Contrarian Corpus

358 documents showing 1–60

Land & Buildings 2026-04-01

Welltower Inc. WELL

Welltower's 10-year executive program could pay CEO Mitra up to $3 billion while incentivizing dilutive growth at a 144% NAV premium — shareholders should sell WELL and rotate into Ventas or AHR.

N5 V4 C4
Muddy Waters 2026-03-17

SoFi Technologies, Inc. SOFI

SoFi's $1,054M reported 2025 EBITDA is ~90% inflated via manipulated charge-off rates, off-balance-sheet VIEs and subsidized seller-financed sales that feed CEO Noto's comp — real EBITDA is ~$103M.

N5 V3 C3
Citron Research 2026-03-01

Credit Acceptance Corporation CACC

Citron reverses course on CACC: with CFPB/NYAG overhang resolved Feb 13 2026, 61% of float retired, and an Amazon-bred CEO, fair value is $714 (16x 2026E EPS of $44.62).

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2026-02-18

Riot Platforms, Inc. RIOT

Riot's 1.7GW of powered Texas sites could generate $1.6bn of AI/HPC EBITDA and drive shares to $23-$53 if management urgently signs more hyperscaler deals like the AMD proof-of-concept.

N3 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2026-01-27

Toyota Industries Corporation 6201.T

Toyota Real Estate's ¥18,800 TOB undervalues Toyota Industries by 39% versus NAV and 85% on core business; shareholders should refuse to tender and pursue a standalone plan instead.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2026-01-27

Toyota Industries Corporation 6201

Toyota Industries' ¥18,800 take-private undervalues the company by 39%; shareholders should reject the tender and pursue a Standalone Plan worth >¥40,000 per share.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2026-01-18

Toyota Industries Corporation 6201

Toyota Industries' ¥18,800 take-private undervalues NAV ¥26,134 by 40%; rejecting the TOB and executing Elliott's Standalone Plan unlocks >¥40,000 per share by 2028.

N4 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2026-01-18

Toyota Industries Corporation 6201

Toyota Fudosan's ¥18,800 squeeze-out of Toyota Industries undervalues NAV by ~40%; reject the TOB and back Elliott's Standalone Plan targeting >¥40,000 per share by 2028.

N5 V4 C4
Engine Capital 2025-12-01

UniFirst Corporation UNF

Engine urges UniFirst's independent directors to form a special committee and force a sale — the Croatti family's rejection of four Cintas bids has already cost shareholders ~$1.3B.

N4 V2 C2
Engine Capital 2025-11-25

UniFirst Corporation UNF

UniFirst is stagnating under Croatti trustee stewardship that rejected a premium Cintas bid; Engine demands a sale, board refresh, and fair proxy process to unlock value.

N4 V1 C1
Starboard Value 2025-10-17

Multiple (BILL Holdings, Tripadvisor, Fluor Corporation)

Three contrarian longs at undemanding multiples: BILL needs Rule of 40 discipline, Tripadvisor should break up TheFork and fix Viator, and Fluor must separate its $4bn NuScale stake.

N4 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2025-10-01

Tripadvisor, Inc. TRIP

Tripadvisor trades at 6.5x EBITDA, half its peers, because investors still view it as a controlled legacy Tripadvisor.com — sell TheFork, fix Viator margins, revitalize the brand, or take the $18-19/share bid.

N4 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-09-02

PepsiCo Inc. PEP

PepsiCo is a dislocated CPG bellwether; refranchising PBNA bottling, rightsizing PFNA costs and enforcing accountability can rerate the stock for 50%+ upside.

N4 V2 C1
Kerrisdale Capital 2025-09-01

CoreWeave, Inc. CRWV

CoreWeave is a debt-fueled, undifferentiated GPU rental stopgap with 71% Microsoft concentration and sub-WACC returns; fair value is $6–13, or 88–95% downside.

N4 V3 C3
Engine Capital 2025-08-11

Avantor, Inc. AVTR

Avantor's board has presided over five years of self-inflicted operational and capital-allocation failures; a refreshed board, cost discipline, buybacks and portfolio optimization can deliver 97-134% upside by 2027.

N4 V3 C3
Kerrisdale Capital 2025-08-01

Aurora Innovation, Inc. AUR

Aurora's autonomous trucking vision is a dead end: tech can only enable hub-and-spoke freight, drayage kills the economics, and the real TAM is smaller than the company's $13bn market cap.

