45 documents showing 1–45
ACM Research, Inc. ACMR
ACMR trades at 1.1x revenue while its 82%-owned Shanghai subsidiary ACMS trades at 6x — a sum-of-parts gap that implies a 10-bagger as China's WFE self-sufficiency drive accelerates.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac FNMA / FMCC
Treasury's warrants and residual stake could generate ~$300bn for taxpayers over time
Dye & Durham Limited DND
Dye & Durham's Board and CEO Matt Proud destroyed value chasing a $1bn EBITDA target through reckless M&A; Engine's six-director slate and new CEO can triple the share price to $46 in three years.
Oklo Inc. OKLO
Oklo is a $3bn pre-revenue SPAC nuclear story whose 5x-lowballed fuel costs, unrealistic 2027 NRC timeline, and inexperienced 'Nuclear Bros' management mean shares should collapse as reality intrudes.
Lumen Technologies LUMN
Lumen's 400% AI-fueled rally is an optical illusion: $5bn in PCF deals is construction-contractor funding worth ~$1/share, masking an insolvent, secularly declining telco with $19bn debt.
Kao Corporation 4452.JP
Kao has top-decile brands (Curel, Biore, Molton Brown) but bottom-decile management with a 'growth allergy' — fixing it Beiersdorf-style unlocks 76-97% upside.
Carvana Co. CVNA
Carvana at $70 is priced as a tech disruptor, but it's 'just a dealership' with CarMax-like unit economics and a levered balance sheet — fair value is $16, -77%.
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 KS
Samsung C&T trades at a 63% discount to its $40.4bn NAV; fixing capital allocation, governance and the opaque group structure closes a $25bn value gap worth ~170% upside.
Sunrun Inc. RUN
Sunrun's non-GAAP Subscriber count exceeds mandatory EIA filings by ~20%, implying phantom customers, ~$1.5B of overstated Net Earning Assets (62.5% of market cap), and possible ITC tax fraud.
Multiple (Wix, Salesforce, Splunk, Vertiv) WIX / CRM / SPLK / VRT
Four high-quality TMT names (Wix, Salesforce, Splunk, Vertiv) trade at multi-year-low valuations; closing the margin gap to peers as the market shifts from growth to profitability unlocks substantial FCF/share upside.
Sunrun Inc. RUN
Sunrun's equity story rests on three shaky pillars — inflated subscriber values, abusive IRS tax-basis gaming, and fragile ABS — that together imply an 85% haircut to Net Earning Assets.
Teck Resources TECK
Teck is the overlooked pick-axes play on the EV/green-electrification copper boom — QB2 doubles its copper mix and at forward-curve copper the stock is worth ~C$59, nearly double.
Hilton Grand Vacations HGV
HGV is overpaying 10x EBITDA for Diamond and handing Apollo effective control with no premium; standalone HGV is worth $55 — shareholders should vote AGAINST.
eHealth, Inc. EHTH
EHTH books Medicare Advantage revenue today that takes nine to twenty years to collect, masking a cash-incinerating, high-churn business reminiscent of Enron-style accounting.
Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ALXN
Alexion's stand-alone strategy has failed — serial M&A missteps and a deep valuation discount mean the Board must pursue a sale now to unlock 40-50% upside for shareholders.
PeptiDream, Inc. 4587 JP
PeptiDream's 19 pharma 'partnerships' are largely dormant and 13 years of R&D have produced zero Phase 2 drugs — analyst 2027 revenue forecasts will miss by over 60%.
Bristol-Myers Squibb BMY
BMY is overpaying ~$30B for Celgene's risky pipeline, betting on 10 blockbusters in 8 years vs 3 in 15; shareholders should vote against and unlock 900bps of standalone margin upside.
Bristol-Myers Squibb BMY
BMY's $91B Celgene deal bets the company on a REVLIMID patent cliff and pipeline requiring 10 blockbusters in 8 years — shareholders should vote no and pursue a standalone Amgen-style transformation.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP
Employer Services margins are 1,500-2,000 bps below potential vs. Paychex and peers
Cognizant Technology Solutions CTSH
Cognizant has deliberately capped margins at 19-20% for 20 years while revenue grew 70x
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC
Marathon is priced like a merchant refiner despite a 69% stable-earnings mix; dropping assets to MPLX and spinning Speedway, RefiningCo, and MidstreamCo unlocks $14-19bn (~60-80%+ upside).
