61 documents showing 1–60
Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac (GSEs) FNMA / FMCC
Releasing GSEs from conservatorship could generate ~$300bn for taxpayers via Treasury warrants
The Walt Disney Company DIS
Disney has underperformed its peers across every recent time period under the incumbent board; elect Trian's Peltz and Rasulo to restore focus, accountability, and shareholder alignment.
Vivion Investments
Muddy Waters stays short Vivion bonds: the December 2022 rebuttal is misleading, asset values are inflated, rent24 exposure is hidden, and shareholder loans are being cashed out with bondholder money.
Huntsman Corporation HUN
Huntsman failed all 2016 and 2018 Investor Day EBITDA and share-price promises
Burford Capital BUR
Burford's rebuttal on Napo is a dodge: a 2013 Glenmark arbitration MW surfaces proves Napo was a failed investment BUR disguised as a winner.
Burford Capital BUR
Burford's rebuttal confirms it: aggressive mark-to-model fair-value gains, manipulated ROIC/IRR, and a CEO-CFO marriage make BUR an Enron-style stock promotion the FCA should investigate.
Sony Corporation 6758.T
Sony trades at a ~50% conglomerate discount; spinning Semiconductors into 'Sony Technologies', divesting listed stakes, and refocusing on entertainment unlocks ~2x SOTP upside.
Magellan Health, Inc. MGLN
Magellan destroyed $700M of value through failed acquisitions and three 2018 guidance cuts; Starboard's six-director slate will overhaul the board and run a parallel sale process at peer multiples.
Tesla, Inc. TSLA
After five years short, Citron reverses on Tesla: Model 3 is dominating luxury and EV segments, Munro confirms 30% margins, and worst-case math yields $599/share.
Commvault Systems, Inc. CVLT
Commvault is a product-great but company-broken data management software leader; Elliott (10.3%) demands an operational review, four new directors, and a capital-return program to close a deep valuation discount.
Commvault Systems, Inc. CVLT
Commvault, a product-respected software leader, trades at half the peer multiple because of 1,200bps of margin collapse and 20-year stale governance; a board refresh, operational review and capital return will close the gap.
OSI Systems OSIS
OSIS's rebuttal fails: S2 Albania's financials prove ICMS contributed no capital, making its 49% concession stake an unjustified conduit for corruption and confirming management's lost credibility.
Ballard Power Systems BLDP
Ballard's 167% 2017 rally rests on a fragile China fuel-cell story with weak partners and zero insider skin; expect a repeat of the Azure failure and 35-70% downside to $1.15-$2.50.
OSI Systems, Inc. OSIS
OSIS is rotten to the core: the Albania concession was obtained via an apparent bribe, the Mexico turnkey is egregiously priced and up for renewal, and FCPA liability could erase a large chunk of the $1.6bn market cap.
Multiple (PSH portfolio update)
Long-term track record intact: 503% cumulative vs S&P 163% since 2004 inception
Epiq Systems, Inc. EPIQ
Epiq's board has insulated management through chronic guidance misses, a failed Iris acquisition and governance entrenchment; electing Villere's alternate slate is the unique opportunity to unlock value.
Outerwall Inc. OUTR
Outerwall's cash-rich Redbox/Coinstar business trades at a 3x EBITDA capital-allocation discount; halting buybacks for a large dividend and running a sale process unlocks 150%+ upside.
Groupe Casino CO
Casino is a highly-levered, deteriorating French retailer being hollowed out by controlling shareholder Naouri and using property-sale gains to inflate EBITDA; equity worth ~€7 per share.
TeliaSonera AB TLSN
Short TeliaSonera: disclosed Uzbekistan bribery is only the tip — ~SEK 17bn of suspect Eurasia/Nepal payments plus a multi-billion DOJ FCPA settlement threaten the dividend and cut stub fair value to SEK 27-29.
E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company (DuPont) DD
DuPont is a chronically underperforming conglomerate bloated with $2-4bn of excess costs; putting Trian on the board unlocks a $120+/share, 21% IRR path by 2017.
