Contrarian Corpus
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Callouts & quotes from 709+ activist slides

Every emphasised callout and every pulled quote, extracted slide-by-slide. Search by keyword, filter by slide type or by source.

Showing 541–600 of 709 matching "estimate"
callout villain critique

"Spruce Point estimates that after a period of growth, WSP's organic employee headcount was flat to down in 2023."

WSP Global Inc. · WSP Spruce Point Capital · p. 22
callout appendix methodology

"We estimate that Target's ground lease credit risk should be materially lower than Target's unsecured CDS spread"

Target Corporation · TGT Pershing Square · p. 74
callout process diagram

"We anticipate margin uplift by 27% on a pro forma forward basis, resulting in estimated operating margin of 6.7%"

Hyundai Motor Group Elliott Management · p. 34
callout cover

"We estimate DGW's actual revenue is no greater than US$800,000 annually, versus the US$154.4 million it claims."

callout valuation reveal

"As a result, we attempt to adjust Street estimates for these factors that appear to be inflating DOX's results."

Amdocs Limited · DOX Spruce Point Capital · p. 14
callout other

"Revenue estimates crept higher despite Florida awards declining and estimates just increased after the LSP deal"

Construction Partners, Inc. · ROAD Spruce Point Capital · p. 61
callout transition

">A PK failure that never should have made it past phase 1 – underestimated plasma levels are key driver of risk"

Harmony Biosciences Holdings · HRMY Scorpion Capital · p. 117
callout villain critique

"In Morinda's, case, we estimate that Morinda's revenues from China are inflated by 36% in 2017 and 51% in 2016."

New Age Beverage Corp. · NBEV Grizzly Research · p. 4
callout villain critique

"In Morinda's, case, we estimate that Morinda's revenues from China are inflated by 36% in 2017 and 51% in 2016."

New Age Beverage Corp. · NBEV Grizzly Research · p. 4
callout before after

"Rio's inability to share risks with targets has cost shareholders an estimated c.US$35.6 billion in book value"

Rio Tinto · RIO Palliser Capital · p. 26
callout villain critique

"In total, we estimate that your non-core acquisition spree cost shareholders more than $12 per share in value."

callout transition

"Elliott estimates tax savings equivalent to approximately 60% of 2011 Net Income guidance provided by Company"

Iron Mountain Incorporated · IRM Elliott Management · p. 31
callout peer gap

"McOpCo’s Estimated Average Unit EBITDA margins versus U.S. Franchisees’ Estimated Average Unit EBITDA margins"

McDonald's Corporation · MCD Pershing Square · p. 8
callout sop buildup

"Management estimated the value of these projects to be $3 billion in 2017 when copper was at $2.70 per pound."

Teck Resources · TECK Greenlight Capital · p. 45
callout valuation reveal

"Management estimates that when housing starts recover to ~1mm to 1.5mm, EBITDA will be 2 to 3x current levels"

callout valuation reveal

"2026E revenue estimates have only modestly declined, with significant room for contraction and disappointment"

DraftKings Inc. · DKNG Spruce Point Capital · p. 35
callout executive summary

"Adding in mining, capex, and G&A cost, we estimate METC would lose ~$88 billion bringing the REEs to market."

Ramaco Resources, Inc. · METC Wolfpack Research · p. 2
callout villain critique

"This allows us to conservatively estimate that organic headcount has been close to zero over the past year."

Dycom Industries, Inc. · DY Spruce Point Capital · p. 24
callout kpi overview

"The opportunity to increase alcohol sales could drive an estimated $56 million in annual EBITDA improvement"

Darden Restaurants, Inc. · DRI Starboard Value · p. 142
callout villain critique

"Wall Street analysts estimated Adjusted EBITDA be ~35% BELOW the Company’s initial 2018 Investor Day target"

Huntsman Corporation · HUN Starboard Value · p. 18
callout peer gap

"The opportunity to increase alcohol sales could drive an estimated $56 million in annual EBITDA improvement"

Darden Restaurants, Inc. · DRI Starboard Value · p. 142
callout appendix methodology

"We have made several illustrative modeling assumptions to estimate the long-term earnings power of the GSEs"

callout executive summary

"Spruce Point Estimates 30% - 40% ($21.75 - $25.40/sh) Downside Risk To Rollins Inc. (NYSE: ROL) Share Price"

Rollins Inc. · ROL Spruce Point Capital · p. 7
callout appendix methodology

"We have made several illustrative modeling assumptions to estimate the long-term earnings power of the GSEs"

callout thesis headline

"Based on our analysis, we estimate approximately 35% to 60% potential downside risk ($14 to $22 per share)."

