Contrarian Corpus

670 documents showing 241–300

Muddy Waters 2023-03-28

Vivion Investments

Muddy Waters stays short Vivion bonds: the December 2022 rebuttal is misleading, asset values are inflated, rent24 exposure is hidden, and shareholder loans are being cashed out with bondholder money.

N3 V2 C2
TCI Fund 2023-03-23

Cellnex Telecom, S.A. CLNX

Cellnex is a great asset hobbled by a board that botched CEO succession; TCI will move at the AGM to remove Kan, Shore and Reich and seat its own director.

N3 V2 C1
Engine Capital 2023-03-22

Parkland Corporation PKI

Parkland's conglomerate mix of retail, refinery and distribution trades at a 3-turn discount to Couche-Tard; spin the non-core assets and refresh the stale board to unlock ~$45/share, roughly 55% upside.

N4 V2 C1
Soroban 2023-02-22

Union Pacific Corporation UNP

UNP owns the best Class I rail franchise but ranks worst on every metric under CEO Lance Fritz; bringing back operator Jim Vena could double the stock to ~$400 by 2025.

N5 V4 C4
TCI Fund 2023-02-20

Airbus SE AIR

TCI urges Airbus to abandon the 29.9% Evidian stake — a value-destructive, politically-motivated bailout of Atos that distracts management from fixing aircraft delivery shortfalls.

N4 V2 C1
Pershing Square 2023-02-09

Pershing Square Holdings (fund-level annual update) PSH

PSH outperformed S&P 500 by 930bps in 2022 thanks to interest-rate hedge

N2 V3 C2
Ancora 2023-02-08

Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers RBA

Back the amended RBA-IAA merger: $350-900M of synergies, a Starboard/Ancora-refreshed board, and Luxor's anti-deal case is flawed — RBA should re-rate from $62 to ~$130.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2023-02-06

Rogers Corporation ROG

Starboard's 6.5% stake in Rogers Corporation backs a board slate of specialty-materials veterans, arguing undervalued shares warrant fresh director expertise after the failed DuPont sale.

N2 V1 C1
TCI Fund 2023-01-20

Alphabet GOOGL

Alphabet's January layoffs are a start but insufficient; management must cut headcount ~20% to 150,000 and slash excessive pay, including stock-based comp.

N3 V1 C1
Trian Partners 2023-01-12

The Walt Disney Company DIS

Disney's world-class IP is being squandered by a board that overpaid $52bn for Fox, bungled CEO succession, and is bleeding streaming losses — add Nelson Peltz to restore discipline.

N4 V3 C3
Trian Partners 2023-01-11

The Walt Disney Company DIS

Disney is in a self-inflicted crisis of governance, strategy and capital allocation; electing Nelson Peltz to the board will restore discipline, profitability and the dividend by FY 2025.

N4 V2 C2
Oasis Management 2022-12-21

Digital Garage, Inc. 4819 JT

Digital Garage's fintech payments arm is starved by a distracted conglomerate; spinning off FinTech and dumping the Kakaku.com stake unlocks ~100% upside amid Japan's cashless boom.

N3 V2 C1
Oasis Management 2022-12-21

Digital Garage Inc. 4819 JT

Digital Garage is missing Japan's cashless-payments wave; spinning off DG Financial Technology, divesting Kakaku, and refocusing management would nearly double the stock and lift profit before tax from JPY4.5bn to JPY11.4bn.

N4 V2 C1
Palliser Capital 2022-12-19

Capricorn Energy PLC CNE

Capricorn's board is destroying value by forcing a low-ball NewMed sale; replacing seven directors unlocks up to 400p per share via Palliser's Value Optimisation Plan.

N4 V2 C1
Muddy Waters 2022-12-14

Vivion Investments S.à.r.l.

Vivion's €1.44bn bond issuer is a multi-billion euro shell game — fabricated shareholder loans, inflated occupancy and fair value gains, and related-party rents enriching controlling shareholder Amir Dayan.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2022-12-01

dLocal DLO

DLO's refusal to reconcile 2020 cash flows in writing, while verbally denying misuse on broker calls, confirms Muddy Waters' view that client funds financed the pre-IPO special dividend.

N3 V1 C1
Land & Buildings 2022-12-01

Six Flags Entertainment Corp. SIX

Six Flags' owned real estate is worth more than its entire equity value; spinning it to a REIT buyer like VICI plus fixing the botched 2022 repositioning can double the stock.

N4 V4 C4
Muddy Waters 2022-11-16

DLocal Ltd. DLO

Muddy Waters is short DLO: contradictory TPV disclosures, implausibly high FX-driven take rates, governance failures and ~$1bn of insider selling point to likely fraud at the Uruguay-based payments processor.