AerCap Holdings AER
AerCap, the largest independent aircraft lessor, trades at 8.5x earnings; the equity should rerate as the credit markets already have post-ILFC deal, supported by low-teens ROE and ~10% EPS CAGR.
H.J. Heinz Company HNZ
Retrospective of Trian's 2006 Heinz campaign: a 13D white paper and proxy-won board seats drove brand reinvestment and cost discipline, delivering 178% TSR versus 40% for the S&P 500.
Superb Summit International Group Limited 1228.HK
Superb Summit's HK$773m of reported revenue belongs to a coal company it never owned, and its HK$1.5bn JFT acquisition is a sham valuation routed through a mystery intermediary.
TransCanada Corp TRP
TransCanada is an undervalued conglomerate; spinning off Energy and doing an all-in dropdown into TCP — Spectra-style — re-rates the parts to roughly $75/share.
Dillard's, Inc. DDS
Dillard's trades at 6.2x EBITDA despite owning ~50mm sq. ft. of real estate; separating into OpCo/PropCo as peers have done implies ~$193/share vs. $109.
Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI
Darden's brands and real estate are worth $67-$86/share vs. $48 today — replace the entire board to execute the Brinker playbook: operational turnaround, real-estate separation, SRG spin-off.
NQ Mobile NQ
NQ's July 3 disclosures vindicate the fraud thesis: the audit chair resigned, PwC will never sign off, and insiders front-ran the news by dumping stock.
iRobot Corp IRBT
IRBT is a narrow consumer-vacuum company riding a robotics bubble; aggressive accounting, insider selling and a decaying moat point to $20-$25, or 25-40% downside.
Sotheby's BID
Sotheby's sits on $1bn+ of excess capital while insiders own 0.8%; Third Point's slate brings aligned ownership to drive capital return, cost discipline, and higher ROE.
NQ Mobile NQ
NQ Mobile's surprise Q4 loss and negative cash flow under PwC's tougher audit confirm Muddy Waters' fraud thesis: revenue, acquisitions, and cash balances are all fabricated.
Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI
Darden is rushing a value-destructive Red Lobster spin-off; a Special Meeting can halt it and unlock $1-2B of real estate and operational upside instead.
Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI
Darden's rushed Red Lobster spin is the wrong deal at the wrong time — it traps ~$850M of real estate value and blocks a $1-2B REIT unlock; shareholders must call a Special Meeting to stop it.
Nintendo Co., Ltd. 7974.T
Nintendo should port Mario, Zelda and Donkey Kong to iOS/Android and buy a free-to-play studio — the casual gamer has moved to mobile, where $100bn of attention value awaits.
PepsiCo, Inc. PEP
PepsiCo has chronically underperformed because its 'Power of One' holding-company structure suffocates Frito-Lay and Pepsi; separate them into two focused companies and the combined value will re-rate materially higher.
NQ Mobile NQ
NQ Mobile's credible-looking US management is a veneer hiding a $1.1bn fraud — Mathison conceals JCAP ties, Co-CEO Khan knows nothing, and pre-IPO partners include a convicted racketeer.
NQ Mobile NQ
NQ Mobile's largest purported revenue source, Yidatong, is a controlled shell whose offices, tax filings, and carrier records all contradict NQ's story — we maintain a <$1 target.
NQ Mobile (NetQin) NQ
Muddy Waters maintains its sub-$1 price target on NQ Mobile after Chinese media reporting confirms that ZTE, Huawei, Lenovo and Coolpad never had the pre-installation partnerships NQ claims.
NQ Mobile NQ
NQ Mobile's Oct 25 rebuttal of Muddy Waters' fraud report contained ten provable lies — Yidatong is NQ, revenue and market share are fabricated; reiterating price target under $1.
NQ Mobile Inc. NQ
NQ Mobile is a 'China Fraud 2.0': 72%+ of China revenue is fictitious, real market share is 1.4% not 55%, and the $127.9M cash balance is likely forged — target price under $1.
