Contrarian Corpus

106 documents showing 61–106

Kerrisdale Capital 2017-11-01

Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ADMS

Kerrisdale is long ADMS: Gocovri, the only FDA-approved drug for levodopa-induced dyskinesia, plus an MS and Vimpat XR pipeline, is worth over $100/share versus ~$25 today.

N4 V3 C2
Marcato 2017-11-01

Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK

Deckers' board missed every margin target and wasted $600m on retail bloat and Sanuk; replacing them enables UGG focus, non-core divestitures and a doubling to $135-158.

N4 V3 C3
Citron Research 2017-06-01

BlackBerry BBRY

QNX is entrenched in 60M cars across 40+ automakers — a leading autonomous-driving OS

N4 V2 C2
Elliott Management 2017-05-16

BHP Billiton BHP

US$46bn value unlock: demerger (+$15bn) + capital return (+$20bn) + franking credits (+$11bn)

N5 V4 C4
Marcato 2017-04-20

Buffalo Wild Wings BWLD

Sally Smith-led BWLD has underperformed peers, mismanaged margins, and wasted capital buying back franchise stores; replacing the board and refranchising to 90% unlocks a higher multiple.

N5 V4 C4
Elliott Management 2017-04-11

Arconic Inc. ARNC

Arconic shareholders lost ~70% of their value; CEO Kleinfeld is one of the worst-performing tenured CEOs in the U.S.

N5 V5 C5
Elliott Management 2017-04-10

BHP Billiton BHP

DLC structure traps US$9.7bn of franking credits and a 12.7% Plc/Ltd discount

N4 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2016-11-21

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

Marathon's integrated structure hides $14–19bn of value; dropping all MLP-qualifying assets to MPLX and spinning Speedway, refining, and midstream into three standalone companies would lift shares 60–80%+.

N4 V1 C1
Elliott Management 2016-11-01

Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC

Marathon is priced like a merchant refiner despite a 69% stable-earnings mix; dropping assets to MPLX and spinning Speedway, RefiningCo, and MidstreamCo unlocks $14-19bn (~60-80%+ upside).

N4 V4 C4
Muddy Waters 2016-08-25

St. Jude Medical, Inc. STJ

St. Jude's $23B cardiac-device franchise rests on a Merlin ecosystem so insecure that hackers can crash pacemakers from 50 feet — a recall and two-year remediation imply 50%+ downside and likely covenant breach.

N5 V2 C2
Sandell 2016-08-22

Bob Evans Farms, Inc. BOBE

Bob Evans trades at $37 while its packaged-foods segment alone is worth $1.2-1.6bn; spinning off Restaurants leaves a pure-play BEF Foods parent worth $57-79 per share.

N4 V3 C2
Marcato 2016-06-13

Buffalo Wild Wings BWLD

Buffalo Wild Wings should reverse course on low-return franchisee buy-ins, refranchise to 90% by 2020, recapitalize, and fix incentives — unlocking ~180% upside to ~$402.

N4 V4 C4
Starboard Value 2016-04-08

Depomed, Inc. DEPO

Depomed's board is entrenching itself via a California-to-Delaware reincorporation and rejected Horizon's premium bid; Starboard seeks a special meeting to replace directors and explore a sale.

N3 V2 C1
Elliott Management 2016-02-04

Bank of East Asia, Limited 0023.HK

BEA delivered 2.7% annualised return since 1997 vs 12.8% for family-run HK bank peers

N4 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2016-01-28

Pershing Square portfolio (multi-holding LP update: MDLZ, VRX, APD, ZTS, CP, QSR, HHC, PAH, FNMA/FMCC, HLF short)

2015 was -20.5% but portfolio trades at substantial discount to intrinsic value

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2016-01-11

Macy's Inc. M

Macy's owns $21bn of real estate — more than its entire enterprise value; spinning iconic and mall properties into two JVs unlocks ~$70/share, ~88% upside.

N4 V3 C3
Muddy Waters 2015-10-15

TeliaSonera AB TLSN

Short TeliaSonera: disclosed Uzbekistan bribery is only the tip — ~SEK 17bn of suspect Eurasia/Nepal payments plus a multi-billion DOJ FCPA settlement threaten the dividend and cut stub fair value to SEK 27-29.

N4 V2 C1
Pershing Square 2015-05-04

Valeant Pharmaceuticals International VRX

Platform companies are undervalued because P/E ignores value from future acquisitions

N5 V4 C4
Trian Partners 2015-04-21

E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company DD

DuPont is bottom-quartile under Ellen Kullman; electing Trian's four nominees unlocks $120/share by 2017 by cutting $2-4bn of excess corporate costs and ending 'crony' compensation.

N5 V4 C4
Greenlight Capital 2015-04-07

AerCap Holdings AER

AerCap, the largest independent aircraft lessor, trades at 8.5x earnings; the equity should rerate as the credit markets already have post-ILFC deal, supported by low-teens ROE and ~10% EPS CAGR.

N4 V3 C3
Land & Buildings 2015-03-17

MGM Resorts International MGM

MGM's US real estate is buried inside a 10x-EBITDA C-corp; a REIT conversion plus lodging-C-corp spin and MGM China dividend can lift NAV from $33 to $55 per share.

N4 V2 C1
Trian Partners 2015-02-17

E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company (DuPont) DD

DuPont is an underperforming conglomerate burdened with $2-4bn of excess costs; elect Trian's four nominees to drive separation, cost cuts, and board accountability.

N5 V3 C3
Sandell 2015-02-01

Brookdale Senior Living Inc. BKD

BKD trades at a wide discount because its owned real estate is buried inside an OpCo; a tax-free PropCo/OpCo REIT spin plus governance overhaul unlocks ~$49/share.

