134 documents showing 61–120
Campbell Soup Company CPB
Campbell's incumbent board delivered 19% TSR vs 306% S&P over 20 years; replace the entire board with Third Point's Independent Slate to unlock $52-58/share via turnaround, breakup, or sale.
Nestlé S.A. NESN
Nestlé has been too slow to adapt to a changing consumer industry; adopting a #NestléNOW mindset — sharper strategy, bolder portfolio divestitures including the L'Oréal stake, and a three-division split — can double EPS by 2022.
TAL Education Group TAL
TAL is a real business with fake financials: two asset-parking transactions inflated FY2016-FY2018 pre-tax profits by $153M (28.4%) while Deloitte China was starved of audit hours.
Assured Guaranty AGO
Assured Guaranty is a melting-ice-cube bond insurer aggressively returning capital it hasn't earned; Puerto Rico losses alone (2-4x reserves) will force a capital raise or strip the AA rating it needs to write new business.
Hyundai Motor Group (Hyundai Mobis, Hyundai Motor Company, Kia Motors) 012330.KS / 005380.KS / 000270.KS
Mobis, HMC and Kia trade at 57%, 26% and 73% EV/EBITDA discounts to global peers — peers re-rate if structure is fixed
Xerox Corporation XRX
Xerox's CEO is handing 50.1% control to Fuji 'without spending a penny' for ~$28/share; vote down the deal and replace the board to unlock $54-$64 standalone.
Telecom Italia SpA (TIM) TIT.MI
Vivendi controls TIM with just 24% voting stake, running it as a subsidiary while minorities suffer
OSI Systems, Inc. OSIS
OSIS is rotten to the core: the Albania concession was obtained via an apparent bribe, the Mexico turnkey is egregiously priced and up for renewal, and FCPA liability could erase a large chunk of the $1.6bn market cap.
The Procter & Gamble Company PG
P&G's long-tenured Board has rewarded a decade of market-share loss and bottom-quartile EPS growth; electing Nelson Peltz adds the shareholder voice needed to fix innovation, productivity, M&A and governance.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ADP
Employer Services margins are 1,500-2,000 bps below potential vs. Paychex and peers
BHP Billiton BHP
US$46bn value unlock: demerger (+$15bn) + capital return (+$20bn) + franking credits (+$11bn)
Core Laboratories CLB
Core Lab trades at 35x 2018e P/E — double its oilfield-service peers — on a false secular-growth narrative; mid-cycle earnings imply $62 fair value and ~45% downside.
Howard Hughes Corporation HHC
HHC owns the best public-market analogue to Donald Bren's $15B Irvine Ranch MPC empire
Buffalo Wild Wings BWLD
Sally Smith-led BWLD has underperformed peers, mismanaged margins, and wasted capital buying back franchise stores; replacing the board and refranchising to 90% unlocks a higher multiple.
Arconic Inc. ARNC
Arconic shareholders lost ~70% of their value; CEO Kleinfeld is one of the worst-performing tenured CEOs in the U.S.
China Huishan Dairy Holdings 6863 HK
Huishan is a fraud worth close to zero — fabricated alfalfa self-sufficiency inflates margins, RMB 1.6bn of CapEx is fictitious, and Chairman Yang has siphoned farms to a related party.
Nidec Corp. 6594 JP
Nidec is a gigantic stock promotion: zero organic growth and aggressive accounting hide behind a Facebook-like multiple — fair value JPY 4,764, ~52% downside.
Bayer AG BAYN
Bayer at €88/11x trades in no-man's land between Monsanto deal-sceptics and deal-believers; whether the merger closes or breaks, Bayer shareholders get cake.
St. Jude Medical, Inc. STJ
St. Jude's $23B cardiac-device franchise rests on a Merlin ecosystem so insecure that hackers can crash pacemakers from 50 feet — a recall and two-year remediation imply 50%+ downside and likely covenant breach.
Casino Guichard-Perrachon SA CO
Casino's claimed France recovery is fiction: Mercialys property gains inflate EBITDA, suppliers are being stretched, and the CFO's earnings-call language shows deception clusters.
CONSOL Energy CNX
Market prices CONSOL as a dying coal miner, but its Marcellus/Utica shale gas acreage plus disciplined management make it worth $35.81/share versus $7.40 today.
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International VRX
Citron's 'next Enron' channel-stuffing claim is verifiably false; Philidor accounting is conservative
Valeant Pharmaceuticals VRX
Philidor and R&O Pharmacy are the same entity — evidence of phantom accounts to book revenue
Herbalife Ltd. HLF
Herbalife pays multi-level royalties on unlimited downlines, violating China's pyramid-sales laws
Pioneer Natural Resources PXD
Pioneer and the shale 'frackers' burn cash and destroy value on every BOE developed; their $27B market cap rests on proved reserves worth $3-8B — buy oil, not PXD.
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International VRX
Platform companies are undervalued because P/E ignores value from future acquisitions
E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company DD
DuPont is a chronically underperforming conglomerate; electing Trian's four nominees forces structural review, cost cuts, and governance reform to unlock $120+/share by 2017 — a 21% IRR.
E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company DD
DuPont is bottom-quartile under Ellen Kullman; electing Trian's four nominees unlocks $120/share by 2017 by cutting $2-4bn of excess corporate costs and ending 'crony' compensation.
E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company (DuPont) DD
DuPont is a chronically underperforming conglomerate bloated with $2-4bn of excess costs; putting Trian on the board unlocks a $120+/share, 21% IRR path by 2017.