Olam International OLAM
Ten months after our initial short, Olam's FY13 results confirm the thesis: 1.8% ROA, S$800m cash burn, ossified board, no acknowledgement of the over-leverage problem.
American Tower Corporation AMT
AMT's $811M purchase of 4,456 NIHD towers at 21x EBITDA is a de facto loan to a near-bankrupt counterparty, masking weak growth and compounding accounting red flags from the prior Site Sharing deal.
American Tower AMT
AMT's international growth is a de facto lending / FX carry trade masking deteriorating economics, and ~$250M appears to have vanished from its Site Sharing acquisition.
Health Management Associates HMA
HMA's incumbent board destroyed 25% of independent value before rushing a sale to Community Health Systems; Glenview's Fresh Alternative board protects the deal and recovers upside.
Health Management Associates HMA
HMA's insular 17-year-tenure board drove a Lost Decade of <1% TSR; replace all directors with Glenview's blue-chip slate to fix governance, compensation, and capital allocation.
Nintendo Co., Ltd. 7974.T
Nintendo trades at 0.9x book with 67% of market cap in net cash; publishing Mario and Pokémon on iOS/Android unlocks freemium upside of 97-240%.
Spectra Energy Corp SE
Spectra Energy's conglomerate structure masks a premier energy infrastructure franchise; a three-step breakup — drop-down to SEP, WE IPO, DCP separation — unlocks $41-$48/share (32-55% upside).
Procter & Gamble PG
P&G earns $4 EPS today but should earn $6 by FY2016 at 24% EBIT margin
Tessera Technologies Inc. TSRA
Tessera has squandered $517M on the failing Digital Optics business while its core patent-licensing franchise shrinks; Starboard's six-director slate and IP-focused plan can unlock best-in-class 60-70% EBITDA margins.
Herbalife Ltd. HLF
Herbalife distributors earn 10x more from recruitment than from retail product sales
Hess Corporation HES
Hess intrinsic value is $96-$128/share vs. discounted current price - ~$50bn TEV trapped in opaque conglomerate
Apple Inc. AAPL
Apple's $137B idle cash depresses its P/E; distribute 'iPrefs' — tax-free perpetual preferred stock paying 4% — to unlock ~$150/share without spending a dollar of cash.
Agrium AGU
Agrium rebuts JANA's break-up case: the sum-of-parts math is contrived, Retail already trades at ~9x within Agrium, and no analyst endorses JANA's methodology.
Olam International Ltd. OLAM
Olam's Q2 2013 results confirm Muddy Waters' Strong Sell thesis: debt is spiraling (9.5x EBITDA), cash is burning, and management's acquisitions and Gabon project reveal haphazard planning.
Hess Corporation HES
Hess intrinsic value is over $126/share — 94-153% upside to the current price
SandRidge Energy SD
CEO Tom Ward's family entities systematically flipped Mississippian Lime mineral rights to SandRidge and competed for adjacent acreage—evidence of self-dealing that warrants a board investigation and potential termination.
BMC Software BMC
BMC has underperformed every peer and index over 1-, 2-, 3-year and YTD windows
J.C. Penney Company, Inc. JCP
Ron Johnson (Target, Apple Retail) can repeat his retail magic at chronically mismanaged JCP
Focus Media Holding FMCN
FMCN's rebuttal concedes Muddy Waters' core claims — inflated LCD network, 1,758% theater market share, phantom VIE acquisitions, and brazen insider self-dealing make the shares un-investable.
Focus Media Holding Ltd. FMCN
Focus Media is the Olympus of China: it inflates its LCD screen count by 50%, systematically overpays for acquisitions it writes off, and enriches insiders at shareholders' expense.
The McGraw-Hill Companies MHP
McGraw-Hill's conglomerate structure masks four independently attractive assets; separating MH Education, Information & Media and the S&P Index business plus an accelerated buyback unlocks ~60% upside to ~$65.