DraftKings Inc. · DKNG Spruce Point Capital · p. 11
callout executive summary

"We estimate that the Company is overstating gross and EBITDA margins by 664bps and 1,176bps, respectively."

Samsara Inc. · IOT Spruce Point Capital · p. 8
callout before after

"Wall Street analysts estimated Adjusted EBITDA be 30% BELOW the Company's initial 2018 Investor Day target"

Huntsman Corporation · HUN Starboard Value · p. 57
callout villain critique

"We Estimate That DV's EPS Met Consensus If Not For Underestimating / Delaying $2.8M of Expense Recognition"

DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. · DV Spruce Point Capital · p. 76
callout ceo quote

"In a pool of six bidders for a recent project, Ferebee was dead last with a bid +37.8% above the estimate."

Construction Partners, Inc. · ROAD Spruce Point Capital · p. 16
callout other

"Therefore, based on the collected data we estimate that BEKE inflated GTV by at least ~126% in Q2-Q3 2021."

KE Holdings · BEKE Muddy Waters · p. 8
callout appendix data

"Given the estimated tax basis in McOpCo, we believe that no taxes would need to paid in an IPO of McOpCo."

McDonald's Corporation · MCD Pershing Square · p. 52
callout executive summary

"Our research proves that the internal estimate Inspire uses as the basis for its growth story is a farce."

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. · INSP Wolfpack Research · p. 3
callout kpi overview

"Conservatively we estimate DKNG could potentially miss full year '25 consensus revenue estimates by 6.2%."

DraftKings Inc. · DKNG Spruce Point Capital · p. 23
callout other

"Wall Street analysts have historically been overly optimistic in their estimates for Celgene's products."

Bristol-Myers Squibb · BMY Starboard Value · p. 86
callout ceo quote

"Consensus estimates indicate a $6.8bn shortfall. The bulk of the deficit (~$4.9bn) is driven by refining"

Phillips 66 · PSX Elliott Management · p. 37
callout villain critique

"Even using such a conservative assumption, we estimate that BEKE’s revenues are likely inflated by ~96%."

KE Holdings · BEKE Muddy Waters · p. 12
callout appendix methodology

"In total, our estimate is that MCY will face more than $2 billion of policyholder losses from the fires."

Mercury General Corporation · MCY Wolfpack Research · p. 3
callout villain critique

"Wall Street consensus estimates for Adjusted EBITDA margins are WELL BELOW the Company's targeted range"

Huntsman Corporation · HUN Starboard Value · p. 25
callout peer gap

"Turner's overall EBITDA margin of 36%, however, is estimated to be in the lower half of the peer group."

Time Warner Inc. · TWX Carl Icahn · p. 86
callout villain critique

"Combined industry average probability of reaching market from Lead ID is one sixth of analyst estimate"

PeptiDream, Inc. · 4587 JP Muddy Waters · p. 20
callout ceo quote

"However, by our estimate Fox accounted for nearly all (or more) than the entire 40bps YoY improvement."

Rollins Inc. · ROL Spruce Point Capital · p. 59
callout villain critique

"We estimate sales declined 24% and losses almost doubled in the quarter after LSPD acquired Gastrofix."

Lightspeed Commerce, Inc. · LSPD Spruce Point Capital · p. 83
callout villain critique

"By normalizing MAXR’s results to peers, we estimate $50m of annual overcapitalization of intangibles."

Maxar Technologies · MAXR Spruce Point Capital · p. 25
callout ceo quote

"Our estimates suggest that nearly all of Amdocs' sales growth in FY 2014 came from inorganic sources."

Amdocs Limited · DOX Spruce Point Capital · p. 113
callout other

"By our estimates, the benefit could have been upwards of $0.44 per share in the most aggressive case."

Bunge Global SA · BG Spruce Point Capital · p. 60
callout villain critique

"We therefore estimate that CPI PG inflates the Bubny landbank PP value (or carrying value) by ~100%."

callout ceo quote

"The DLC has cost Rio Tinto shareholders an estimated US$50 billion in foregone value since inception"

Rio Tinto · RIO Palliser Capital · p. 25
callout ceo quote

"Spruce Point estimates that revenue from recent acquisitions declined sharply by approximately 50%."

Saputo Inc. · TSX:SAP Spruce Point Capital · p. 63
callout sop buildup

"This category-level analysis suggests that our 51.5% gross margin estimate for P&G is conservative"

Procter & Gamble · PG Pershing Square · p. 21
callout peer gap

"We believe P&G’s scale advantage should allow it to achieve our estimate of an 11% Core SG&A ratio"

Procter & Gamble · PG Pershing Square · p. 26
callout ceo quote

"Wall Street consensus estimates for Adjusted EBITDA margins are BELOW the Company’s targeted range"

Huntsman Corporation · HUN Starboard Value · p. 89