554 documents showing 481–540
Health Management Associates HMA
HMA's incumbent board destroyed 25% of independent value before rushing a sale to Community Health Systems; Glenview's Fresh Alternative board protects the deal and recovers upside.
N4
V2
C2
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Health Management Associates HMA
HMA's insular 17-year-tenure board drove a Lost Decade of <1% TSR; replace all directors with Glenview's blue-chip slate to fix governance, compensation, and capital allocation.
N5
V3
C3
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Spectra Energy Corp SE
Spectra Energy's conglomerate structure masks a premier energy infrastructure franchise; a three-step breakup — drop-down to SEP, WE IPO, DCP separation — unlocks $41-$48/share (32-55% upside).
N4
V3
C3
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Apple Inc. AAPL
Apple's $137B idle cash depresses its P/E; distribute 'iPrefs' — tax-free perpetual preferred stock paying 4% — to unlock ~$150/share without spending a dollar of cash.
N5
V3
C3
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Agrium Inc. AGU
Agrium's board has no retail-distribution expertise to manage a business that's half its value; JANA's 5 nominees can unlock cost, capital and conglomerate-discount value worth hundreds of millions.
N4
V3
C3
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ADT Corporation ADT
ADT is drastically under-levered post-Tyco spin; levering to 3.0x EBITDA and repurchasing ~30% of the float delivers ~44% upside to a $55 target.
N4
V3
C3
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TPC Group Inc. TPCG
TPC Group's $40/share take-private by First Reserve/SK Capital is a self-dealt, low-balled sale; a proper auction plus MLP re-rating would deliver materially higher value to shareholders.
N4
V2
C2
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Lazard Ltd LAZ
Lazard's premier advisory and asset-management franchise trades at a discount; executing the April 2012 plan to 25%+ margins, disciplined capital return, and stronger governance can nearly double the stock to ~$51.
N4
V3
C3
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Tronox Incorporated TROX
Post-Exxaro Tronox is the lowest-cost, fully-integrated TiO2 producer; levering up for a $24-$43/share special dividend plus relisting unlocks $183-$194/share, 56-66% upside.
N3
V2
C2
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Green Mountain Coffee Roasters GMCR
GMCR's $9 EPS bull case ignores a smaller TAM, falling K-cup attachment rates, a September 2012 patent cliff, and accounting shenanigans at fulfillment agent MBlock — realistic EPS is ~$3.50.
N5
V2
C2
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State Street Corporation STT
State Street subsidized growth at the expense of profitability; committing to 35% EBT margins, capital return, and a possible SSgA spin can lift shares from $34 to ~$99 by 2014.
N4
V3
C3
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The McGraw-Hill Companies MHP
McGraw-Hill's conglomerate structure masks four independently attractive assets; separating MH Education, Information & Media and the S&P Index business plus an accelerated buyback unlocks ~60% upside to ~$65.
N4
V3
C2
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The St. Joe Company JOE
St. Joe's Florida real estate empire is a value trap: developments are ghost towns, the airport catalyst is a bust, and the land is worth $7-10/share, not $24.54.
N5
V3
C3
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Date
Fund
Target
Thesis
Scores
Aug 12, 2013
Muddy Waters
American Tower Corporation
AMT
AMT's $811M purchase of 4,456 NIHD towers at 21x EBITDA is a de facto loan to a near-bankrupt counterparty, masking weak growth and compounding accounting red flags from the prior Site Sharing deal.
N4
V1
Aug 02, 2013
Starboard Value
Office Depot, Inc.
ODP
Office Depot's entrenched board has destroyed value for years; replace four incumbents with Starboard's retail-experienced nominees to lift operating margins from 0.9% to 7.3% — standalone or merged with OfficeMax.
N4
V3
Aug 01, 2013
Muddy Waters
American Tower
AMT
AMT's international growth is a de facto lending / FX carry trade masking deteriorating economics, and ~$250M appears to have vanished from its Site Sharing acquisition.