N4 V2 C2
TCI Fund 2022-11-15

Alphabet GOOGL

Alphabet's cost base is bloated — headcount up 20% CAGR since 2017, pay 67% above Microsoft, Other Bets bleeding $20bn; cut costs, target a 40% Google Services margin, and buy back stock aggressively.

N4 V3 C2
Palliser Capital 2022-10-27

Capricorn Energy CNE

NewMed's all-share bid for Capricorn hands shareholders a 42% discount and a self-serving board deal; a cash-return plus Egypt-focused optimisation path unlocks 400p/share instead.

N5 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2022-10-19

Multiple (Wix, Salesforce, Splunk, Vertiv) WIX / CRM / SPLK / VRT

Four high-quality TMT names (Wix, Salesforce, Splunk, Vertiv) trade at multi-year-low valuations; closing the margin gap to peers as the market shifts from growth to profitability unlocks substantial FCF/share upside.

N4 V3 C3
Kerrisdale Capital 2022-09-01

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. ASTS

AST SpaceMobile is a $1.8bn 2021-SPAC promoting a physically implausible direct-to-handset satellite broadband dream; the technology won't work as hyped, timelines keep slipping, and SpaceX/Apple competition eliminates any lead.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2022-08-25

Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital HASI

HASI is 'dumb money' in renewables JVs — sponsors cash out while HASI books non-cash HLBV income on investments unlikely to ever pay out, inflating reported earnings over real economics.

N4 V2 C1
Third Point 2022-08-15

The Walt Disney Company DIS

Disney's DTC pivot is working, but spinning ESPN, fully owning Hulu, cutting costs, and refreshing the board will unlock the next leg of value.

N3 V2 C1
Palliser Capital 2022-08-09

Capricorn Energy PLC CNE

Capricorn's board must withdraw its Tullow merger recommendation — a nil-premium takeover that hands Capricorn's cash to junk-rated creditors while standalone value of 330p offers 67% upside.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2022-08-03

Sunrun RUN

Muddy Waters rebuts Sunrun's response: the 90% PPA-renewal assumption on 20-year-old panels is fantasy, the $668M panel-removal liability is real, and RUN hides its tax basis.

N3 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2022-07-28

Sunrun Inc. RUN

Sunrun's equity story rests on three shaky pillars — inflated subscriber values, abusive IRS tax-basis gaming, and fragile ABS — that together imply an 85% haircut to Net Earning Assets.

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2022-07-12

Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital HASI

HASI is a short: its GAAP and non-GAAP 'Distributable Earnings' are inflated by three non-cash accounting tricks and roundtripped SunStrong loans, masking a cash-losing, capital-raise-dependent business.

N4 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2022-05-09

LivePerson, Inc. LPSN

Founder-CEO Rob LoCascio's unchecked power has produced repeated missed commitments and a 70% stock decline from peak

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2022-05-09

LivePerson, Inc. LPSN

Founder-CEO LoCascio has lowest Glassdoor approval among peers; toxic culture rewards loyalty over performance

N4 V3 C3
Carl Icahn 2022-05-01

McDonald's Corporation MCD

McDonald's board broke a 10-year promise to end gestation crates; replace Penrose and Lenny with two ESG experts to fix systemic governance and sustainability failures.

N4 V3 C3
Sachem Head 2022-04-26

US Foods Holding Corp. USFD

Sachem Head owns 8.7% of US Foods and is running a proxy fight to install five directors who can close the Sysco margin gap and deliver ~100% upside.

N4 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2022-04-20

Netflix NFLX

Ad-tier pivot makes subscriber growth, margins, and capital intensity unpredictable

N4 V2 C2
Kerrisdale Capital 2022-04-01

Digital World Acquisition Corp DWAC

DWAC's $8bn pro-forma SPAC merger with Trump's TMTG will never close because the SEC is actively investigating it and can kill the deal via a stop order — fair value is the $10 trust cash (-80%).

N4 V2 C2
Engine Capital 2022-03-22

Houghton Mifflin Harcourt HMHC

Veritas's $21/share buyout of Houghton Mifflin steals the company for 7.6x 2024 UFCF; reject it and execute a standalone Dutch tender recap to reach ~$42 by 2024.

N4 V3 C3
Engine Capital 2022-03-22

Houghton Mifflin Harcourt HMHC

Veritas' $21 tender for Houghton Mifflin Harcourt steals value at 7.6x UFCF; a self-funded Dutch tender and standalone plan could deliver roughly $42 per share by 2024.