N4 V3 C2
Elliott Management 2025-05-20

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 is an underperforming energy conglomerate; vote Elliott's GOLD card for four independent directors to streamline operations and unlock long-term shareholder value.

N2 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2025-05-19

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 shareholders should vote the GOLD card for Elliott's four board nominees by May 21 to replace the failing status quo and unlock 75%+ stock upside.

N2 V3 C3
Ancora 2025-05-16

Forward Air Corporation FWRD

Ancora urges FWRD shareholders to vote AGAINST Chair Mayes, Polit, and Tucker — the directors behind the disastrous 2023 Omni acquisition that destroyed ~80% of equity value — to force an expedited sale.

N4 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-05-16

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 has trailed Valero and Marathon by 138-188% over a decade while paying its CEOs $140M; Elliott's four nominees will simplify the conglomerate and unlock 75%+ upside.

N4 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-05-15

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's conglomerate structure masks value; electing Elliott's four nominees to execute the Streamline 66 plan and fix governance lifts shares from $103 to $180+ (75% upside).

N4 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-05-13

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 is underperforming under a board that obfuscates results; elect Elliott's four nominees on the GOLD card to replicate the Marathon playbook and unlock value.

N2 V3 C3
Carl Icahn 2025-05-12

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's refining-plus-midstream conglomerate trades at a 6.1x discount to an 8.1x SOTP; breaking it up and replacing complacent directors unlocks ~75% upside to $183.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-05-09

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 is deeply undervalued under a conflicted, overpaid leadership team; electing Elliott's four directors and adopting the Streamline 66 portfolio-simplification plan could unlock 75%+ upside.

N4 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-05-08

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 has underperformed Marathon and Valero for years while CEO Mark Lashier collected $79M; elect four Elliott nominees to break up the conglomerate and restore accountability.

N4 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-05-07

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 shares jumped 11% on Elliott's Streamline 66 plan and sank when the board defended its conglomerate; vote for change to unlock value.

N3 V4 C4
Carl Icahn 2025-05-06

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 has underperformed Marathon by 511% under a complacent board; electing Elliott's four nominees and spinning Midstream/CPChem/JET unlocks ~75% upside ($103 → $183).

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-05-06

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 is a conglomerate trading at a refiner multiple; replace four directors, spin Midstream/CPChem/JET, and buy back 80% of shares for ~75% upside to $183.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-05-01

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 has squandered value through a failed midstream pivot and a captured board; electing Elliott's four nominees and separating midstream unlocks ~$40B+ of trapped value.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-05-01

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's dilutive midstream pivot has destroyed TSR versus refining peers; a midstream spin and refreshed governance — as at Marathon and Suncor — can unlock the buried value.

N4 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-04-30

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's conglomerate structure traps midstream value and operational performance; replace four directors and separate midstream to close the gap with MPC and VLO peers.

N2 V3 C3
Carl Icahn 2025-04-28

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's conglomerate structure and failed governance have cost shareholders 97% vs. peers; spinning Midstream and reconstituting the board targets $183/share — +75% upside.

N5 V5 C5
Elliott Management 2025-04-28

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's conglomerate discount and lagging refining execution have cost shareholders 450% vs peers; spinning midstream, divesting CPChem, and refreshing the board unlock ~75% upside to $183.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-04-28

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's conglomerate structure has trapped value and lagged peers by 97% over 5 years; spinning midstream, fixing refining and refreshing the board unlocks ~75% upside to $183/share.

N5 V4 C4
Palliser Capital 2025-04-23

Keisei Electric Railway 9009

Keisei trades at a 39% discount because its US$5bn OLC stake masks chronic underperformance; capping it below 15% plus a refreshed 11-member board unlocks US$3bn.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-04-18

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's conglomerate structure suppresses refining performance; spinning midstream and electing Elliott's four nominees replicates Marathon's ~150% outperformance playbook and restores PSX to industry leadership.

N3 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-04-15

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's three-business conglomerate is the root cause of peer underperformance; electing Elliott's four nominees and fully separating midstream from refining unlocks substantial value.

N4 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2025-04-10

Phillips 66 PSX

Elliott's Streamline 66 proxy fight argues Phillips 66 refining is underperforming its potential and that replacing directors with operators like Brian Coffman will unlock value.

N2 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2025-04-08

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's world-class refining assets are underperforming Valero and Marathon because leadership has lost operating focus; Elliott's GOLD-card nominees can restore peer-leading excellence.