N4
V1
Aug 01, 2013
Glenview
Health Management Associates
HMA
HMA's incumbent board destroyed 25% of independent value before rushing a sale to Community Health Systems; Glenview's Fresh Alternative board protects the deal and recovers upside.
N4
V2
Jul 17, 2013
Muddy Waters
American Tower Corp
AMT
AMT is a Strong Sell at $44.57 (40% downside): a $250M Brazil accounting discrepancy hints at fraud, international growth is a disguised lending/carry trade, and Wi-Fi will erode tower economics.
N4
V2
Jul 01, 2013
Glenview
Health Management Associates
HMA
HMA's insular 17-year-tenure board drove a Lost Decade of <1% TSR; replace all directors with Glenview's blue-chip slate to fix governance, compensation, and capital allocation.
N5
V3
Jun 01, 2013
Sandell
Spectra Energy Corp
SE
Spectra Energy's conglomerate structure masks a premier energy infrastructure franchise; a three-step breakup — drop-down to SEP, WE IPO, DCP separation — unlocks $41-$48/share (32-55% upside).
N4
V3
May 13, 2013
Starboard Value
DSP Group, Inc.
DSPG
DSP has burned $557M on failed new products while its profitable cordless-telephony core erodes; new independent directors can right-size costs and unlock SiTel-level margins.
N4
V3
May 08, 2013
Pershing Square
Procter & Gamble
PG
P&G is a world-class franchise vastly under-earning under a distracted CEO McDonald; restoring 5% growth and 24% EBIT margins lifts EPS to $6 and shares 60% to $125.
N4
V3
Apr 30, 2013
Starboard Value
Tessera Technologies Inc.
TSRA
Tessera has squandered $517M on the failing Digital Optics business while its core patent-licensing franchise shrinks; Starboard's six-director slate and IP-focused plan can unlock best-in-class 60-70% EBITDA margins.
N4
V3
Apr 15, 2013
Elliott Management
Hess Corporation
HES
Hess's world-class assets are squandered by 17 years of John Hess's undisciplined, unaccountable leadership; electing Elliott's five nominees unlocks $96-128 per share of intrinsic value.
N5
V4
Apr 09, 2013
Pershing Square
Herbalife, Ltd.
HLF
Herbalife is an illegal pyramid scheme: ~92% of distributor income comes from recruiting rather than retail, and the top 1% extracts 88% of rewards.
N4
V2
Mar 01, 2013
Elliott Management
Hess Corporation
HES
Hess underperformed peers by 460% over 17 years of restructurings; splitting the conglomerate into a Bakken pure-play and an international E&P unlocks $128/share.
N5
V4
Mar 01, 2013
Relational Investors
The Timken Company
TKR
Timken's bearings-plus-steel conglomerate masks value; separating the two pure-plays unlocks 29% upside to $68 and ends Timken-family board capture entrenching the status quo.
N4
V3
Feb 21, 2013
Greenlight Capital
Apple Inc.
AAPL
Apple's $137B idle cash depresses its P/E; distribute 'iPrefs' — tax-free perpetual preferred stock paying 4% — to unlock ~$150/share without spending a dollar of cash.
N5
V3
Feb 08, 2013
Muddy Waters
Olam International Ltd.
OLAM
Olam's Q2 2013 results confirm Muddy Waters' Strong Sell thesis: debt is spiraling (9.5x EBITDA), cash is burning, and management's acquisitions and Gabon project reveal haphazard planning.
N3
V1
Jan 29, 2013
Elliott Management
Hess Corporation
HES
Hess trades at a steep discount because its unfocused portfolio and poor execution mask premier Bakken acreage; spin the resource co., replace the board, and unlock ~150% upside to $126.
N5
V4
Jan 24, 2013
Muddy Waters
Focus Media Holding Ltd.