N3 V1 C1
Starboard Value 2022-03-08

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman failed all 2016 and 2018 Investor Day EBITDA and share-price promises

N4 V4 C3
Starboard Value 2022-03-03

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman underperformed the S&P 500 by 337% from IPO to Starboard's involvement

N5 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2022-03-02

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman has broken every major Investor Day commitment since 2014 — fooled shareholders three times

N5 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2022-02-28

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman returned just 80% since its 2005 IPO vs. 642-822% for peers, a ~562% deficit under CEO Peter Huntsman

N5 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2022-02-11

Pershing Square Holdings (fund-level annual update; covers portfolio including Lowe's, Universal Music Group, Hilton, Chipotle, Restaurant Brands, Howard Hughes, Domino's, Netflix, PSTH) PSH

PSH delivered 26.9% NAV return in 2021 and 50.1% 3-yr CAGR, outperforming activist and equity hedge indices

N2 V3 C2
Starboard Value 2022-02-10

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman has underperformed peers by 575% since IPO and missed three straight Investor Day targets; elect four Starboard nominees on the BLUE card to restore board accountability.

N3 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2022-02-10

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Huntsman has underperformed proxy peers by 575% since its IPO

N4 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2022-01-26

Netflix, Inc. NFLX

Market overreacted to weak subscriber guidance, creating an attractive entry point

N2 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2022-01-13

Mercury Systems, Inc. MRCY

Rights Plan is not in the best interests of Mercury Systems shareholders

N2 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2022-01-12

Huntsman Corporation HUN

A decade of missed EBITDA targets: 2014, 2016 and 2018 Investor Day aspirations all unmet

N4 V2 C2
Starboard Value 2022-01-12

Huntsman Corporation HUN

Three consecutive Investor Days (2014, 2016, 2018) missed EBITDA targets by hundreds of millions

N4 V2 C2
Muddy Waters 2021-12-16

KE Holdings BEKE

BEKE is systemic fraud: platform scraping and field work show new-home GTV inflated ~126%, revenues inflated 77-96%, with ghost stores, clone stores, and a sham acquisition masking the deception.

N5 V2 C2
Kerrisdale Capital 2021-12-01

Astra Space, Inc. ASTR

Astra is a SPAC-bubble rocket company with no revenue, an undersized non-reusable vehicle, and fantastical 300-launch-a-year forecasts; shares should tumble back to the ground.

N4 V3 C3
Land & Buildings 2021-11-01

REIT sector (thematic)

REITs hedge inflation, but only short-lease high-margin sectors — residential, self-storage, warehouses — work; office and net lease are bond-like losers in a 6%+ CPI world.

N3 V3 C3
Oasis Management 2021-10-26

Hokuetsu Corporation 3865

Hokuetsu's 13-year CEO resists change as its paper business declines; selling Daio Paper cross-holdings and pivoting to biomass power can quadruple market cap to ¥533.9bn.

N3 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2021-09-15

Danimer Scientific DNMR

DNMR is a post-SPAC bioplastics story whose 'sold-out' demand, $200M take-or-pay contracts, and $1 trillion TAM are misrepresentations — actual utilization is ~28% and Novomer is a Hail Mary.

N4 V2 C1
Land & Buildings 2021-09-01

N/A (asset-class advocacy)

Publicly traded REITs have outperformed private real estate by 165–590bps annually for 20 years, offer better liquidity, cheaper valuations vs. bonds, and superior inflation-era returns.

N2 V3 C3
TCI Fund 2021-08-31

Canadian National Railway CNI

CN, once the best-run Class I railroad, is now the worst under CEO Ruest; abandon the KCS deal and install Jim Vena to restore operational excellence.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2021-08-16

Box, Inc. BOX

Box has chronically lagged peers and entrenched itself via an unnecessary $500M KKR preferred financing; electing Starboard's minority slate restores stockholder accountability and unlocks long-term value.

N4 V2 C1
Starboard Value 2021-08-06

Box, Inc. BOX

Box is a best-of-breed cloud content platform that has missed every revenue target since IPO; a reconstituted board can fix go-to-market execution and close a massive valuation gap to peers.

N4 V3 C3
Kerrisdale Capital 2021-07-01

Acutus Medical Inc. AFIB

N3 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2021-05-24

Solutions 30 S30

EY's refusal to sign Solutions 30's 2020 audit — after S30 blocked access to information on suspect transactions — confirms Muddy Waters' two-year-old fraud and money-laundering thesis.

N4 V1 C1
Starboard Value 2021-05-20

Box, Inc. BOX

Box's board issued $500m of KKR preferred to lock up >10% of the vote and entrench itself ahead of Starboard's proxy contest — Starboard demands the books and four new directors.

N3 V1 C1
Muddy Waters 2021-05-13

Lemonade, Inc. LMND

Muddy Waters is short Lemonade after discovering a critical session-fixation flaw that exposed customer PII to Google's index — a negligence that shatters Lemonade's 'trustworthy' digital-native brand.

N4 V1 C1