N3 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2025-04-03

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's inefficient conglomerate structure hides $40B+ midstream value; spinning it off, refocusing on refining, and refreshing the Board could lift shares from ~$120 to $200+.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-04-02

Phillips 66 PSX

Elliott's $2.5B Phillips 66 stake argues that unlocking midstream value, returning capital and upgrading the board can drive PSX from $120 to $200+, a 65% upside.

N3 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-03-27

Phillips 66 PSX

PSX has underperformed peers for a decade and the CEO is talking down the stock

N4 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-03-25

Phillips 66 PSX

Streamline 66 plan could boost Phillips 66 stock 65%+ (from $120 to $200)

N3 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-03-24

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66 trades at $120 vs. Elliott's $200 Streamline 66 target — 65% upside

N4 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2025-03-19

Autodesk, Inc. ADSK

Autodesk has best-in-class 93% gross margins but bloated opex; disciplined cost cuts plus 55% incremental margins can lift adjusted operating margins to ~45% by FY2028.

N4 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2025-03-06

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's refining kit rivals Valero's, but weak commercial execution and bloated corporate leave a multi-dollar EBITDA-per-barrel gap that Streamline66 — portfolio fixes and a refreshed board — closes.

N4 V4 C4
Oasis Management 2025-02-26

Kao Corporation 4452.JP

Kao is Japan's underperforming FMCG giant; adding five expert directors with FMCG, cosmetics and digital expertise plus performance-aligned pay can close the peer gap and revive growth.

N5 V4 C4
Oasis Management 2025-02-26

Kao Corporation 4452 JT

Kao's world-class beauty brands are squandered by an insular Japanese board; adding five global FMCG outside directors and performance-linked pay can close the gap to L'Oreal and Beiersdorf.

N4 V2 C1
Ancora 2025-02-19

United States Steel Corporation X

U.S. Steel has lagged peers by 227 points under Burritt; with the Nippon deal dead, Ancora's slate would install Stelco-turnaround CEO Kestenbaum to fix the company as a standalone public co.

N4 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2025-02-18

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. HHH

HHH stuck at ~40% NAV discount with no take-private bidder after 284 investors approached

N4 V3 C2
Elliott Management 2025-02-11

Phillips 66 PSX

Phillips 66's conglomerate hides world-class midstream worth $40bn+; spinning midstream, closing the $3.75/bbl refining gap to Valero, and refreshing the board can lift PSX from $120 to $200+.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-02-11

Phillips 66 PSX

Conglomerate structure hides a Midstream worth >$40bn standalone; market gives refining ~$1bn of credit

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2025-02-11

Phillips 66 PSX

Inefficient conglomerate structure trades like a refiner despite ~40% of EBITDA from midstream

N5 V4 C4
Engine Capital 2025-01-17

Smiths Group plc SMIN

Smiths' four-segment conglomerate structure masks a ~50-60% SOTP discount; the Board should launch a strategic review to sell the company or spin John Crane into a U.S. listing.

N4 V2 C2
Pershing Square 2025-01-16

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac FNMA / FMCC

Treasury's warrants and residual stake could generate ~$300bn for taxpayers over time

N5 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2025-01-16

Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac (GSEs) FNMA / FMCC

Releasing GSEs from conservatorship could generate ~$300bn for taxpayers via Treasury warrants

N5 V4 C3
Pershing Square 2025-01-13

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. HHH

14-year total return of only 35% (2.2% CAGR) shows market refuses to recognize HHH's value

N4 V2 C2
Kerrisdale Capital 2025-01-09

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. RCAT

Red Cat's $1bn valuation rests on inflating a $23M/year Army drone contract into a $350M sole-source bonanza, with a factory that can't scale and insiders heading for the exits.

N4 V2 C2
Trian Partners 2025-01-08

Solventum Corporation SOLV

Solventum's post-spin performance collapse is nearly worst-in-class; restoring 3M-era 3-4% growth and 26% margins plus simplifying the portfolio can double shares to $140 by 2027.

N4 V3 C3
Ancora 2024-12-10

Amcor plc (pro forma Amcor-Berry Global combination) AMCR

The Amcor-Berry merger creates a $36B packaging leader; executing $650M of conservatively-estimated synergies and a re-rate from 8x to 11x EBITDA delivers ~$16/share, a 50-70% upside.

N3 V3 C3