FMCN
New BVI registry evidence proves FMCN lied about its mobile-phone VIE acquisitions, reinforcing the long-running fraud thesis just as Carlyle's LBO consortium prepares to overpay.
N4
V1
Jan 18, 2013
TPG-Axon
SandRidge Energy
SD
CEO Tom Ward's family entities systematically flipped Mississippian Lime mineral rights to SandRidge and competed for adjacent acreage—evidence of self-dealing that warrants a board investigation and potential termination.
N4
V3
Jan 01, 2013
JANA Partners
Agrium Inc.
AGU
Agrium's board has no retail-distribution expertise to manage a business that's half its value; JANA's 5 nominees can unlock cost, capital and conglomerate-discount value worth hundreds of millions.
N4
V3
Dec 20, 2012
Pershing Square
Herbalife Ltd.
HLF
Herbalife is an illegal pyramid scheme masquerading as a nutrition company; its $4.8bn market cap rests on recruiting, not real retail demand, and the stock should go to zero.
N5
V3
Dec 20, 2012
Pershing Square
Herbalife Ltd.
HLF
Herbalife is an illegal pyramid scheme: distributors profit from recruiting not retail, the top 1% captures 88% of rewards, and the stock is ultimately worth zero.
N5
V4
Dec 04, 2012
Muddy Waters
Olam International
OLAM
Olam's surprise $750m Temasek-backed debt raise — at an effective cost over 10% — validates Muddy Waters' thesis that the company is days from collapse; Strong Sell maintained.
N3
V2
Nov 30, 2012
Muddy Waters
Olam International
OLAM
Olam's 45-page rebuttal ducks Muddy Waters' real points; we'll pay S&P to rate Olam's debt and prove the market underprices its accounting and acquisition risk.
N4
V2
Nov 27, 2012
Muddy Waters
Olam International Ltd.
SGX:O32
Olam is an Enron-style agri trader whose aggressive non-cash accounting, off-the-rails CapEx binge, and 9.3x leverage mask a failing trading business — equity likely worthless, bonds 14-33¢.
N5
V2
Oct 24, 2012
Corvex
ADT Corporation
ADT
ADT is drastically under-levered post-Tyco spin; levering to 3.0x EBITDA and repurchasing ~30% of the float delivers ~44% upside to a $55 target.
N4
V3
Oct 01, 2012
Sandell
TPC Group Inc.
TPCG
TPC Group's $40/share take-private by First Reserve/SK Capital is a self-dealt, low-balled sale; a proper auction plus MLP re-rating would deliver materially higher value to shareholders.
N4
V2
Jul 18, 2012
Muddy Waters
New Oriental Education & Technology Group
EDU
New Oriental is hiding an extensive franchising operation, filing fraudulent tax-exempt financials in Beijing and using a cosmetic VIE — expect a restatement and Deloitte to resign.
N5
V2
Jun 18, 2012
Trian Partners
Lazard Ltd
LAZ
Lazard's premier advisory and asset-management franchise trades at a discount; executing the April 2012 plan to 25%+ margins, disciplined capital return, and stronger governance can nearly double the stock to ~$51.
N4
V3
May 31, 2012
Elliott Management
BMC Software
BMC
BMC's strong assets are trapped under an unengaged board and CEO Beauchamp who keeps missing his own targets; electing Elliott's four tech nominees opens a sale and long-overdue value.
N5
V3
May 23, 2012
Starboard Value
AOL, Inc.
AOL
AOL's board lets management burn Access/Search cash on a Display strategy losing $500M+ a year; elect three Starboard nominees to enforce discipline and restructure or exit Patch.
N4
V3
Feb 09, 2012
Muddy Waters
Focus Media Holding
FMCN
FMCN's 'independent' verification of its 185,174 LCD network counted 30,500 cardboard posters as LCDs, confirming Muddy Waters' fraud thesis and impugning all reported financials.