N4 V3 C3
Sandell 2014-11-01

TransCanada Corp TRP

TransCanada is an undervalued conglomerate; spinning off Energy and doing an all-in dropdown into TCP — Spectra-style — re-rates the parts to roughly $75/share.

N4 V4 C4
Marcato 2014-11-01

Dillard's, Inc. DDS

Dillard's trades at 6.2x EBITDA despite owning ~50mm sq. ft. of real estate; separating into OpCo/PropCo as peers have done implies ~$193/share vs. $109.

N3 V3 C3
Corvex 2014-10-14

Crown Castle International Corp. CCI

Crown Castle is a U.S. tower REIT 'betwixt and between' — raising the 2015 dividend to $4.00 (80% AFFO payout) re-rates the stock to a 4.0% yield, unlocking 27% near-term and 60%+ upside in 15 months.

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2014-05-22

Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI

Darden's Board destroyed value by selling Red Lobster for ~1x EBITDA against shareholder will; replacing 12 directors unlocks a real estate spin, cost-cut turnaround, and peer-catchup upside.

N4 V2 C2
Pershing Square 2014-04-22

Allergan AGN

Valeant's Outsider-CEO model delivered 2,544% TSR (25x) in six years under Mike Pearson

N4 V3 C3
Starboard Value 2014-03-31

Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI

Darden's rushed Red Lobster spin is the wrong deal at the wrong time — it traps ~$850M of real estate value and blocks a $1-2B REIT unlock; shareholders must call a Special Meeting to stop it.

N5 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2014-03-11

Riverbed Technology RVBD

$21 cash bid is a 43% premium, exceeding median tech-deal premia across comparables

N3 V4 C3
Sandell 2014-01-15

FirstGroup plc FGP

FirstGroup's post-Laidlaw complexity and high-cost debt have crushed returns; spinning FirstGroup US to yield-hungry US investors, selling Greyhound, and right-sizing the balance sheet unlocks up to 191p.

N4 V3 C3
Elliott Management 2014-01-13

Juniper Networks JNPR

Juniper underperformed NASDAQ by 104% over 3 years — value destruction is avoidable

N5 V4 C4
Sandell 2013-09-01

Bob Evans Farms, Inc. BOBE

Bob Evans trades at a conglomerate discount; spinning BEF Foods, monetizing 482 owned restaurants via sale-leaseback, and tendering at $58 unlocks ~$78.50/share.

N4 V3 C3
Trian Partners 2013-07-01

PepsiCo, Inc. PEP

PepsiCo's snacks and beverages are structurally incompatible — Trian demands a Mondelez merger plus beverage spin (or a clean snacks/beverages separation), unlocking up to $175/share by 2015 vs. $85 today.

N5 V3 C3
Sandell 2013-06-01

Spectra Energy Corp SE

Spectra Energy's conglomerate structure masks a premier energy infrastructure franchise; a three-step breakup — drop-down to SEP, WE IPO, DCP separation — unlocks $41-$48/share (32-55% upside).

N4 V3 C3
JANA Partners 2013-01-01

Agrium Inc. AGU

Agrium's board has no retail-distribution expertise to manage a business that's half its value; JANA's 5 nominees can unlock cost, capital and conglomerate-discount value worth hundreds of millions.

N4 V3 C3
Trian Partners 2012-11-07

Danone BN.PA

Danone is a world-class health-focused food company trading at trough multiples and a 1.5x P/E discount to Nestle; rerating to historic levels implies ~€78 vs €48, +62% upside by 2014.

N3 V3 C3
Sandell 2012-10-01

TPC Group Inc. TPCG

TPC Group's $40/share take-private by First Reserve/SK Capital is a self-dealt, low-balled sale; a proper auction plus MLP re-rating would deliver materially higher value to shareholders.

N4 V2 C2
Marcato 2012-10-01

Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX); GenCorp (GY); Brookfield Residential Properties (BRP)

Three stocks — ALEX, GenCorp, Brookfield Residential — hide land assets on their balance sheets at decades-old cost, offering 46-286% upside once marked to market.

N3 V3 C2
Elliott Management 2012-05-31

BMC Software BMC

BMC has underperformed every peer and index over 1-, 2-, 3-year and YTD windows

N5 V4 C4
Pershing Square 2011-05-25

Family Dollar Stores FDO

FDO trades at same ~9x forward EBIT as Dollar General despite 37% performance gap

N5 V3 C3
Greenlight Capital 2010-10-13

The St. Joe Company JOE

St. Joe's Florida real estate empire is a value trap: developments are ghost towns, the airport catalyst is a bust, and the land is worth $7-10/share, not $24.54.

N5 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2008-11-19

Target Corporation TGT

Target trades at only 5.8x '09E EV/EBITDA while REITs trade 14.5x-35.7x — 22% of EBITDA mispriced

N4 V3 C3
Pershing Square 2006-11-09

Borders Group, Inc. BGP

Book superstore industry is misunderstood — Amazon risk is exaggerated and superstores have gained share

N4 V3 C3
Carl Icahn 2006-02-01

Time Warner Inc. TWX

Time Warner has underperformed its peer index by 51% under Parsons; splitting into four SpinCos (AOL, Content, Publishing, Cable) plus a $20bn buyback unlocks $30-45bn — a 35-54% premium.

N5 V4 C4
Oasis Management

Kao Corporation 4452.JP

Kao, a 'sleeping giant' of premium FMCG brands hamstrung by a management allergic to growth, should refocus globally and rebuild the board, unlocking 76-97% upside.

N5 V4 C4