St. Jude Medical, Inc. STJ
St. Jude's $23B cardiac-device franchise rests on a Merlin ecosystem so insecure that hackers can crash pacemakers from 50 feet — a recall and two-year remediation imply 50%+ downside and likely covenant breach.
Buffalo Wild Wings BWLD
Buffalo Wild Wings should reverse course on low-return franchisee buy-ins, refranchise to 90% by 2020, recapitalize, and fix incentives — unlocking ~180% upside to ~$402.
CONSOL Energy CNX
Market prices CONSOL as a dying coal miner, but its Marcellus/Utica shale gas acreage plus disciplined management make it worth $35.81/share versus $7.40 today.
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International VRX
Citron's 'next Enron' channel-stuffing claim is verifiably false; Philidor accounting is conservative
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International VRX
Citron's 'next Enron' channel-stuffing claim is verifiably false; Philidor accounting is conservative
Pioneer Natural Resources PXD
Pioneer and the shale 'frackers' burn cash and destroy value on every BOE developed; their $27B market cap rests on proved reserves worth $3-8B — buy oil, not PXD.
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International VRX
Platform companies are undervalued because P/E ignores value from future acquisitions
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International VRX
Traditional P/E ignores Valeant's 'Platform Value' from disciplined M&A capital allocation
E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company (DuPont) DD
DuPont is a chronically underperforming conglomerate bloated with $2-4bn of excess costs; putting Trian on the board unlocks a $120+/share, 21% IRR path by 2017.
AerCap Holdings AER
AerCap, the largest independent aircraft lessor, trades at 8.5x earnings; the equity should rerate as the credit markets already have post-ILFC deal, supported by low-teens ROE and ~10% EPS CAGR.
Superb Summit International Group Limited 1228.HK
Superb Summit's HK$773m of reported revenue belongs to a coal company it never owned, and its HK$1.5bn JFT acquisition is a sham valuation routed through a mystery intermediary.
Crown Castle International Corp. CCI
Crown Castle is a U.S. tower REIT 'betwixt and between' — raising the 2015 dividend to $4.00 (80% AFFO payout) re-rates the stock to a 4.0% yield, unlocking 27% near-term and 60%+ upside in 15 months.
athenahealth ATHN
athenahealth is the poster child of the cloud 'bubble basket' — strip Morgan Stanley's fantasy margin and revenue-per-doctor assumptions and the stock falls 80%+ toward a $50 adjusted DCF.
Allergan AGN
Valeant's Outsider-CEO model delivered 2,544% TSR (25x) in six years under Mike Pearson
American Tower Corporation AMT
AMT's $4.8bn purchase of Global Tower Partners at ~19x 2014 EBITDA looks engineered to mask decelerating US organic growth and preserve 20% dividend-growth optics; maintain Strong Sell.
American Tower Corp AMT
AMT is a Strong Sell at $44.57 (40% downside): a $250M Brazil accounting discrepancy hints at fraud, international growth is a disguised lending/carry trade, and Wi-Fi will erode tower economics.
TPC Group Inc. TPCG
TPC Group's $40/share take-private by First Reserve/SK Capital is a self-dealt, low-balled sale; a proper auction plus MLP re-rating would deliver materially higher value to shareholders.
Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX); GenCorp (GY); Brookfield Residential Properties (BRP)
Three stocks — ALEX, GenCorp, Brookfield Residential — hide land assets on their balance sheets at decades-old cost, offering 46-286% upside once marked to market.
Rubicon Limited RBC
Rubicon's NZ-listed holdco structure hides two world-class US assets — ArborGen and Tenon — that a Tenon auction, ArborGen NASDAQ relisting, and three new shareholder directors can unlock for 200-300%+ upside.
Target Corporation TGT
Target trades at only 5.8x '09E EV/EBITDA while REITs trade 14.5x-35.7x — 22% of EBITDA mispriced
Target Corporation TGT
Target owns 95% of its buildings — more real estate than any big-box peer, worth $39bn replacement value
Time Warner Inc. TWX
Time Warner has underperformed its peer index by 51% under Parsons; splitting into four SpinCos (AOL, Content, Publishing, Cable) plus a $20bn buyback unlocks $30-45bn — a 35-54% premium.
McDonald's Corporation MCD
McDonald's real estate is worth ~$46bn, ~94% of enterprise value, but trades like a restaurant stock
Kao Corporation 4452.JP
Kao, a 'sleeping giant' of premium FMCG brands hamstrung by a management allergic to growth, should refocus globally and rebuild the board, unlocking 76-97% upside.