural review, cost cuts, and governance reform to unlock $120+/share by 2017 — a 21% IRR.

N5 V4 C4
Trian Partners 2015-04-21

E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company DD

DuPont is bottom-quartile under Ellen Kullman; electing Trian's four nominees unlocks $120/share by 2017 by cutting $2-4bn of excess corporate costs and ending 'crony' compensation.

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Trian Partners 2015-04-21

E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company (DuPont) DD

DuPont is a chronically underperforming conglomerate bloated with $2-4bn of excess costs; putting Trian on the board unlocks a $120+/share, 21% IRR path by 2017.

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Trian Partners 2015-04-17

E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company (DuPont) DD

DuPont is a chronic underperformer under CEO Kullman; electing Nelson Peltz and three nominees unlocks $2-4bn of excess costs and drives DuPont stock to $120 by 2017 (21% IRR).

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Trian Partners 2015-04-13

E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company DD

DuPont is a bloated conglomerate hiding $2-4bn of excess corporate costs and crony compensation; Trian's board nominees can unlock $120/share by 2017 — a 21% IRR.

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Pershing Square 2015-01-29

Multiple (Pershing Square portfolio - annual update)

2014 net returns of 40.4% vs S&P 500's 13.7%, driven by Allergan (+19.1%), CP (+7.0%), and Herbalife short (+6.1%)

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Muddy Waters 2014-06-04

NQ Mobile NQ

NQ's own investigation committee confirmed widespread data tampering — the same pattern that preceded Sino-Forest's collapse — so Muddy Waters maintains its fraud rating.

N3 V2 C1
Oasis Management 2014-02-26

Nintendo Co., Ltd. 7974.T

Nintendo should port Mario, Zelda and Donkey Kong to iOS/Android and buy a free-to-play studio — the casual gamer has moved to mobile, where $100bn of attention value awaits.

N3 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2013-11-06

NQ Mobile NQ

NQ Mobile's largest purported revenue source, Yidatong, is a controlled shell whose offices, tax filings, and carrier records all contradict NQ's story — we maintain a <$1 target.

N4 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2013-05-13

DSP Group, Inc. DSPG

DSP has burned $557M on failed new products while its profitable cordless-telephony core erodes; new independent directors can right-size costs and unlock SiTel-level margins.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2013-01-24

Focus Media Holding Ltd. FMCN

New BVI registry evidence proves FMCN lied about its mobile-phone VIE acquisitions, reinforcing the long-running fraud thesis just as Carlyle's LBO consortium prepares to overpay.

N4 V1 C1
JANA Partners 2013-01-01

Agrium Inc. AGU

Agrium's board has no retail-distribution expertise to manage a business that's half its value; JANA's 5 nominees can unlock cost, capital and conglomerate-discount value worth hundreds of millions.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2012-11-30

Olam International OLAM

Olam's 45-page rebuttal ducks Muddy Waters' real points; we'll pay S&P to rate Olam's debt and prove the market underprices its accounting and acquisition risk.

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2012-05-23

AOL, Inc. AOL

AOL's board lets management burn Access/Search cash on a Display strategy losing $500M+ a year; elect three Starboard nominees to enforce discipline and restructure or exit Patch.

N4 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2012-05-16

J.C. Penney Company, Inc. JCP

Ron Johnson (Target, Apple Retail) can repeat his retail magic at chronically mismanaged JCP

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Muddy Waters 2012-02-09

Focus Media Holding FMCN

FMCN's 'independent' verification of its 185,174 LCD network counted 30,500 cardboard posters as LCDs, confirming Muddy Waters' fraud thesis and impugning all reported financials.

N5 V2 C2
Pershing Square 2012-02-06

Canadian Pacific Railway CP

CP has the worst operating ratio of any Class I railroad while closest peer CN has the best

N5 V4 C5
Muddy Waters 2012-01-06

Focus Media Holding FMCN

FMCN's bizarre acquisition of a tiny border-town ginseng plantation from its own employee is fresh evidence the 'Olympus of China' is using fake M&A to launder fake cash off its books.

N4 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2011-12-09

Focus Media Holding FMCN

FMCN's promise to have 'reputable' Chinese firms verify its LCD network is worthless — CTR, the firm most likely to be hired, previously rubber-stamped CCME's fabricated bus network.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2011-11-29

Focus Media Holding FMCN

FMCN's rebuttal concedes Muddy Waters' core claims — inflated LCD network, 1,758% theater market share, phantom VIE acquisitions, and brazen insider self-dealing make the shares un-investable.

N4 V2 C2
Pershing Square 2011-11-08

Lowe's Companies, Inc. LOW

LOW trades at 13.3x depressed EPS with ~8% FCF yield — cheap

N3 V3 C2
Pershing Square 2011-10-18

Fortune Brands Home & Security FBHS

Orphaned post-spin-off stock — recovery optionality mispriced at $13

N4 V3 C3
Greenlight Capital 2011-10-17

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters GMCR

GMCR's $9 EPS bull case ignores a smaller TAM, falling K-cup attachment rates, a September 2012 patent cliff, and accounting shenanigans at fulfillment agent MBlock — realistic EPS is ~$3.50.

N5 V2 C2
Trian Partners 2011-10-16

State Street Corporation STT

State Street subsidized growth at the expense of profitability; committing to 35% EBT margins, capital return, and a possible SSgA spin can lift shares from $34 to ~$99 by 2014.

N4 V3 C3
Third Point 2011-09-14

Yahoo! Inc. YHOO

Yahoo's Asian assets and cash alone cover its $14 price; with a new board and unlocked 40% Alibaba stake, intrinsic value is $20-32 per share — 40-122% upside.

N4 V3 C3
JANA Partners 2011-08-22

The McGraw-Hill Companies MHP

McGraw-Hill's conglomerate structure masks four independently attractive assets; separating MH Education, Information & Media and the S&P Index business plus an accelerated buyback unlocks ~60% upside to ~$65.

N4 V3 C2
Muddy Waters 2011-06-20

Sino-Forest Corporation TRE

Sino-Forest claims Huaihua Yuda is unrelated, but Muddy Waters shows Sonic Jita was once owned by TRE executives and still shares a key executive — undisclosed related-party transactions contradicting CEO Allen Chan's guarantees.

N4 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2011-06-13

Sino-Forest Corporation TRE

TRE management's evasive Q1 call answers — unfinished E&Y review, undisclosed related parties, an unnecessary AI model, and dropped analyst questions — reinforce Muddy Waters' fraud thesis on Sino-Forest.

N3 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2011-04-04

Duoyuan Global Water Inc. DGW

DGW is a massive fraud overstating revenue by 100x; forged PRC audits, empty factory, and related-party tunneling to Chairman Guo imply the stock is worth under $1.

N5 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2011-03-09

Iron Mountain Incorporated IRM

IRM's core storage is a compelling REIT — conversion unlocks ~$10.58/share in tax savings plus cap rate re-rating

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2011-03-02

China MediaExpress Holdings CCME

CCME is a fraud: a recorded salesperson admits doubling the bus count for SEC filings, and Chairman Cheng's rebuttal cited fabricated license plates — fair value $3.54 vs $12.27.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2011-02-03

China MediaExpress Holdings CCME

CCME is a pump-and-dump: reported revenue is overstated ~5x, its bus network is half the claimed size, and management is cashing out — fair value $5.28 vs $16.61.

N4 V2 C2
Pershing Square 2006-11-09

Borders Group, Inc. BGP

Book superstore industry is misunderstood — Amazon risk is exaggerated and superstores have gained share

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