Bolloré SA BOL FP
Bolloré's Breton-Pulleys circular ownership masks that public float is 42.8% not 24.3%; at €4.37 shares trade at 41% of €10.63 NAV — 95% upside to €8.50.
E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company (DuPont) DD
DuPont is an underperforming conglomerate burdened with $2-4bn of excess costs; elect Trian's four nominees to drive separation, cost cuts, and board accountability.
Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI
Darden's brands and real estate are worth $67-$86/share vs. $48 today — replace the entire board to execute the Brinker playbook: operational turnaround, real-estate separation, SRG spin-off.
Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI
Darden underperformed direct peers by ~300% over 5 years under current Board
athenahealth ATHN
athenahealth is the poster child of the cloud 'bubble basket' — strip Morgan Stanley's fantasy margin and revenue-per-doctor assumptions and the stock falls 80%+ toward a $50 adjusted DCF.
Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI
Darden's rushed Red Lobster spin is the wrong deal at the wrong time — it traps ~$850M of real estate value and blocks a $1-2B REIT unlock; shareholders must call a Special Meeting to stop it.
PepsiCo, Inc. PEP
PepsiCo has chronically underperformed because its 'Power of One' holding-company structure suffocates Frito-Lay and Pepsi; separate them into two focused companies and the combined value will re-rate materially higher.
Juniper Networks JNPR
Juniper underperformed NASDAQ by 104% over 3 years — value destruction is avoidable
Health Management Associates HMA
HMA's insular 17-year-tenure board drove a Lost Decade of <1% TSR; replace all directors with Glenview's blue-chip slate to fix governance, compensation, and capital allocation.
PepsiCo, Inc. PEP
PepsiCo's snacks and beverages are structurally incompatible — Trian demands a Mondelez merger plus beverage spin (or a clean snacks/beverages separation), unlocking up to $175/share by 2015 vs. $85 today.
Nintendo Co., Ltd. 7974.T
Nintendo trades at 0.9x book with 67% of market cap in net cash; publishing Mario and Pokémon on iOS/Android unlocks freemium upside of 97-240%.
Herbalife Ltd. HLF
Herbalife distributors earn 10x more from recruitment than from retail product sales
Hess Corporation HES
Hess intrinsic value is $96-$128/share vs. discounted current price - ~$50bn TEV trapped in opaque conglomerate
Apple Inc. AAPL
Apple's $137B idle cash depresses its P/E; distribute 'iPrefs' — tax-free perpetual preferred stock paying 4% — to unlock ~$150/share without spending a dollar of cash.
Hess Corporation HES
Hess intrinsic value is over $126/share — 94-153% upside to the current price
Herbalife Ltd. HLF
Formula 1 is a $2bn 'brand nobody's heard of' — sales economics defy any genuine consumer demand
Herbalife Ltd. HLF
Herbalife is a pyramid scheme: distributors profit by recruiting, not retail sales
Olam International Ltd. SGX:O32
Olam is an Enron-style agri trader whose aggressive non-cash accounting, off-the-rails CapEx binge, and 9.3x leverage mask a failing trading business — equity likely worthless, bonds 14-33¢.
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDU
New Oriental is hiding an extensive franchising operation, filing fraudulent tax-exempt financials in Beijing and using a cosmetic VIE — expect a restatement and Deloitte to resign.
BMC Software BMC
BMC has underperformed every peer and index over 1-, 2-, 3-year and YTD windows
J.C. Penney Company, Inc. JCP
Ron Johnson (Target, Apple Retail) can repeat his retail magic at chronically mismanaged JCP
Focus Media Holding FMCN
FMCN's 'independent' verification of its 185,174 LCD network counted 30,500 cardboard posters as LCDs, confirming Muddy Waters' fraud thesis and impugning all reported financials.
Canadian Pacific Railway CP
CP has the worst operating ratio of any Class I railroad while closest peer CN has the best
Focus Media Holding Ltd. FMCN
Focus Media is the Olympus of China: it inflates its LCD screen count by 50%, systematically overpays for acquisitions it writes off, and enriches insiders at shareholders' expense.
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters GMCR
GMCR's $9 EPS bull case ignores a smaller TAM, falling K-cup attachment rates, a September 2012 patent cliff, and accounting shenanigans at fulfillment agent MBlock — realistic EPS is ~$3.50.
Hong Kong Monetary Authority / HKD-USD Peg
HKD peg forces Hong Kong to import ultra-loose U.S. monetary policy despite a vastly stronger economy
Sino-Forest Corporation TRE
Sino-Forest is a fraud: its Authorized Intermediary structure fabricates timber revenue, its Yunnan holdings are overstated by ~$900M, and equity is worth less than $1 vs. $18.21.
Family Dollar Stores FDO
FDO trades at same ~9x forward EBIT as Dollar General despite 37% performance gap
Duoyuan Global Water Inc. DGW
DGW is a massive fraud overstating revenue by 100x; forged PRC audits, empty factory, and related-party tunneling to Chairman Guo imply the stock is worth under $1.
RINO International Corp. RINO
RINO is a near-zero: 94% of its reported revenue is fabricated, customers deny buying its FGD systems, and founders are draining cash via the VIE; fair value $2.45 vs. $15.52.
The St. Joe Company JOE
St. Joe's Florida real estate empire is a value trap: developments are ghost towns, the airport catalyst is a bust, and the land is worth $7-10/share, not $24.54.