N5
V2
Feb 06, 2012
Pershing Square
Canadian Pacific Railway
CP
CP is the worst-performing Class I railroad under Fred Green; replacing him with Hunter Harrison — who transformed CN via Precision Scheduled Railroading — closes the peer gap and unlocks ~$140/share.
N5
V4
Dec 09, 2011
Muddy Waters
Focus Media Holding
FMCN
FMCN's promise to have 'reputable' Chinese firms verify its LCD network is worthless — CTR, the firm most likely to be hired, previously rubber-stamped CCME's fabricated bus network.
N4
V2
Dec 01, 2011
Sandell
Tronox Incorporated
TROX
Post-Exxaro Tronox is the lowest-cost, fully-integrated TiO2 producer; levering up for a $24-$43/share special dividend plus relisting unlocks $183-$194/share, 56-66% upside.
N3
V2
Nov 29, 2011
Muddy Waters
Focus Media Holding
FMCN
FMCN's rebuttal concedes Muddy Waters' core claims — inflated LCD network, 1,758% theater market share, phantom VIE acquisitions, and brazen insider self-dealing make the shares un-investable.
N4
V2
Nov 21, 2011
Muddy Waters
Focus Media Holding Ltd.
FMCN
Focus Media is the Olympus of China: it inflates its LCD screen count by 50%, systematically overpays for acquisitions it writes off, and enriches insiders at shareholders' expense.
N5
V2
Oct 17, 2011
Greenlight Capital
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters
GMCR
GMCR's $9 EPS bull case ignores a smaller TAM, falling K-cup attachment rates, a September 2012 patent cliff, and accounting shenanigans at fulfillment agent MBlock — realistic EPS is ~$3.50.
N5
V2
Oct 16, 2011
Trian Partners
State Street Corporation
STT
State Street subsidized growth at the expense of profitability; committing to 35% EBT margins, capital return, and a possible SSgA spin can lift shares from $34 to ~$99 by 2014.
N4
V3
Sep 14, 2011
Pershing Square
Hong Kong Dollar / Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA)
HKD
Hong Kong's USD peg forces the booming HKD to import US ultra-accommodative monetary policy, fueling inflation and property bubbles; a 30% revaluation to 6:1 offers ~44x upside via cheap call options.
N5
V3
Aug 22, 2011
JANA Partners
The McGraw-Hill Companies
MHP
McGraw-Hill's conglomerate structure masks four independently attractive assets; separating MH Education, Information & Media and the S&P Index business plus an accelerated buyback unlocks ~60% upside to ~$65.
N4
V3
Jun 20, 2011
Muddy Waters
Sino-Forest Corporation
TRE
Sino-Forest claims Huaihua Yuda is unrelated, but Muddy Waters shows Sonic Jita was once owned by TRE executives and still shares a key executive — undisclosed related-party transactions contradicting CEO Allen Chan's guarantees.
N4
V1
Jun 13, 2011
Muddy Waters
Sino-Forest Corporation
TRE
TRE management's evasive Q1 call answers — unfinished E&Y review, undisclosed related parties, an unnecessary AI model, and dropped analyst questions — reinforce Muddy Waters' fraud thesis on Sino-Forest.
N3
V1
Jun 02, 2011
Muddy Waters
Sino-Forest Corporation
TRE
Sino-Forest is a fraud: its Authorized Intermediary structure fabricates timber revenue, its Yunnan holdings are overstated by ~$900M, and equity is worth less than $1 vs. $18.21.
N5
V2
Apr 04, 2011
Muddy Waters
Duoyuan Global Water Inc.
DGW
DGW is a massive fraud overstating revenue by 100x; forged PRC audits, empty factory, and related-party tunneling to Chairman Guo imply the stock is worth under $1.
N5
V2
Mar 09, 2011
Elliott Management
Iron Mountain Incorporated
IRM
Iron Mountain's 44%-margin NOAM storage cash cow is being squandered on low-ROIC Digital and Int'l bets; capital discipline plus a REIT conversion can lift the stock from $25 to $52-$77.
N4
V3
Mar 02, 2011
Muddy Waters
China MediaExpress Holdings
CCME
CCME is a fraud: a recorded salesperson admits doubling the bus count for SEC filings, and Chairman Cheng's rebuttal cited fabricated license plates — fair value $3.54 vs $12.27.
N4
V2
Feb 03, 2011
Muddy Waters
China MediaExpress Holdings
CCME
CCME is a pump-and-dump: reported revenue is overstated ~5x, its bus network is half the claimed size, and management is cashing out — fair value $5.28 vs $16.61.
N4
V2
Nov 10, 2010
Muddy Waters
RINO International Corp.
RINO
RINO is a near-zero: 94% of its reported revenue is fabricated, customers deny buying its FGD systems, and founders are draining cash via the VIE; fair value $2.45 vs. $15.52.
N5
V2
Oct 13, 2010
Greenlight Capital
The St. Joe Company
JOE
St. Joe's Florida real estate empire is a value trap: developments are ghost towns, the airport catalyst is a bust, and the land is worth $7-10/share, not $24.54.
N5
V3
Jul 22, 2010
Muddy Waters
Orient Paper, Inc.
ONP
AMEX-listed Orient Paper is a Chinese reverse-merger fraud: tax records, shell-company suppliers, and customer interviews show revenues and profits are fabricated by orders of magnitude.
N4
V1
Jul 13, 2010
Muddy Waters
Orient Paper, Inc.
ONP
ONP secretly swapped its paper-machine order from corrugating medium to kraft board to salvage a technically impossible 360,000-ton output claim, while overpaying the vendor $13-14 million.
N3
V1
Jul 06, 2010
Muddy Waters
Orient Paper, Inc.
ONP
ONP claimed to own its China operating company HBOP for 16 months when it didn't, and replaced 80% of its top 10 customers while growing sales 56.5% — both flag fraud.
N4
V1
Jul 02, 2010
Muddy Waters
Orient Paper Inc.
ONP
Muddy Waters stands by its ONP fraud thesis: the Baoding factory is incapable of producing reported output, and the 'rejected $300K research fee' vendetta narrative is fabricated.
N4
V1
Jun 28, 2010
Muddy Waters
Orient Paper Inc.
ONP
Orient Paper is a fraud — revenues overstated 27x in 2008 and ~40x in 2009, assets inflated 10x, ~$30M of investor raises misappropriated; fair value under $1 vs. $8.43.
N5
V2
May 26, 2010
Pershing Square
General Growth Properties
GGP
At $14, GGP implicitly prices spinco GGO at negative $1; PF GGP alone merits ~$15 on Simon's 6.6% peer cap rate, pointing to ~$20 combined intrinsic and ~43% upside by year-end emergence.
N5
V3
Dec 07, 2009
Pershing Square
Mall REIT sector (long General Growth Properties)
GGP
Market-feared mall-REIT collapse never arrived: leverage fell, $18bn equity was raised, cap rates compressed, and tenants now generate cash — making mall REITs still cheap versus Treasuries.
N4
V3
Oct 20, 2009
Pershing Square
Corrections Corporation of America
CXW
CXW is a misunderstood real estate business — 90% of EBITDA is owned prisons leased to governments; rerating to healthcare-REIT cap rates unlocks $40-$54 vs. $24.50.
N4
V3
Oct 19, 2009
Greenlight Capital
US/Japan Sovereign Debt & Fiat Currencies (Macro)
Bernanke and Geithner's short-termism has institutionalized too-big-to-fail and will debase fiat currencies — hedge with gold and long-dated options on higher US and Japanese rates.
N5
V1
Oct 06, 2009
Pershing Square
Realty Income Corporation
O
Realty Income trades at a 7.3% cap rate — a ~40% premium to 10-11% private-market rates for the same junk-credit retail properties; downside to ~$14 (-46%).
N5
V3